Ranking of Russian federal subjects by rate of residents killed in action in Ukraine per 100 thousand residents
by Larelli
Ranking of Russian federal subjects by rate of residents killed in action in Ukraine per 100 thousand residents
by Larelli
29 comments
russia is selecting its own population… modern-day human breeding…
First ethnically Russian entity: 5th place (Sakhalin Oblast)
First ethnically Russian entity *not in Siberia or beyond*: 11th place (Pskov Oblast)
It looks awful they are killing their minorities, why Moscow and Saint Petersburg last? Are they afraid of killing young men from their biggest cities in case that leads to protests?
sending minorities to fight your war aka two genocides for the cost of one
But but r/europe told me that France was the evil colonial empire
As a russian, i can say that its not about the ethnic minorities. You can see that the leaders are the poorest regions, people there go for “easy money” and benefits that the government promises for participating in the war. And in these regions Putin and the war were more popular and there were some people who went to war because of their ideas, but now they are all in Ukraine. About Moscow and St.Petersburg: they are the most rich and liberal cities and the governments of these cities are just ignoring this war and trying to don’t remind to their citizens about war once again.
Chechens are doing pretty well.
Well most of the Russian citizens fighting in Ukraine are coming from the poorest regions of the federation. Either voluntarily either mandatorily Central Russia is using its “colonies” as a workforce supply. The same, cities like Moscow and St.Petersburg are doing for the lowest jobs.
In Tuva no young men any more? That’s really like – great for a dictator like putin, if he wants a more ethnic white Russia.
Two flies with one clap, hope that’s a saying in Russia too.
Huh, seems like the are where most people are against the government are least affected by drafts.
Interesting.
Tuva what?
Reposting my original comment that for some reason had not been uploaded.
On the occasion of both the end of 2023 and having reached the figure of 40 thousand Russian military deaths in Ukraine confirmed by Mediazone, and my interest in the spatial distribution of the fallen, I created an Excel chart with Russian deaths by federal subject (oblast, krai…) per 100 thousand residents.
I used Mediazone’s [datas]( https://en.zona.media/article/2022/05/20/casualties_eng) for the KIAs and Rosstat’s [2021 census datas]( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_Russian_census) for population. Colors are for dividing regions by their federal district. Central FD = blue. North-Western FD = purple. Southern FD = red. North Caucasian FD = brown. Volga FD = green. Ural FD = gray. Siberian FD = light blue. Far Eastern FD = yellow. The average for Russia is in black and is 27,6. Out of 40599 KIAs, there are 264 foreign nationals, in addition to 274 Russians whose regional origin is unknown.
Some notes and analysis of the findings.
The datas show just the KIAs confirmed by Mediazona. So obviously the figure excludes MIAs and KIAs whose death wasn’t disclosed, and therefore the figure of 40k is clearly an underestimate. Datas for the most underdeveloped regions may even be more underestimated than the average, due to factors such as the lack of widespread social network access with which to make obituaries known. The underestimation is lower for regions such as Moscow Oblast and Krasnodar Krai because of the work of volunteers who document the dead soldiers in cemeteries in those regions. It means that the gap between places like Moscow and the Far Eastern regions is even larger than it seems.
Mediazona’s datas account for PMCs and convicts deaths but exclude the D/LPR losses (i.e., the occupied areas, as of 23 February 2022, of the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts). Until the DPR was included in the Russian Federation after the sham referendum, their government authorities published regular bulletins of the losses of the 1st Corps (DPR Army). In the last bulletin, dated 22 December 2022, the republic had recognized 4163 KIAs and 17329 WIAs. The rate would be 189 per 100k residents, which would put it off the scale. And these are only the confirmed losses in 2022. Per BBC News Russian D/LPR KIAs are at least 23 thousands at the end of November 2023, which would bump the rate to 620. This makes it clear why the units of the 1st and 2nd Corps today are overwhelmingly made up of mobilized and contract soldiers from Russia proper. Per BBC News Russian, Russia proper has at least 80 thousand KIAs.
