https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Budapest_Memorandum
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>The Budapest Memorandum on Security Assurances comprises three substantially identical political agreements signed at the OSCE conference in Budapest, Hungary, on 5 December 1994, to provide security assurances by its signatories relating to the accession of Belarus, Kazakhstan and Ukraine to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT). The three memoranda were originally signed by three nuclear powers: the Russian Federation, the United Kingdom and the United States.[1] China and France gave somewhat weaker individual assurances in separate documents.[2]
> The memoranda, signed in Patria Hall at the Budapest Convention Center with US Ambassador Donald M. Blinken amongst others in attendance,[3] prohibited the Russian Federation, the United Kingdom and the United States from threatening or using military force or economic coercion against Ukraine, Belarus, and Kazakhstan, “except in self-defence or otherwise in accordance with the Charter of the United Nations.” As a result of other agreements and the memorandum, between 1993 and 1996, Belarus, Kazakhstan and Ukraine gave up their nuclear weapons.
2015, Obama’s words “Western sanctions had left Russia isolated and its economy in ruins”, and 2022-2023 years “too little, too late” weapon support, just prove it. And continue to prove every new day.
Although Biden, from the first days of the war, could end this war just in few months (Lend Lease; white list sanctions; en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Emergencies_Act). And Europe could end this war after half of a year (by destroying Crimea Brigade by Taurus, give Ukraine aviation, civilian drones, and so on), they’re deliberately prolonging Ukrainian war.
Partly by lack of understanding that for totalitarian regimes any impunity is a drug, and any manifestation of weakness – new temptation for escalation. But mainly because of fear of Russian WMD-blackmail/imperialism.
Confirming Russian logic/strategy “WMD-Might make Right/True.”
It’s time for the West to just honestly admit it: yes, because WMD-blackmail even 35% of World’s economy and 55% of World’s military spending cannot give to democratic European country, victim of ethnocide, that defend itself from 20-21th centuries main authoritarian and totalitarian regime sponsor, even 1% of NATO weapon stocks ([www.statista.com/statistics/1293174/nato-russia-military-comparison/](http://www.statista.com/statistics/1293174/nato-russia-military-comparison/)).
Yes, it’s not a coincidence that West start supply offensive weapons only after Russian mobilization and creation of 3-level defensive lines.
Yes, it’s not a coincidence that West start Ukraine counteroffensive not only without any modern aviation, middle-range air defense, ATACMS, 31/6,100 M1 Abrams tanks, 0/1070 M1064 mortar carrier and so on (only USA have 13,750 M2/M3 Bradley/M7 BFIST/Stryker/M1117/M1200 and ~550,000 24-150 km glide bombs that potentially could be lunched even from T-38 Talon/F-5 trainer). But even with anti-mining resources ([www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/07/15/ukraine-war-russia-mines-counteroffensive/](http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/07/15/ukraine-war-russia-mines-counteroffensive/)) and HMMWV shortages.
Yes, it’s not a coincidence that to resist the second army of the World (by weapon stocks) USA, per year, spent only 33% of what it spent on Afghanistan (for 2 years – ~3% of overall Afghanistan spendings). And Russia, guarantor of Budapest Memorandum, still dictate its policy in UN, organization that also should be guarantor of Budapest Memorandum fulfillment.
All of this because WMD-blackmail is so much good political/geopolitical instrument.
Because West, just as others WMD-countries that received from Ukrainian war so much benefits (India, China, North Korea, soon nuclear Iran), agrees with Russia that “WMD-Might make Right/True.”
“In 1994 year USA, Britain, the West overall as main beneficiary, exchanged Ukraine main security factor, WMD, for promises of adequate substitute. Then (from 2014 year), when Ukrainians begin dying in droves (with complete destruction of 50-450,000 cities and real Nazi-like reeducation camps for Ukrainian children) having all economic and technological possibilities to provide such substitute, they don’t provided it (but de-escalate/stabilized situation for less overall risks and inflation/political ratings). Mainly because of Russian WMD – gadgets that can be created even by 3,5 million Jews with 1960s technologies.” This is real Budapest Memorandum history as it will be remembered by mankind.
I’m sure this won’t end badly whatsoever, and Russia will continue to democratize!
Security guarantees by US dont worth the paper they are written on
The good old times, when a chronic alcoholic and a sex addict ruled the world.
NEVER TRUST RUSSIANS
Do US/EU sanctions on Belarus count as economic coercion?
Well, to be fair, this is just a memorandum that has not even been ratified by the Russian parliament, which means it has no legal force. The fact is that Ukraine had no choice: to give up nuclear weapons or not.
The fatal mistake made by Ukraine, the best decision made by Russia, the stupidest step made by the USA.
Worst trade deal in the history of trade deals
Not just giving up nukes but forced Ukraine to destroy long range bombers. Wonder if those would come in handy while the West twiddles its thumbs regarding aircraft support
And as we all know, it was honoured by all parties involved, especially Russia, and nothing bad ever happened!
Absolutely nothing at all!
(Poe’s Law dictates I put a “/s” here)
Never give up nuclear weapons in exchange for promises of security.
This proves that no one should ever get rid of nuclear weapons. And those who don’t have it should get one asap. No country can act as a guarantor of security.
