Ministers believe lockdown more likely as modelling ‘points to 1,000 daily deaths’

27 comments
  1. They implement it late every time. If they are saying “coming weeks” we probably should have locked down weeks ago

  2. 65% of positive cases in hospital aren’t even in hospital BECAUSE of Covid

    Are the models taking these numbers into consideration? Highly doubt it.

    > Of the 169 additional coronavirus-positive patients in hospital, 111 were not being treated primarily for Covid and only incidentally tested positive after admission for other conditions, suggesting the figures could overstate the level of additional pressure on the NHS. A similar trend was observed in a hospital in the South African city of Tshwane, the centre of the Omicron outbreak there.

    https://www.ft.com/content/c14173c9-1ab7-4386-aeae-70cdac666503

  3. Cant wait to spend Christmas alone again as these twats invite every person they’ve ever met to a Christmas party with champagne while they fancy dress as plebs

  4. I’m really interested how they can model 1000 deaths a day with current statistics, nearly 4 weeks worth, showing only 1 death and less than 100 hospitalisations so far. What massive presumptions are involved with that? If people are so concerned, voluntarily lock down. But they won’t. The polling should be asking people if they support further lockdowns, in similar vein to what happened last year, without the furlough scheme. We cannot afford another 70bn project without repercussions down the line

  5. IIRC the modelling pointed to 100,000 cases a day at the end of July.

    With the scale of vaccinations we have now, I do not see that as a plausible figure.

  6. My question to all the pro-lockdowners on this thread is this? Where was it that I signed to live my life with what and what I cannot do based on hospital capacity? How can long can this go on? We’ve been 6 months away from a treatment for COVID for the past two years and the vaccine is no good for long term protection or against variants.

    We have to learn to look for more creative solutions than lockdown, that’s not learning to live with it

  7. 1000 deaths a day is not at all likely. That’s 6 times what we’ve been having with Delta; if you think it’s a similar severity that implies 6 times the cases which would be 300,000 reported positive cases per day. And that’s even without the encouraging (but still unclear) information about severity.

    We have a serious problem but scaremongering like this doesn’t help. This is straight out of the same school of SAGE modelling as 100,000 cases in July.

  8. At this point, we should be seriously considering vaccine mandates.

    Addenbrooke’s Hospital say [80% of Covid patients have been unvaccinated](https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-england-cambridgeshire-59699891) and [Sadiq Khan has said the vast majority of Covid patients in London hospitals are unvaccinated.](https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-england-london-59710649)

    How is placing the entire country under virtual house arrest not a greater infringement on personal freedoms than ordering the few remaining refuseniks to get jabbed?

  9. Are these 1000 daily death purely from Covid-19 or due to the NHS being overwhelmed and unrelated covid-19 Deaths massively increasing?

    I would say its also important to note they they are talking about worst case scenario here.

  10. There will be a number of models and this will be worst case scenario. Which one are the independent going to pick? The one that has the biggest headline, scares the shit out of the population and makes the government look worse than they already do.

  11. Don’t give a fuck what they say. I am not listening to these cunts. If they tell me to lockdown? don’t care. Fuck these clowns.

  12. Shades of last year – Last fucking minute as millions dash their Christmas plans against the wall.

    To be clear, im not against a lockdown or any measures. Im against these fucking cock sponges using this virus as a political cudgel to smash up shit they dont like, let millions die, clean up financially and then fucking prance around like it wont touch them because they’re the elite. Violently out of touch, out dated, antiquated morons who value their own fucking farts over quantifiable science because its a bit inconvenient to do the basic thing and react quicker than a fucking glacial. This is how humanity will fuck itself to death with glib, glassy eyed genetic queefs running the country into the fucking furrough of ineptitudes inbred moronic anti science anti logic anti empathy after birth.

    Fucking twat waffle shit heels

  13. I feel like it’s worth pointing out that 1) this is a worst case scenario and The Independent are irresponsible for using this as a headline, 2) our COVID modelling doesn’t have a great accuracy track record

  14. Can’t see many people complying with a second cancelled Christmas, especially given the leaks of the tory members having a party despite such restrictions.

    I haven’t seen my family in close to 2 years. I’m seeing them this Christmas and I’d love to see them try and stop me.

  15. Just ignore it, go where you please, wear what you want. Freedoms *do* have a cost in blood, it was paid to get them and it must be paid to keep them. Also, the generations at risk have done nothing but fill their pockets with our future, so fuck em.

  16. Past the point of giving a shit! I’m not listening to sanctimonious bellends anymore (anyone) I have a life to live and a family to support.

  17. There is absolutely no way we reach 1000 daily deaths again when we have the overwhelming majority of the vulnerable triple vaccinated, ridiculous scaremongering headline.

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