The new LucidTalk poll is out but the best way to judge it is by looking at trends. Any change above 2.7% is outside the margin of error and so is statistically significant. The DUP are clearly gaining support at the expense of other Unionist parties and the SDLP are clearly losing support. SF are likely up slightly and Alliance are probably up slightly.
The thing that stands out to me about the latest poll is the UUP figure. One of their most vulnerable seats is Upper Bann and if these figures were replicated in an election Doug Beattie would be in serious trouble, Mike Nesbitt would also be very worried. One of those seats would probably go to the DUP with the other possibly going to a nationalist (boundary changes will make nationalism very competitive in the old Strangford constituency and will probably see the DUP wining a seat in West Belfast).
by Jsime92