France, the Netherlands and Austria have risen up the odds to solidy their places among the favourites to win the Eurovision Song Contest 2025.

While Sweden has continued to grow as the favourite to win the 69th Eurovision Song Contest, the past week has seen changes in the top ten favourites to win the competition in Basel. France is now the second favourite to win with Louane, without the song being released the nation is viewed as one of the front runners for victory in Switzerland.

In the same position as France is Austria who have also not yet released their song. “Wasted Love” by JJ is due to be released on March 6, but the betting markets have moved it from 10th to 5th favourite to take victory. Austria is closely followed by the Dutch entry “C’est la vie” by Claude which was released on Thursday, The Dutch have risen 5 places in the past week and look close to entering the top five favourites to win.

Further down the odds in contrast are Portugal, Malta and Germany who have all slipped back during the past week. Germany is the biggest faller slipping eight places back to 21st favourite to win. While Portugal who had seen a rise following the first Semi-Final of their selection have slipped to 10th favourite. Malta has now also fallen outside of the top ten for the first time since early February.

The percentage chance of victory according to Eurovision World as of 11:02 CET is (change since February 23):

Sweden – 19.7% (+0.7%)
France – Louane – 11.2% (+1 place, +2.2%)
Finland – Erika Vikman – “Ich komme” – 7.9% (-1 place, -1.1%)
Estonia – Tommy Cash – “Espresso macchiato” – 5.3% (-0.7%)
Austria – JJ – “Wasted Love” – 4.8% (+5 places, +1.8%)
Netherlands – Claude – “C’est la vie” – 4.7% (+5 places, +1.7%)
Czechia – Adonxs – “Kiss Kiss Goodbye” – 3.6% (+2 places, +0.6%)
Israel – Yuval Raphael – 3.5% (-2 places, -0.5%)
Belgium – Red Sebastian – “Strobe Lights” – 2.9% (-1 place, -0.1%)
Portugal – 2.8% (-5 places, -1.2%)
Malta – Miriana Conte – “Kant” – 2.4% (-4 places, -1.6%)
Australia – Go-Jo – “Milkshake Man” – 2.4% (+6 places, +0.4%)
Ukraine – Ziferblat – “Bird of Pray” – 2.3% (+1 place, +0.3%)
Cyprus – Theo Evan – 2% (+1 place, +2.2%)
United Kingdom – 2% (+2 places)
Italy – Lucio Coris – “Volevo essero un duro” – 1.9% (-4 places, -1.1%)
Albania – Shkodra Elektronika – “Zjerm” – 1.6% (+4 places, +0.6%)
San Marino – 1.6% (+12 places, +0.6%)
Lithuania – Katarsis – “Tavo akys” – 1.5% (-3 places, -0.5%)
Ireland – Emmy – “Laika Party” – 1.5% (-1 place, -0.5%)
Germany – Abor & Tynna – “Baller” – 1.3% (-8 places, 0.7%)
Greece – Klavdia – “Asteromata” – 1.3% (-2 places, 0.7%)
Georgia – 1.2% (-1 place, +0.2%)
Poland – Justyna Steczkowska – “Gaja” – 1.1% (+3 places, +0.1%)
Switzerland – 1% (+1 place)
Denmark – Sissal – “Halluciantion” – 1% (-3 places)
Norway – Kyle Alessandro – “Lighter” – 0.9% (-2 places, -0.1%)
Azerbaijan – Mamagama – “Run With U” – 0.8% (-4 places, -0.2%)
Armenia – Parg – “Survivor” – 0.8% (-1 place, -0.2%)
Croatia – 0.8% (-1 place, -0.2%)
Slovenia – Klemen – “How Much Time Do We Have Left?” – 0.7% (+2 places, -0.3%)
Latvia – Tautumeitas – “Bur man laimi” – 0.6% (-1 place, -0.4%)
Luxembourg – Laura Thorn – “La poupée monte le son” – 0.6% (-1 place, -0.4%)
Spain – Melody – “Esa diva” – 0.6% (-0.4%)
Iceland – VÆB – “Róa” – 0.6% (+1 place, -0.4%)
Serbia – Princ – “Mila” – 0.6% (-1 place, 0.4%)
Montenegro – Nina Žižić – “Dobrodošli” – 0.4% (-0.6%)

Image Source: Avrotros | Source: Eurovision World

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