Polish Election Poll for 2 weeks before the election + predicted distribution of seats

13 comments

1. source: [https://wiadomosci.wp.pl/wladza-coraz-bardziej-wymyka-sie-pis-owi-z-rak-mamy-najnowszy-sondaz-6947558450682752a](https://wiadomosci.wp.pl/wladza-coraz-bardziej-wymyka-sie-pis-owi-z-rak-mamy-najnowszy-sondaz-6947558450682752a)

2. Stay calm. People were also hopeful before elections in Hungary, Turkey and most recently in Slovakia.

3. How likely to happen is a KO, PL2050, PSL and Lewica coalition? Same question for a PiS/Konfederacja coalition?

4. Still too much PiS for my liking…

5. impressive that the main opposition party managed to lose votes in a time like this

6. How important, if at all, is it in Poland that the party with the most votes forms the government?

7. Cherry picking polls and probably using optimistic calculator.

8. Fuck Fuck Fuck Fuck Fuck Fuck Fuck Fuck Fuck Fuck

9. The Left balancing on the threshold for coalitions (8%). If they are under, they dont get in. The biggest parties theoretically gain from this, but not KO, since they need them for their big coalition.

10. As a foreigner: what would these polls mean? Described wise. Haha. I know these polls are unreliable but what would it mean?

11. Confederate member Winkler publicly denied coalition with PiS. I don’t think he’s lying

12. Politico’s Poll aggregation currently sees the percentages as follows:

    -PiS: 37%

    -KO: 30%

    -P2050+KP: 11%

    -Konfederacja: 10%

    Lewica: 9%

    [source](https://www.politico.eu/europe-poll-of-polls/poland/)

13. Eyes on the ball – there are still ~2 weeks. I like what I see, but I don’t want to get overexcited yet.