I am not from any intelligence force but I believe the statement of 4.4 years may be misleading and giving a false sense of security. Eventually, it took Russians 3 years to do 60km, yes. However, those 60km were very fortified in 11 years of fighting in the region. If tomorrow Trump forces Ukraine to cede the rest of the region where the strongest fortifications are, the day after that Putin could start attacking again from fortified position without any strong obstacle except for the Ukrainian army. This could translate in faster advances. Remains to be seen, however, if Russian are able to do large mechanised manoeuvres to exploit such advantage.
Just thinking, there’s about 7,000,000 acres of farmland in the Donbas, pre-war Ukrainians were allowed to buy farmland beginning in 2021, the price was around $400 an acre.
The FSB could have purchased the open area with all of its natural resources for $2.8 billion.
Wester estimates Russia has spent around $400b and 1m dead/injured.
Do they have accountants in Russia?
That’s assuming Ukraine can maintain the same level of defense for 4.4 more years.
While this interpolation is questionable it illustrates how much the invasion of Ukraine has become a war of attrition / trench warfare war.
The last ‘shocking’ news was a penetration of 10km which let to nothing. The mobility on the battlefield for both sides is seemingly too diminished to create or exploit any meaningful breakthroughs.
The big question is how many months or years will this war drag on before an actual negotiated peace can be achieved and both parties can bow out and lick their wounds.
For Ukraine ofc this is a defensive war for survival but for Russia this a war of conquest which so far has caused more damage to them than (potential) benefits. How long will/can Russia keep this up and will they realize they need a way out of this at some point?
British ministry of defence in 1917: it will take allies 90 years and 60 million soldiers to occupy Berlin.
I mean it is attritional war. One side gonna collapse but it is not gonna be because of losing territory, but economy, internal problems or sth else
Once he staited that 8 million casualties is normal for him.
In case the oil price stays as low as it is right now russia will not have the financial resources to continue four more years. They already have a galopping inflation and budget deficit has risen to 70 billion US-Dollar so far in 2025. P.S. Since no country not even Chinese banks are willing to lend money to pootin the only option would be printing valueless rubles (inflation through the roof) or cutting down the civic budget massively and direct every available resource to the military. Since pootin has around 1 million men in the national guard / riot police insurgency will only occur when the riot police stops being payed.
Are there any numbers of how many civilians are still living in those areas and how many houses / buildings are still habitable?
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I am not from any intelligence force but I believe the statement of 4.4 years may be misleading and giving a false sense of security. Eventually, it took Russians 3 years to do 60km, yes. However, those 60km were very fortified in 11 years of fighting in the region. If tomorrow Trump forces Ukraine to cede the rest of the region where the strongest fortifications are, the day after that Putin could start attacking again from fortified position without any strong obstacle except for the Ukrainian army. This could translate in faster advances. Remains to be seen, however, if Russian are able to do large mechanised manoeuvres to exploit such advantage.
Just thinking, there’s about 7,000,000 acres of farmland in the Donbas, pre-war Ukrainians were allowed to buy farmland beginning in 2021, the price was around $400 an acre.
The FSB could have purchased the open area with all of its natural resources for $2.8 billion.
Wester estimates Russia has spent around $400b and 1m dead/injured.
Do they have accountants in Russia?
That’s assuming Ukraine can maintain the same level of defense for 4.4 more years.
While this interpolation is questionable it illustrates how much the invasion of Ukraine has become a war of attrition / trench warfare war.
The last ‘shocking’ news was a penetration of 10km which let to nothing. The mobility on the battlefield for both sides is seemingly too diminished to create or exploit any meaningful breakthroughs.
The big question is how many months or years will this war drag on before an actual negotiated peace can be achieved and both parties can bow out and lick their wounds.
For Ukraine ofc this is a defensive war for survival but for Russia this a war of conquest which so far has caused more damage to them than (potential) benefits. How long will/can Russia keep this up and will they realize they need a way out of this at some point?
British ministry of defence in 1917: it will take allies 90 years and 60 million soldiers to occupy Berlin.
I mean it is attritional war. One side gonna collapse but it is not gonna be because of losing territory, but economy, internal problems or sth else
Once he staited that 8 million casualties is normal for him.
In case the oil price stays as low as it is right now russia will not have the financial resources to continue four more years. They already have a galopping inflation and budget deficit has risen to 70 billion US-Dollar so far in 2025. P.S. Since no country not even Chinese banks are willing to lend money to pootin the only option would be printing valueless rubles (inflation through the roof) or cutting down the civic budget massively and direct every available resource to the military. Since pootin has around 1 million men in the national guard / riot police insurgency will only occur when the riot police stops being payed.
Are there any numbers of how many civilians are still living in those areas and how many houses / buildings are still habitable?
thats why they asked nicely hahaha
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