Will the US join in? Trump walks tightrope after Israel bombs Iran

8 comments

1. The US and Israel are close allies. Netanyahu is the only leader to have visited President Trump twice at the White House. However, in an age of America First, Israel does not think it has any choice but to go it alone against enemies who plot its destruction.

   There is every sign that Trump expected this — he ordered US personnel to move out of the region shortly before the attacks. Trump may soon be confronted with the limits of “peace through strength” when Iran strikes back at Israel, or achieves its full uranium enrichment.

   Trump’s Maga base is divided over whether to use the US military to attack Iran. Marjorie Taylor Greene, a loyalist congresswoman, is vocally calling for Trump to stay away, posting on X: “The American people aren’t interested in foreign wars.”

2. It should either tell Israel it will not shoot down missiles unless Israel stops striking Iran or struck Iran itself and destroy its nuclear arsenal.

3. If they want to pick a fight, they should be able to handle it on their own

   I’m not sure what the ultimate end game is here. Is it regime change? Because the American people do not have the stomach for that…

   Institutional support is close to gone in the Democratic Party, and longer term- even the Republican flank might not be as secure as it seems. This realignment will work against Israeli interests in the Rs

4. I hope the USA doesn’t. This is not our fight.

5. You can bet the US citizen will pay for this war

6. Trump’s foreign policy posture has been “no more foreign wars” so it’s unlikely that he’d seek to involve the U.S. directly. He is very pro Israel though, and he obviously pulled the plug on the Iran nuclear deal that the Obama administration made.

   I think he supports tacitly what Israel is doing, and it seems the U.S. is providing Israel with intelligence and logistics support to some degree in this operation. I think he sees this more as Israel’s fight, but is happy to support Israel in various ways. Israel embodies what he likes in an ally; they are strong, committed and “pull their weight”. So he’s happy to support them. He will also perceive this operation as giving him huge leverage over Iran in negotiations.

   As things are going, there is no need for direct military action from the U.S. Israel is doing all the work for them. I think Trump would only get involved if it looked like Israel couldn’t achieve its goals.

   I don’t think any U.S. administration, be it Trump or another Republican or a Democrat, would be comfortable with a nuclear armed Iran. So if that looked like a serious prospect then I think it would be difficult to see anything other than U.S. involvement in curtailing that.

7. I certainly hope not, but Bibi might offer him a Trump Tower in Tel Aviv in exchange for support.

   According to Trump’s logic, this should be considered “Trump’s War”, since it happened while he was in office.

8. Trump won’t act he doesn’t want to put at risk USA troops. Houndis he backed down on remember? His view on Europe and China, but I’m not convinced. Seems be isolating his allies and himself for no gain. Some around him are hawks on China but trump well he likes to be centre stage.

   Maybe they make a mistake. End of the day trump wants no nukes for Iran. But Israel making sure he doesn’t sign any deal

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