The current births in Italy is 400,000 a year. Assuming it stays at this level from now on meaning every woman has 2 children.
stays at 400K for 80 years
400,000 X 80 years is 32 millon then plus or minus migration.
In reality with every woman having 1.25 children on average the population will fall to 20 million at most. plus or minus migration.
I’m maybe irrationally annoyed by this list having no order at all
Projections at this scale are nonsense. The reality 80 years from now could be much different. With climate change, there will be millions of people moving North. It’s inevitable.
Looks like immigration to the EU will offset 80% of the population losses due to low fertility, according to this projection.
Portugal, Bulgaria, Italy, and Romania doing their part on saving the environment.
How’s Poland with population decrease as well when they’ve been having a positive population growth?
Some African countries will have more people than the whole of Europe as well. Mass migration due to climate change will make the current refugee crisis’s look like a picnic.
6 comments
This is absolute rubbish without the assumptions.
For example take Italy
The current births in Italy is 400,000 a year. Assuming it stays at this level from now on meaning every woman has 2 children.
stays at 400K for 80 years
400,000 X 80 years is 32 millon then plus or minus migration.
In reality with every woman having 1.25 children on average the population will fall to 20 million at most. plus or minus migration.
I’m maybe irrationally annoyed by this list having no order at all
Projections at this scale are nonsense. The reality 80 years from now could be much different. With climate change, there will be millions of people moving North. It’s inevitable.
Looks like immigration to the EU will offset 80% of the population losses due to low fertility, according to this projection.
Portugal, Bulgaria, Italy, and Romania doing their part on saving the environment.
How’s Poland with population decrease as well when they’ve been having a positive population growth?
Some African countries will have more people than the whole of Europe as well. Mass migration due to climate change will make the current refugee crisis’s look like a picnic.