The Template War: Why Ukraine Invasion Is About Competing Ways to Be Human

http://vasily.cc/blog/the-template-war/?utm_source=reddit&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=template-war-launch&utm_content=geopolitics

Posted by Shimano-No-Kyoken

3 comments

  1. If you’ve been following the war in Ukraine closely, you’ve probably noticed something that conventional geopolitical analysis struggles to capture. The information warfare dimension feels crucial but hard to pin down mechanistically. The systematic child kidnapping campaigns seem designed for purposes beyond immediate tactical gains. The cultural battles appear to operate on deeper levels than typical propaganda. I’m unpacking my thinking on how all of those tie together.

  2. > But even then, the expert consensus doubled down on conventional thinking. U.S. intelligence predicted Kyiv would fall within 1-4 days. NATO officials gave Ukraine weeks at most. The Pentagon estimated Russian forces would reach the capital within 96 hours. European leaders prepared for a refugee crisis and began discussing how to manage relations with a victorious Putin. The assumption was universal: this would be swift territorial conquest followed by political reorganization, just like Crimea in 2014 but bigger.

    I struggle to find proofs for these claims. But I can find cases of military aid starting a few days after the invasion. So I am concerned about the author’s truthfulness.

  3. I think this is a pretty fertile territory to write about, I agree it never comes up as does any real discussion about why Russia is actually invading. IMO this is about making Ukraine unviable as an independent nation, and Template Warfare is a framing that matches.

    But I was hoping you’d really Steelman the Russian Template and anti-liberalism rather than concluding it’s bad people doing bad things.

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