Iran Is on Course for a Bomb After U.S. Strikes Fail to Destroy Facilities

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1. Jeffrey Lewis, the director of the East Asia Nonproliferation Program for the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies at the Middlebury Institute of International Studies, writes:

   “I’ve spent the past several days telling incredulous reporters that Israel’s bombing campaign against Iran, even with help from the United States, looked anemic—and that it would, at best, set Iran’s nuclear program back by several months, maybe a year if we were lucky.

   The DIA assessment relies on both satellite imagery and signals intelligence. People such as myself, working with open-source information, can’t eavesdrop on Iranian phone calls, but I can look at satellite imagery. And I see the same thing.”

2. If war on Iran doesn’t push it to go nuclear in the long run as deterrence, I don’t know what will.

3. If this is true then the funny thing is, the US can’t even claim Iran is close to building bomb now after claiming to have destroyed their facility!

4. They can still use whatever material they have left to make something low yield. But I don’t think wanna risk a second round with Israel.

5. This narrative has persisted for over three decades. It seems more about maintaining the strategic pretext for potential military action against Iran than addressing any new developments…

6. Bombing another country again just because of someone’s ego.

7. Well, that just means nothing has changed. New day, same crap.

   However, an awful lot of rockets got fired. It’s going to take a while for everyone to restock.

8. If anything the seal has been broken on striking their nuclear program. The idea USA wouldn’t do it again is silly. gunslinger trump even made it ok for otherwise weak future presidents to do it under the umbrella of precedent.

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