Scottish General Election poll: SNP and Labour tied in new survey

by zaraalbro

9 comments
  1. The current party’s in Britain are a hive of corruption and lies, I sort of wish that the BNP were still running.

  2. The labour bots and shills still have their work cut out.

  3. Interesting- gap closed again between Yes and No.
    Only 1% lead for No.

  4. Imagine if the SNP had competent leaders instead of useless ideologues that are able to play the victim on every issue, they’d actually be crushing it in the polls as they get the defacto independence vote – SNP needs new leadership quickly and they would easily win, instead they put up Humza Useless that has the intellectual thinking of a teenager and never had a job in his life

  5. That’s a 13 point swing to Labour from SNP, not as significant as the Rutherglen by-election, but still pretty significant even without tactical voting.

  6. Feeding those numbers into Electoral Calculus’s predictor [yields](https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/fcgi-bin/usercode.py?type=scotland&SCOTCON=17&SCOTLAB=35&SCOTLIB=9&SCOTNAT=35&SCOTReform=2&SCOTGreen=2&display=AllChanged&regorseat=%28none%29&boundary=2019nbbase)…

    Party |2019 Votes |2019 Seats |Pred Votes |Gains |Losses |Net Change |Pred Seats
    —|—:|—:|—:|—:|—:|—:|—:
    CON |25.1% |6 |17.0% |0 |0 |+0 |6
    LAB |18.6% |1 |35.0% |26 |0 |+26 |27
    LIB |9.5% |2 |9.0% |3 |0 |+3 |5
    Reform |0.5% |0 |2.0% |0 |0 |+0 |0
    Green |1.0% |0 |2.0% |0 |0 |+0 |0
    SNP |45.0% |48 |35.0% |0 |29 |-29 |19
    Other |0.3% |0 |0.0% |0 |0 |+0 |0

    LD gains would be Caithness Sutherland and Easter Ross, Fife North East, Mid Dunbartonshire – Fife NE is a changed seat which IIRC is currently LD held, but which the prediction is wouldn’t have been on the new boundaries.

    14 of the Labour potential gains are in the Glasgow area.

  7. Genuinely, Hamza is utterly incompetent if he can’t deliver a landslide over the English parties running in Scotland.

  8. Honestly I wouldnt call a political drumming of the SNP the worst thing, Sturgeon properly fucked it then passed her shitshow onto Yousaf who has been less than ideal for the situation.

    Im still glad to have him over Forbes by a long shot but he doesnt have Sturgeon’s charisma to fend off the unionists and hasnt pushed hard enough on areas he needs to ignite SNP/ Indy support. Ataining the eire of the gammons whenever he mentions anything to do with the middle east is something I want to see him doing with Westminster. He should be pushing hard on the section 35 decision against the GRA and DRS bills, if not in court because its settled there then as a prime reason for Indy/ SNP votes.

    Clear the shite out of the SNP make it leaner party with people that actually respect their won seats rather than having so many idlers who seemingly just see it as a paycheck. While not adding anything of any use to the party. Shite like Council tax reform is something that they have been kicking down the road since 2007, surely they can wrangle someone to come up with some halfway workable plans. More indepth Indy plans upon plans to alay some of the justified fears, assign that to someone and tell them to get it done. If not why are you a part of a pro Indy part.

  9. Will be interesting to see the only poll that matters, which is the one on the day. 

    All these Tory polls, are there to shape the opinion, not calculate it. 

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