‘If Khamenei stops the fire, we’ll accept that’: Israel signals readiness to end war with Iran

https://www.ynetnews.com/article/rkgin2bege#autoplay

Posted by NotSoSaneExile

16 comments

  1. It seems that after the US bombings, Israel feels it has met their original goals of attacking Iran, and are ready to end the war if Iran stops attacking.

    Will Iran do some performative strikes and then the whole thing will die down? Or will they seek major retribution that will cause this war to spiral and continue?

    As of right now, Israel is still attacking Iran all day long. Striking military targets and production (An example from [an hour ago](https://www.ynetnews.com/article/s5i7mbu84))

    Also of note, some media is reporting that Iran will soon decide if they are closing the strait of Hormuz, an action which could cause aggression from more countries against them.

  2. I highly doubt that Khamenei is going to stop now. Their nuclear sites were just bombed and they are going to have to respond if they want to have any sense of saving face/deterrence. I know it was the US who flew the actualy mission but the US did it on behalf of Israel, and Khamenei sees both of them as responsible.

  4. If I was Iran and I still wanted to build a bomb, I would take Israel’s offer and use the time to finish the bomb.

  5. It makes sense now for israel to stop war with iran
    Since israel and US has severely damaged Irans Nuclear facilities, Dealing a huge blow to its nuclear program, Thats was the main goal and has been accomplished, better for iran to chill out.

  6. The Iranians don’t really have a way out of this, closing the strait of hormuz only escalates the violence and risks further destabilization of the regime. The israelis are also looking for an excuse to destroy their oil facilities in Kuzistan, and if iran is already waging an energy war against its neighbors, that could give them a pretext. Without oil revenues, the mullahs are finished, the regime might not collapse immediately, be the incentive system the central government uses to keep its minority provinces in line would collapse along with the economy.

  7. I feel like I’m taking crazy pills, how do u hit a guy in the face as hard as u can, knee his face as he goes down and once he hits the ground u say „once u stop being aggressive we consider this settled“

  8. If I am Iran, I do not retaliate strongly. Firstly I do a severe internal crackdown to identify Israeli moles and spies. I begin negotiations with the West while secretly working on further enrichment at locations that only a handful of people know about, and test a nuke as soon as possible. I might also look at buying nuclear technologies or materials from North Korea, although that might not be realistic.

  9. I think the damage Iran did to Israel was more than expected. At least if you listen closely to the Jersualem Press Club. They said Irans modern BAs are precise and hard to intercept. Also they put a strict censorship in place – much stricter than before. Its forbidden to even film interceptions. Not a good sign. Israel is effectively cut off. Ports and Airports are closed – maybe even the military ones at risk. So they cannot prolong the war.

  11. (Man beats woman)

    “If she stops nagging me I will stop.”

  12. What is the real state of Iran’s nuclear plants?

    Some media outlets say the airstrike was devastating and total, completely disabling those nuclear facilities.

    Other media outlets mention that the attack was actually superficial; they only destroyed the access routes to those underground plants, and that Iran had actually evacuated its equipment well in advance.

  13. everybody in the comments assuming nuclear program is slowed down or even destroyed.

    how do you know?

    jd vance was just on fox, saying its neither destroyed nor slowed down

  14. I’d appreciate feedback on the following.

    The US cannot prevent Iran from closing the Strait to tankers; Iran has been preparing for this for decades, the geography facilitates hidden placement of anti-ship munitions, and tankers are too vulnerable.

    Closing the Strait to everyone except themselves would be attractive to Iran. China would continue to purchase Iranian fossil fuels via overland pipelines and China-flagged tankers would be invulnerable to interdiction by the US Navy. However, Israel would likely disable Iranian pipelines and export terminals with minimal-enough damage to allow Iran to recommence exports if they reopen the Strait. For this reason, Iran may cease their own exports rather than suffer damage to their infrastructure.

    If Iran closes the Strait, all exports from Iran and and all exports by others through the Strait would be indefinitely prevented. Saudi Arabia would continue sending some fossil exports through the Red Sea and China would likely not oppose the US more-thoroughly quashing the Houthis’ abilities to interdict this trade in order to receive some exports themselves (anyone know how long it would take Saudi Arabia to increase this pipeline capacity?). Iran would zero out their export revenue and their population would blame the regime for the resultant economic effects. With Israel continuing to attrit Revolutionary Guard command & equipment/personnel concentrations, weakening Iran’s internal security apparatus, that could lead to the regime being overthrown over a period of years.

    Would anyone opine how Iran closing the Strait (indefinitely constraining Chinese fossil imports) would affect Chinese calculations vis-a-vis Taiwan?

    There are many variables, but I can imagine the US concluding that Iran closing the Strait, justifying the above, is a most-favorable outcome.

  15. We (that is, the US) have been pretty dependent on IAEA for a lot of the intelligence on Iran’s program, and during this conflict, the UN has reportedly lost track of some of that fissile material already.

  16. Israel is burning through money like nuts. Between the Gaza occupation and wars on Hezbollah, Syria, Houthis, another front strains their finances and severely stretches their already massively fatigued forces.

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