POLL: Business Post/Red C

(Sep 7-12, MoE 3%)

– Sinn Féin 31 (+2 since end June)
– Fine Gael 21 (-1)
– Fianna Fáil 16
– Social Democrats 5
– Labour 4 (-1)
– Greens 4
– PBP-Solidarity 3
– Aontú 3 (+1)
– Inds/others 12 (-1)

Long term trend:

https://www.politico.eu/europe-poll-of-polls/ireland/

by badger-biscuits

10 comments

  1. No shit but is 31% enough to secure a stable government if theyre eating into other left wing seats?

  2. Hope it will be considerably higher percentage once people get to the polls on election day

  3. Young people fall for posturing populism. No surprise really and very easy for the opposition to pull off.

  4. Independents are on 12% which is pretty significant and pretty much unheard of in a lot of western democracies. The number of independents has grown quite a lot in recent years.

  7. Given how far off the polls were prior to the last election being called you have to wonder about the true range of support for parties and how a campaign will influence voters. Sinn Féin surged last time when people stopped to think I can’t imagine they would get a similar boost next time but I’m sure a campaign will have a significant impact.

  8. I think Aontú are only going to get stronger. They are the only real right-wing party there and will give people a different option.

  9. Summary – no change, all to play for, anything could happen.

    Still odds on SF and FF on those figures. SF plus SDs, Labour, Greens, PBP and a few Independents could be very unstable. Above all else SF want power and they will do a deal with anyone (except FG) to get it. FF the same. Match made.

  10. Not going to happen. Just like with the last election, they’ll form a coalition.

    FG (21) + FF (16) + Greens (4) = 41

    Unless of course SF partners up with the Social Democrats and PBP.

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