Oooft. 🚨 NEW: Shock poll shows SNP *LANDSLIDE* win 🟨 SNP 40% (-1) 🟥 LAB 30% (+1) 🟦 CON 15% (-1) 🟧 LD 6% (-) SNP would win **48 MPs**, unchanged from 2019. Via @IpsosUK 20-26 November (+/- vs 21 May)
by ewenmax
Oooft. 🚨 NEW: Shock poll shows SNP *LANDSLIDE* win 🟨 SNP 40% (-1) 🟥 LAB 30% (+1) 🟦 CON 15% (-1) 🟧 LD 6% (-) SNP would win **48 MPs**, unchanged from 2019. Via @IpsosUK 20-26 November (+/- vs 21 May)
by ewenmax
4 comments
Yikes, that’s going to piss off some of the staunch i-Pad brigade…
This is contradicted by a post the same account made 6 hours later showing Labour as the largest party by number of seats in Scotland at a GE.
https://twitter.com/LeftieStats/status/1729924632625463385?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet
For sake of clarification, it’s worth noting that this is one of two polls released today. The second was from Redfield and Wilton:
SNP: 34%
LAB: 36%
CON: 17%
DEM: 6%
GRN: 2%
Looking at the last 17 polls between the Ipsos ones, the SNP have averaged about a 3.4 point lead. Which would mark this poll as a noted outlier. Note that according to the 7 polls (starting after Humza became leader) prior to the first Ipsos poll, the average was about a 6.6 lead.
I’d rather spoil my ballot paper at this point. They’re all rotten.