This year’s parade in Red Square isn’t just a military spectacle—it’s a geopolitical tripwire. And the tension is reaching a boiling point.

  • Over 200 Ukrainian drones were shot down in Russia this week, including waves targeting Moscow’s airspace (Reuters, May 7)

  • Mobile internet and GPS are being jammed across the capital ahead of the parade (Euronews, May 7)

  • 29 foreign leaders are attending—including Xi Jinping and Lula da Silva (The Moscow Times)

  • Zelenskyy warns Ukraine cannot guarantee their safety: “Anything could happen” (Kyiv Independent)

  • Medvedev responds: “No one guarantees May 10 in Kyiv” (TASS)

  • Analysts raise alarms about a possible false-flag incident (Lansing Institute)

Ukraine has shown remarkable drone reach—but is unlikely to strike the parade itself due to risk of killing foreign VIPs or triggering escalation.

Full thoughts in my substack, would love to get some feedback on my ideas.

Do you think Russia might fake a provocation to justify escalation—or is Ukraine overreaching with its drone pressure?

by Partnerakro

3 comments

  1. The Kremlin has offered a unilateral May 8–10 ceasefire, but Ukraine rejected it as nothing more than “a theatrical performance.”

    I’d hit everything like bridges and railyards, BUT the Kremin! Better yet, hit BEFORE the big event… a crater where Puny plans to sit. Hit at ~ 5am. PERFECT!
    No intended casualties… just a hole, 3m deep!

  2. Wouldn’t put it past Putin to stage an event to get more support from other countries in manpower and money

  3. Ukrainian drones have to pass through Moscow defense zones to reach the munitions depots they’ve been targeting recently, and it wouldn’t make any sense right now to change that plan. The Russian attacks on civilian areas in Ukraine have been front and centre in news all over the world, and it would be bad pr to go down to their level.

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