When Trade Wars Become Shooting Wars

https://www.hoover.org/research/when-trade-wars-become-shooting-wars

Posted by HooverInstitution

2 comments
  1. “The Trump administration has unleashed the dogs of war—a trade war, that is.” So finds [Military History in Contemporary Conflict Working Group](https://www.hoover.org/research-teams/military-historycontemporary-conflict-working-group) contributor and Ohio State University Professor of Military History Peter R. Mansoor in a new *Military History in the News* column. Mansoor considers contemporary parallels to previous trade wars, suggesting that “the series of economic embargoes placed on Japan by the Franklin D. Roosevelt administration leading up to the outbreak of World War II in the Pacific” offer important lessons for policy today. “It is unlikely that President Xi will retaliate against Trump’s tariffs with force,” Mansoor concludes, but “the trade war between the United States and China will be economically painful and is likely to last for years to come.”

  2. Not a whole lot of actual *analysis* here differentiating the cases in which trade wars have escalated to shooting wars and the ones where they haven’t- just ‘here’s some cases where they did and some where they didn’t. This one probably won’t. Why? Don’t ask me.’

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