With one more week left to close out 2023, we are over 99% certain to surpass 1.5 C above the 1850 to 1900 baseline.
We have had an exceptional acceleration in global warming this year, unlike anything we have ever seen before.
Why not 100%.
If a Supervolcano erupted today, or we were hit by a massive asteroid impact tomorrow, then we could either cool enough over the next week to not break 1.5 C or not be around to do the math to calculate the average. Neither case is desirable, I’d rather go over 1.5.
So 1.5 is dead.
The 1.5 Alive slogan propaganda at COP28 and in countless reports and writings and scientific papers is just stupid. The sooner governments realize this reality the better. They are living in a world of rainbows and unicorns and are utterly detached from reality.
The Berkeley Earth year end report link is here:
It is chock full of graphs and information on global average temperatures, overall and land and oceans, and forcing causes and acceleration, all of which I chat about in this video.
Please donate to http://paulbeckwith.net to support my research and videos as I join the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem.
by paulhenrybeckwith
4 comments
Ha
So youre saying theres a chance! But in all seriousness, this really sucks.
1.5C is defined as an average temperature over multi-decadal time scales. Not a single year.
Remember when Koch funded Berkeley (Surface) Earth Report was touted as the report to show how climate change was all made up but then it just confirmed what the climatologists were saying all along and then all the climate change deniers just forgot about it and moved on to the next hot denier’s topic.