Pakistan violates ceasefire for 5th straight day in Jammu and Kashmir, firing reported in Kupwara, Akhnoor

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1. Subah statement: Pakistan has violated the ceasefire along the Line of Control in Jammu and Kashmir for the fifth consecutive day, with fresh firing incidents reported in Kupwara and Akhnoor sectors, escalating border tensions.

   These ceasefire violations follow a deadly terrorist attack on April 22 in Pahalgam, where 26 Hindus were identified and killed. India attributed the attack to Pakistan-based militants, leading to a significant diplomatic fallout. In response, India suspended the Indus Waters Treaty and downgraded diplomatic ties, while Pakistan closed its airspace to Indian flights and suspended the Simla Agreement.

2. What do you guys think about who is behind this chain of actions taken by Pakistan,

   * Pakistani army general making provocative speech against India,

   https://www.outlookindia.com/national/jk-pak-army-chiefs-kashmir-jugular-vein-remark-triggered-attack-speech-resurfaces-amid-pahalgam-shock

   * Organising a huge terrorist attack in India,

   On April 22, 2025, a mass shooting in Pahalgam, Jammu and Kashmir, resulted in the deaths of 26 civilians, mostly Hindu tourists. The Resistance Front (TRF), initially claimed responsibility but later retracted. Investigations revealed that one of the attackers, Hashim Musa, was a former Pakistani Army Para Commando who joined the banned militant organization Lashkar-e-Taiba after being dismissed from military service.

   https://www.msn.com/en-in/news/India/pahalgam-terror-attack-hashim-musa-terrorist-involved-in-massacre-is-ex-special-forces-commando-of-pakistan-army-report/ar-AA1DOau3

   * Ceasefire Violations Along the Line of Control (LoC)

   Pakistan has violated the ceasefire along the LoC in Jammu and Kashmir for the fifth consecutive day, with fresh firing incidents reported in Kupwara and Akhnoor sectors, escalating border tensions.

   * Suspension of the Simla Agreement, that basically defines LOC

   * Threats and Claims of Imminent Indian Attack 24/7, may be preparing ground work for first strike, just like every other war started by Pakistan

   * Infiltration Attempts by Pakistani Forces

   In February 2025, the Indian Army foiled an attack by Pakistani infiltrators along the LoC in the Krishna Ghati sector, killing seven, including 2-3 Pakistan Army personnel.

   * Cyber Attacks and Espionage Activities

   India reported attempted cyber-infiltrations by Pakistan-based hackers following the Pahalgam attack, indicating a multifaceted approach to destabilize the region.

   Due to the trade war started by the US president, many companies were looking to shift to India, India is about to gain a lot of manufacturing.

   https://www.fortuneindia.com/technology/apple-fast-tracks-iphone-production-shift-from-china-to-india-targets-full-transition-by-2026-report/122469

   Do you think Pakistan is acting on its own or there could be a even bigger geopolitical game being played?

3. I think it is fascinating as Pakistan is also claiming that India is going to invade them within the next 36 hours. Both countries are trying paint the other as the aggressor as part of their chest thumping.

4. Never interrupt an enemy when they’re making unforced errors. By exploiting Pakistan’s existing internal divisions – such as water disputes between Sindh and Punjab, the Baloch insurgency, and ensuring increasing Pushtun nationalism via the Taliban – India can hasten its neighbor’s inevitable disintegration without engaging in a major war.
   This strategy would allow India to safeguard its economic growth and foreign investment, while acheiving its strategic goals against Pakistan, and concurrently maintaining readiness against China. Something as simple as pushing armored divisions up to the border, and moving them around for a few months – see how long the aid-addicted Pakistani military can sustain mirrored deployments on their side of the border, before economic collapse sets in.

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