For the Russian population datas I also included Crimea, as it’s de facto a Russian region. The casualty figures for the Republic of Crimea and Sevastopol are surprisingly low, an indication that they, being recognized as an integral part of the Federation, were spared by the total mobilization of D/LPR and were not disproportionately affected by the Russian partial mobilization. In the occupied areas of the Zaporizhzhia and Kherson Oblasts, to my knowledge, Russia enlists collaborationists and in any case locals willing to volunteer, while I’m not aware of a total mobilization as in D/LPR (which slowed down when these regions were formally annexed).
Moscow and St. Petersburg (excluding their oblasts), which together make 12,6% of the Russian population, are virtually untouched by the war. This is because of several factors: very low share of soldiers from these cities in the Russian Army prior to the war in Ukraine, “partial mobilization” being much less prevalent relative to population than the country’s average, much higher proportion of officers among those from these cities (thus lower probability of being killed), probably also much lower % of male population in jail and with criminal records than in certain Siberian or Far Eastern regions. Much of the soldiers from these cities are, for example, mobilized reserve officers or volunteers driven by ideological commitment. Let’s also consider that the salaries and bonuses offered for contract soldiers are not attractive enough to residents of Moscow and St. Petersburg.
In contrast, residents of Buryatia (for example) are over-represented in everything: in contract soldiers, volunteers, mobilized and convicts. The figure should be understood as representative of residents, not ethnicities: as far as I am able to see, a significant proportion of the fallen from Buryatia are ethnic Russians, and there are ethnic minorities (Buryats, Yakuts, etc.) in the fallen from neighboring oblasts that are overwhelmingly ethnic Russian.
In the first place there is Tuva, Shoigu’s birth region. It’s a very poor region, so military careers are very relevant there. For example, at the beginning of the conflict there were Tuvans as contract soldiers in units from every Russian military district. They are largely concentrated, though, in the 55th Mountain Brigade of the 41st Army of the Central Military District, and the rate of losses has increased substantially since the beginning of the Avdiivka offensive in October.
The figures for the North Caucasian Federal District regions are surprisingly low, in spite of what I anecdotally read about the high presence of men from this area (primarily Dagestan) on the new contract soldiers. Note the very low figure for Chechnya, due to the fact that many Chechens deployed in Ukraine are Kadyrovites from the 141st Motorized Regiment of the Rosgvardia or from the Chechen OMON/SOBR units, who saw only a limited presence on the front lines (e.g. in Mariupol) but were later used only for rear and order-keeping roles. Unlike the “Akhmat” units, formed by Kadyrov during the war, which are actually involved in the frontline but are made up of contract soldiers from all over Russia and in fact to my knowledge, basically, just the officers are Chechens. The third lowest figure, however, is from Ingushetia. My personal theory is that Muslims are considerably less convinced about the war than the Orthodoxes (remember how involved the Russian Orthodox Church is in supporting the “SMO” and how widespread Orthodox religious iconography is among the patches or flags of Russian soldiers at the front), or even the agnostics or other religious minorities (e.g. Buddhists). Ingushetia is 96% Muslim. In contrast, the only North Caucasian region in the top ranks for deaths is North Ossetia, which is also the only North Caucasian region with a Christian majority, beside the above-average, Orthodox-plurality Stavropol Krai. Additional factors could be important, such as the high rurality of these regions and a smaller state capacity to enforce control over territory (e.g., enforcing mobilization notices) and less sense of loyalty to the authorities. Even places like Tatarstan or Bashkortostan, though large providers of volunteer units and contract soldiers (after all, they have large populations), are respectively surprisingly below average in losses and not much above, which could be due to the fact that they are Muslim-majority regions. The apparent not great support by Russian Muslims towards the war is admirable, considering that many of them come from poor or very poor regions.
