Guyanas Präsident sagt, man bereite sich auf einen möglichen Einmarsch Venezuelas in das umstrittene Gebiet vor

by giuliomagnifico

30 comments

  1. Not sure how much they can really prepare. Their military is like 3,000 strong. No, that number isn’t missing a few zeros.

  2. Most of the territory Venezuela wants is undeveloped jungle with little to no roads, the easiest way to move troops into the region would be through Brazilian territory, interested to see what they do since Lula and Maduro are buddies.

  4. Let me guess: Biden is supposed to stop this, and when he isn’t able to do it all by himself, Guayana-Americans will be encouraged to vote against him.

  5. Im a big fan of Guylian chocolates, so hope Guyana wins.

  6. I wonder what any further escalations will affect global oil supplies and prices?

  7. Venezuela would either have to pass through Brazil (causing them to join the war most likely) or try to do an invasion by sea, which presumably would result in America sending some freedom the way of those boats, take your pick I guess

  8. I imagine there is only so much Guyana can do, their military is about 3-5,000 troops. Period.

    Unless they get substantial assistance, they might be conquered.

  10. I have to imagine the Venezuela leadership is full of bluster. It would be an insane move, to try to start a regional, conventional war right under the nose of a superpower.

    What I hope (because it’s less crazy than straight up war) Venezuela’s goal is, is to disincentive the extraction of the new Guyana oil deposits, via saber rattling. The threat of a war would scare investors away from building offshore oil platforms, pipelines, et cetera. Why would that be Venezuela’s strategic goal? Because a giant new source of oil, right next to Venezuela, would push down the cost of oil in the region, harming their revenue stream. (There’s only so much shipping and storage capacity, refineries, and demand.)

    Venezuela has wholly mismanaged their oil extraction infrastructure (which they nationalized / stole from western investors), the lack of maintenance and further investment has really weakened their own productivity, AND they are generally an environmental nightmare (leaks leaks baby).

    Venezuela can’t properly maintain their own oil extraction infrastructure, let alone effectively extract from this untapped resource. Realistically, they can only expect to stop regional competition with this move.

    It’s no secret that Venezuela has been buddying up with Putin / Russia. This is one more ploy in the long running campaign to overwhelm the stable world built by western interventionists. Some freakish dictators and strongmen **really want** to see US dominance over international affairs fail, so that the world can go back to “the old way”. The old way, being where military expansionism is accepted as the way of the world.

    Just so everyone knows, appeasement doesn’t work. If you appease strongmen (let them engage in military conquest) you aren’t avoiding a war, your breeding a much larger world war. Once one military strongman proves it works, many other military dictators will emerge and follow.

    Go ask Neville Chamberlain how his appeasement of Hitler went. I mean, Hitler only wanted the German-speaking Sudetenland.

  12. Invading countries is okay so long as its done in a socialist way. Its all about decolonization and uh… material conditions. Guyanas official language is english, theyre basically imperialists. Remember, America bad!

  13. Seems possible that Venezuela had encouragement from Russia to create another conflict to occupy US attention and distract from Ukraine.

  14. I wonder if this will be this generation’s version of the Invasion of Iraq of 91

    Also, this will most likely exacerbate the migration from Venezuela, right? Seems like a situation where people are keen to reclaim land they see as theirs until they have to go and actually fight

  15. Venezuela is learning from Russia and think you can just start wars now for territory.

    This is not the case.

  16. There is no direct overland rout to Guyana from Venezuela, and while Venezuela has 11,000 Marines, they have no troop transport ships of any kind. So an invasion of Guyana from Venezuela will have to be airborne. Venezuela has only a Brigade of airborne and three American built C-130s to execute any kind of a parachute drop, along with a few dozen transport helicopters for air assault. Given the terrain, air assault is most likely what Venezuela would do, landing troops in Mabaruma, Anna Regina, Lethem, and probably Bartica right on the Essequibo river. These towns are pretty small, most with around 1000 residents, so only a few hundred troops per village are required to control the area, maybe a 1000+ troops in Bartica as it has a population of around 8000. In addition they’d have to move naval assets around the Stabroek block and possibly even land troops in Georgetown. This last operation is risky, the city has a quarter million people, and Venezuela would have to move troops there quickly to force a capitulation. They have limited transport aircraft, mostly light airplanes, so one possible operation would involve landing troops in commandeered civilian airliners at Cheddi Jagan International Airport, similar to the initial Soviet push into Afghanistan.

    All of this would depend on speed. If Venezuela can’t move fast enough to overwhelm Guyana the US will respond with air power, and after that Venezuela is screwed. Fortunately for the US and Guyana, American pilots can sortie from home bases in a matter of hours, and the US has every reason to defend Guyana because most of the oil in the Stabroek block is being pumped by American companies that bought Guyanese drilling licenses.

  17. If there is oil in Guyana, there are US and British oil companies in Guyana. Where oil companies go, the US military goes.

  18. The lesson apparently learnt is that a country can now make any incursions it deems necessary. The most resistance you’ll face is a vague “No, please…don’t you dare do it” from Joe.

  21. Oh look another country in the Russian sphere of influence trying an attack on a neighbor. It’s almost like they coordinated this across a large axis.

  23. Reminder: The “Disputed Area” is ***OVER HALF THE COUNTRY.***

  24. * conflict brewing in south america
    * failing conservative pm looking to get crushed by labour

    what a lazy rehash by the writers, expected better after the most recent episodes

  25. Looks like a beautiful natural forest…..for now

  27. Is it just me, or is war in general just the “IN” thing this season?

  28. Kinda nuts we’re looking at a possible full-out war between these countries. Generally don’t really keep too much up with news from that area so had no idea this was brewing. While I hope the conflict could be avoided if possible I don’t know how likely that would actually be.

  29. Time to park an aircraft carrier off the coast.

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