17 comments
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Budapest_Memorandum
>
>
>
>The Budapest Memorandum on Security Assurances comprises three substantially identical political agreements signed at the OSCE conference in Budapest, Hungary, on 5 December 1994, to provide security assurances by its signatories relating to the accession of Belarus, Kazakhstan and Ukraine to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT). The three memoranda were originally signed by three nuclear powers: the Russian Federation, the United Kingdom and the United States.[1] China and France gave somewhat weaker individual assurances in separate documents.[2]
> The memoranda, signed in Patria Hall at the Budapest Convention Center with US Ambassador Donald M. Blinken amongst others in attendance,[3] prohibited the Russian Federation, the United Kingdom and the United States from threatening or using military force or economic coercion against Ukraine, Belarus, and Kazakhstan, “except in self-defence or otherwise in accordance with the Charter of the United Nations.” As a result of other agreements and the memorandum, between 1993 and 1996, Belarus, Kazakhstan and Ukraine gave up their nuclear weapons.
Not so fun fact: [Russians now use the missiles Ukraine handed over under the Memorandum against Ukraine](https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/12/world/europe/russia-ukraine-missiles.html).
A tragic mistake – hopefully next generation will learn from it.
An interesting analysis from that time:
[https://www.mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Mearsheimer-Case-for-Ukrainian-Nuclear-Deterrent.pdf](https://www.mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Mearsheimer-Case-for-Ukrainian-Nuclear-Deterrent.pdf)
Rule number 1: never trust Russia.
Yep, but Kuchma was president at that time
Budapest Memorandum fraud ([https://nationalinterest.org/feature/deceit-dread-and-disbelief-story-how-ukraine-lost-its-nuclear-arsenal-207076](https://nationalinterest.org/feature/deceit-dread-and-disbelief-story-how-ukraine-lost-its-nuclear-arsenal-207076)) – biggest step toward WMD-proliferation that humanity ever did.
2015, Obama’s words “Western sanctions had left Russia isolated and its economy in ruins”, and 2022-2023 years “too little, too late” weapon support, just prove it. And continue to prove every new day.
Although Biden, from the first days of the war, could end this war just in few months (Lend Lease; white list sanctions; en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Emergencies_Act). And Europe could end this war after half of a year (by destroying Crimea Brigade by Taurus, give Ukraine aviation, civilian drones, and so on), they’re deliberately prolonging Ukrainian war.
Partly by lack of understanding that for totalitarian regimes any impunity is a drug, and any manifestation of weakness – new temptation for escalation. But mainly because of fear of Russian WMD-blackmail/imperialism.
Confirming Russian logic/strategy “WMD-Might make Right/True.”
It’s time for the West to just honestly admit it: yes, because WMD-blackmail even 35% of World’s economy and 55% of World’s military spending cannot give to democratic European country, victim of ethnocide, that defend itself from 20-21th centuries main authoritarian and totalitarian regime sponsor, even 1% of NATO weapon stocks ([www.statista.com/statistics/1293174/nato-russia-military-comparison/](http://www.statista.com/statistics/1293174/nato-russia-military-comparison/)).
Yes, it’s not a coincidence that West start supply offensive weapons only after Russian mobilization and creation of 3-level defensive lines.
Yes, it’s not a coincidence that West start Ukraine counteroffensive not only without any modern aviation, middle-range air defense, ATACMS, 31/6,100 M1 Abrams tanks, 0/1070 M1064 mortar carrier and so on (only USA have 13,750 M2/M3 Bradley/M7 BFIST/Stryker/M1117/M1200 and ~550,000 24-150 km glide bombs that potentially could be lunched even from T-38 Talon/F-5 trainer). But even with anti-mining resources ([www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/07/15/ukraine-war-russia-mines-counteroffensive/](http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/07/15/ukraine-war-russia-mines-counteroffensive/)) and HMMWV shortages.
Yes, it’s not a coincidence that to resist the second army of the World (by weapon stocks) USA, per year, spent only 33% of what it spent on Afghanistan (for 2 years – ~3% of overall Afghanistan spendings). And Russia, guarantor of Budapest Memorandum, still dictate its policy in UN, organization that also should be guarantor of Budapest Memorandum fulfillment.
All of this because WMD-blackmail is so much good political/geopolitical instrument.
Because West, just as others WMD-countries that received from Ukrainian war so much benefits (India, China, North Korea, soon nuclear Iran), agrees with Russia that “WMD-Might make Right/True.”
“In 1994 year USA, Britain, the West overall as main beneficiary, exchanged Ukraine main security factor, WMD, for promises of adequate substitute. Then (from 2014 year), when Ukrainians begin dying in droves (with complete destruction of 50-450,000 cities and real Nazi-like reeducation camps for Ukrainian children) having all economic and technological possibilities to provide such substitute, they don’t provided it (but de-escalate/stabilized situation for less overall risks and inflation/political ratings). Mainly because of Russian WMD – gadgets that can be created even by 3,5 million Jews with 1960s technologies.” This is real Budapest Memorandum history as it will be remembered by mankind.
I’m sure this won’t end badly whatsoever, and Russia will continue to democratize!
Security guarantees by US dont worth the paper they are written on
The good old times, when a chronic alcoholic and a sex addict ruled the world.
NEVER TRUST RUSSIANS
Do US/EU sanctions on Belarus count as economic coercion?
Well, to be fair, this is just a memorandum that has not even been ratified by the Russian parliament, which means it has no legal force. The fact is that Ukraine had no choice: to give up nuclear weapons or not.
The fatal mistake made by Ukraine, the best decision made by Russia, the stupidest step made by the USA.
Worst trade deal in the history of trade deals
Not just giving up nukes but forced Ukraine to destroy long range bombers. Wonder if those would come in handy while the West twiddles its thumbs regarding aircraft support
And as we all know, it was honoured by all parties involved, especially Russia, and nothing bad ever happened!
Absolutely nothing at all!
(Poe’s Law dictates I put a “/s” here)
Never give up nuclear weapons in exchange for promises of security.
This proves that no one should ever get rid of nuclear weapons. And those who don’t have it should get one asap. No country can act as a guarantor of security.