Note the high ranking of Pskov Oblast, where the 76th VDV Division is based, or even Kostroma Oblast, home of the 331st Air Assault Regiment of the 98th VDV Division, both units that had significant losses during the first month of the war and again in subsequent periods. This is not to say that the soldiers in a given unit are for the vast majority from the region where the unit is based, but there is nevertheless some correlation. Often the mobilized are sent to units based in their regions. Although progressively this correlation between where the unit’s HQ is located and the origin of that unit’s soldiers may get smaller, it is still evident: during the summer, the plurality of casualties originated from the regions of the Southern and North Caucasian Federal Districts, while since the beginning of the Avdiivka offensive the plurality of fatalities have come from the Ural Federal District, as well as from the Volga and Siberian Federal Districts, i.e., where the units of the Central MD are based (and let’s add that many soldiers of the 1st Corps, formerly the DPR Army, are now from these federal districts). This correlation is not so great, for example, for residents of the Volga and Ural federal districts, which are areas with very high populations compared to the number of military units having their HQs there.
The distribution doesn’t seem to be much affected by the urban/rural contrast: most of the oblasts with the largest share of rural inhabitants are below average, while (not considering Moscow and St. Petersburg) a good chunk of those with the highest share of urban inhabitants are above average. Urbanized and fairly developed and industrialized regions such as Sverdlovsk (Yekaterimburg region) or Chelyabinsk for example are above average and considering their population, are very important source basins for soldiers (and also convicts). The high position of Kaliningrad could be due to the fact that even before the war an high proportion of residents were in the armed forces, as a result of the presence of the 11th Corps of the Baltic Fleet in the region (and other military installations). This also applies to Murmansk. I had read that in a village near the border with Norway (where the 14th Corps of the Arctic Fleet is located), in one elementary school 85% of the children’s fathers were in Ukraine. The fact that, for example, Amur Oblast and Khabarovsk Krai are below average, unlike the vast majority of the other Far Eastern regions, could be due to the fact that since the Russian withdrawal from Kherson the 35th Army of the Eastern MD, based there, has never been involved in the hostilities in a major way.
Yet another Turkic genocide by Russians.
Cleaning out the minorities in the best of Nazi fashion…
Considering that many minorities are in a situation where :
1 They are much younger per capita
2 Have more males per capita
3 Are not University educated
4 Are from poorer backgrounds
It makes absolute sense for them to represents a higher percentage of deaths compared to their % of the population
What doesnt make sense is for minorities like Tatars and North Caucasians (excluding ossetians) to be so low on the list. Unless you believe they are super soldiers or smth
Also, looking better at this graph, while many regions containing national minorities are top of the list, most of these have russians as the majority ethnic group, and are probably there because they are less developed regions( All of the Top 15 regions have russian majority, exluding Tuva and Alania)
Ethnic cleansing with extra steps
Recruiting Moscovites be hard: https://youtu.be/Gv8ncyxVXQ0?si=PjxY8sdqXuaXeiH-
Genocide of minorities by sending them to do a genocide in another country.
Double genocide. Russia perfected an art of genocides and have never paid for the crimes they have done.
Moscow is and always has been a colonialist oppressor, both toward other countries and toward its own population.
Mediazona is a widely known liar. In fact there is no way to get this info in Russia then to disclose it.
dubious statistics, it seems that the numbers are false. On average, the rate in Russia is 27.6 deaths per 100,000 inhabitants. It turns out that 38,640 people died in total throughout Russia. It is not true. More than 100,000-200,000 were killed. It would be interesting to see reliable figures, and not in the form of a graph, but in the form of a map of Russia, with regions marked in different colors, depending on the level of mortality.
Shoigu, who is from Tuva, sending his own people to the meat grinder: “Better you than me.”
using mediazona as a source💀💀💀
So first in line are Mongolic/Turkicc/Tungusic people, then come rural slavs, and finally urban slavs basically don’t go at all. Funny how that work.
And no one was surprised
Oh look, Russia is evil. Wait, everybody knew that already. But I guess it’s good to have data on it.
Surprised Chechnya is so low
Fine work Ukraine.
Shocking. Moscow is dead last. So to speak.