**Data Source:** Award Season Winners & Online/Media Prediction Lists
**Tools Used:** RStudio with ggplot2
Each year I predict the winners of the Oscars using “wisdom of the crowd” methodologies, factoring in award season winners and various prediction lists from the internet and other media.
I have been doing this since 2016 and each year refresh the “weight” of each predictor based on how accurate they lead to the actual winner of each category. This year aggregates 26 different predictors.
Kinda shocked Nickel Boys isn’t even really looked at for best picture. Thats my pick
Also, maybe I’m thinking of this backwards but if a category is less than 50% wouldn’t that indicate a predicted loser?
I would be curious to now more about the methodology and which features you use.
I think once again people are underestimating Peter Jackson and the hobbit for the write in vote, and a clean sweep of oscer gold
Nosferatu being so far behind on cinematography is criminal
This is impressive work. I’ll be keeping score on the night. Good luck.
6 comments
**Data Source:** Award Season Winners & Online/Media Prediction Lists
**Tools Used:** RStudio with ggplot2
Each year I predict the winners of the Oscars using “wisdom of the crowd” methodologies, factoring in award season winners and various prediction lists from the internet and other media.
I have been doing this since 2016 and each year refresh the “weight” of each predictor based on how accurate they lead to the actual winner of each category. This year aggregates 26 different predictors.
Kinda shocked Nickel Boys isn’t even really looked at for best picture. Thats my pick
Also, maybe I’m thinking of this backwards but if a category is less than 50% wouldn’t that indicate a predicted loser?
I would be curious to now more about the methodology and which features you use.
I think once again people are underestimating Peter Jackson and the hobbit for the write in vote, and a clean sweep of oscer gold
Nosferatu being so far behind on cinematography is criminal
This is impressive work. I’ll be keeping score on the night. Good luck.
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