Timely reminder that David Cameron did not win a majority in his first GE. He needed a coalition to govern.
And look, this narrative is so stupid. Like who cares? It’s still a massive swing. The biggest party takes government. With this projection, the Labour party don’t even need to win anything in Scotland for pete’s sake. This is unequivocally a terrific result for Labour, no matter how the right try to spin it.
But given that people vote a bit more on local issues in these elections, still feels like a Labour majority at a general election to me.
If Lib Dems form a coalition with Labour on the basis we get voter reform (proportional representation or single transferable vote, whichever), that’s about the ideal outcome as far as I can see.
Good. A Labour/Lib Dem coalition is the best possible outcome.
Why are we using local election vote shares to predict a general election? Third parties do much better locally
I’m taking this with a large pinch of salt. It assumes that Labour will make no gains in Scotland, which is not what the polls currently suggest. It also implies that the third parties will do as well in a GE as they do in the locals, which is never the case.
Labour have won in a number of key target seats – Gillingham, Swindon, Stoke etc and generally look in really good shape for an overall majority.
You can’t predict the election from this because:
* It doesn’t include London, Wales, or Scotland
* It doesn’t take in to account a collapse of SNP support
* It doesn’t take in to account the fact Lib Dems and Conservatives do better in local elections, in particular the Lib Dems
The media is so desperate for the tories to stay in power, I wonder why
So much “bad result for Labour” stuff going around today. Even if it is a bad result, which I honestly find hard to see, their first majority in like 20 years, does anyone actually care? People just want the Tories out at this point and our government to actually do something positive for the country for a change.
It was a council election, usually a Lee turnout,i suspect and hope Labour would do much better in a National election
As long as the Tories aren’t gifted another 5 years of mismanagement and corruption, a cabbage on a stick would do a better job
Who actually cares any more. Whoever gets in will be a corrupt shower of shite who’ll fuck it up. Right, left, red, blue, they’re all useless.
Round and round we go as we’re ceremonially shat on from above.
Nothing changes, nothing ever will.
“Don’t vote labour – they can’t hack it,” says Rupe Murdoch’s propaganda station.
Ffs the people writing this know enough about politics to know it’s rubbish. Minor parties do better in locals. This is artificial content for the sake of drama. To publish speculation you know to be misleading is a bad look.
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Timely reminder that David Cameron did not win a majority in his first GE. He needed a coalition to govern.
And look, this narrative is so stupid. Like who cares? It’s still a massive swing. The biggest party takes government. With this projection, the Labour party don’t even need to win anything in Scotland for pete’s sake. This is unequivocally a terrific result for Labour, no matter how the right try to spin it.
But given that people vote a bit more on local issues in these elections, still feels like a Labour majority at a general election to me.
If Lib Dems form a coalition with Labour on the basis we get voter reform (proportional representation or single transferable vote, whichever), that’s about the ideal outcome as far as I can see.
Good. A Labour/Lib Dem coalition is the best possible outcome.
Why are we using local election vote shares to predict a general election? Third parties do much better locally
I’m taking this with a large pinch of salt. It assumes that Labour will make no gains in Scotland, which is not what the polls currently suggest. It also implies that the third parties will do as well in a GE as they do in the locals, which is never the case.
Labour have won in a number of key target seats – Gillingham, Swindon, Stoke etc and generally look in really good shape for an overall majority.
You can’t predict the election from this because:
* It doesn’t include London, Wales, or Scotland
* It doesn’t take in to account a collapse of SNP support
* It doesn’t take in to account the fact Lib Dems and Conservatives do better in local elections, in particular the Lib Dems
The media is so desperate for the tories to stay in power, I wonder why
So much “bad result for Labour” stuff going around today. Even if it is a bad result, which I honestly find hard to see, their first majority in like 20 years, does anyone actually care? People just want the Tories out at this point and our government to actually do something positive for the country for a change.
It was a council election, usually a Lee turnout,i suspect and hope Labour would do much better in a National election
As long as the Tories aren’t gifted another 5 years of mismanagement and corruption, a cabbage on a stick would do a better job
Who actually cares any more. Whoever gets in will be a corrupt shower of shite who’ll fuck it up. Right, left, red, blue, they’re all useless.
Round and round we go as we’re ceremonially shat on from above.
Nothing changes, nothing ever will.
“Don’t vote labour – they can’t hack it,” says Rupe Murdoch’s propaganda station.
Ffs the people writing this know enough about politics to know it’s rubbish. Minor parties do better in locals. This is artificial content for the sake of drama. To publish speculation you know to be misleading is a bad look.