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NZ First surges past Act in new Taxpayers’ Union-Curia poll
NNew Zealand

NZ First surges past Act in new Taxpayers’ Union-Curia poll

  • 10.07.2025

Te Pāti Māori had a 0.2-point increase to 3.5%.

The poll of 1000 people was conducted via landline and mobile phone and had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1%.

Labour's Chris Hipkins and National's Christopher Luxon have almost identical levels of support in a new poll. Photo / Mark Mitchell Labour’s Chris Hipkins and National’s Christopher Luxon have almost identical levels of support in a new poll. Photo / Mark Mitchell

The numbers mean a coalition of National (42), NZ First (12) and Act (11) could form a government with 65 seats.

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A coalition of Labour, the Greens and Te Pāti Māori (assuming it held an electorate seat) could muster only 57.

In the preferred Prime Minister rankings, Labour’s Chris Hipkins has closed the gap on Christopher Luxon to just 0.1 points, having increased 1.1 points to 19.6% while Luxon dipped 0.6 points to 19.7%.

Peters registered as the third-most-preferred at 9.3%, up 1.3 points on the last poll. Green Party co-leader Chlöe Swarbrick rose 1.4 points to 7% while Act’s David Seymour was in fifth at 5.7%, down 0.3 points.

The poll’s issues monitor found the cost of living had overtaken the economy as respondents’ top issue, rising 3.5 points to 21.6%. Health was the third most important issue.

In June, the Herald reported the latest Ipsos Issues Monitor that found more voters believed Labour was the best party to manage the cost of living.

Adam Pearse is the Deputy Political Editor and part of the NZ Herald’s Press Gallery team based at Parliament in Wellington. He has worked for NZME since 2018, reporting for the Northern Advocate in Whangārei and the Herald in Auckland.

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