Jake Ashton

Jake Ashton Senior News Editor

Jake is a Football and Entertainment betting expert, with a Man City season ticket and a deep knowledge of reality TV betting angles

Sweden are 1/7 favourites to win Semi Final 1 on Tuesday 13 May. Top 10 from each semi-final advance to the Grand Final on Saturday 17 May. The 2025 contest takes place in Basel, Switzerland, at St Jakobshalle. Sweden Head and Shoulders Above the Field in Semi Final 1 Odds

As the 2025 Eurovision Song Contest kicks off this week, Sweden enter both Semi Final 1 and the overall competition as clear market leaders.

Priced at just 1/7 with bet365, Sweden are seen as near certainties to win their semi-final on Tuesday night, with the first live show of the contest set to feature 15 acts vying for one of 10 qualification spots.

Sweden are represented by Finnish group KAJ at this year’s Eurovision and are massive favourites to win the Song Contest’s Final on Saturday night.

The latest odds from UK Betting Sites give an implied probability of 87.5% that Sweden win Semi Final one this evening.

Eurovision Song Contest 2025 Semi Final 1 WinnerOddsProbabilitySweden1/787.5%Estonia7/112.5%Netherlands16/15.9%Albania25/13.8%Belgium28/13.4%

What the expert says…

Sweden’s dominance in this semi-final is clear both on the stage and in the betting market. It’s hard to see anyone else topping the heat unless something unexpected happens in the live show.

Jake Ashton – Entertainment Betting Expert – OLBG.com