That graphic is quite useless. What’s it telling me? Waterford has three of one and one other. But is that a projection for three of who? Also if that light green dot represents the Green party – its very unlikely they’ll keep a seat here.
Edit. It’s not a green party dot. So what is it? Sinn Fein? They’ll win two seats in the Deise if they work at it.
A key would help for the colours.
Why does it say Green Party 2, NC? They have 12 TDs at the moment, shouldn’t it be -10?
SF currently have 36 seats, 64 would be a gain of 28, not 4. What is the +/- supposed to represent?
It really depends who runs and how the parties manage this. For example Dublin MW got +1 but context of the constituency really is important. SF dominated the last election, round 1 was theirs easily, round 2 was theirs easily, then it went to 11 rounds total for the other seats. That district has +1 seat. SF would be dumb if they didn’t put at least 1 maybe even 2 more given the transfers. PBP-S and FG were the other seats before, FF and FG had very low preference transfers. So I’d even say this specific map might be very far off in the end.
So basically this graph is essentially predicting another coalition government between FFG and maybe someone else
This would be much better if it was just a table. Incredibly hard to differentiate the colours (nevermind not having a key)
The predictions are a bit weird tbh – 2 Soc Dems in N Kildare, (esp if Murphy decides to retire?) and still 6 PBP nationally? SF is not going to make the mistake of not having enough candidates as it did in 2020 and there’ll be very few if any transfers going to other, smaller, left wing parties. Last time round SF transfers decided the last seat or two in many places. This time they’ll be in the running for those seats and they’ll be hoping to knock out PBP and get their transfers instead.
Interesting to see the results for the Local Elections next year. Expect a lot of reassessments afterwards.
This map is shite…
SF government 😀
With Fianna Fail 😧
Who’s voting for those parties at sea in the bottom right? Mermaids?
Obviously a lot can and will change and it’s just a survey, but going off if this SF could conceivably get to 71 with the SDs, and then a mix of independents, labour or greens go get over the 80 mark.
Technically PBP too, but I get the feeling they would reject any offer to be in power.
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That graphic is quite useless. What’s it telling me? Waterford has three of one and one other. But is that a projection for three of who? Also if that light green dot represents the Green party – its very unlikely they’ll keep a seat here.
Edit. It’s not a green party dot. So what is it? Sinn Fein? They’ll win two seats in the Deise if they work at it.
A key would help for the colours.
Why does it say Green Party 2, NC? They have 12 TDs at the moment, shouldn’t it be -10?
SF currently have 36 seats, 64 would be a gain of 28, not 4. What is the +/- supposed to represent?
It really depends who runs and how the parties manage this. For example Dublin MW got +1 but context of the constituency really is important. SF dominated the last election, round 1 was theirs easily, round 2 was theirs easily, then it went to 11 rounds total for the other seats. That district has +1 seat. SF would be dumb if they didn’t put at least 1 maybe even 2 more given the transfers. PBP-S and FG were the other seats before, FF and FG had very low preference transfers. So I’d even say this specific map might be very far off in the end.
So basically this graph is essentially predicting another coalition government between FFG and maybe someone else
This would be much better if it was just a table. Incredibly hard to differentiate the colours (nevermind not having a key)
The predictions are a bit weird tbh – 2 Soc Dems in N Kildare, (esp if Murphy decides to retire?) and still 6 PBP nationally? SF is not going to make the mistake of not having enough candidates as it did in 2020 and there’ll be very few if any transfers going to other, smaller, left wing parties. Last time round SF transfers decided the last seat or two in many places. This time they’ll be in the running for those seats and they’ll be hoping to knock out PBP and get their transfers instead.
Interesting to see the results for the Local Elections next year. Expect a lot of reassessments afterwards.
This map is shite…
SF government 😀
With Fianna Fail 😧
Who’s voting for those parties at sea in the bottom right? Mermaids?
Obviously a lot can and will change and it’s just a survey, but going off if this SF could conceivably get to 71 with the SDs, and then a mix of independents, labour or greens go get over the 80 mark.
Technically PBP too, but I get the feeling they would reject any offer to be in power.