Damn, I’m early, there aren’t even any comments from chuds about the Great Replacement yet!
Being rich with no kids is a bigger fail than being poor with kids
Nigeria also has 20x higher infant mortality rate. Sooo…
I was like yeah okay, until I realized it is INCLUDING Russia, holy sh*t.
We should build better borders.
An interesting point, which the graph shows, is that Nigeria’s birth rate has already plateaued.
It’s expected as countries develop, but many countries are beginning to plateau (and drop) far earlier than expected. Egypt, for example, has dropped below 2m births far quicker than expected (it wasn’t projected to happen until 2100), and its birth rate is almost down to replacement levels (2.1) which it was not projected until after 2050.
Europe: 750 million
Nigeria: 220 million
In 1950, Nigeria had a population of 37M, today 234M.
i’m sure that will be sustainable
That is pretty incredible. Considering Nigeria has little impact on the world stage, there sure are a lot of Nigerian’s being born
Let’s see the death rate and life expectancy.
Doesn’t sound beautiful. The world’s resources and environment are already strained. More people is the least this planet needs
I mean… Life does suck hard.
If they’re able to support them then I don’t see a problem
Nigeria’s population are just estimates, a census hasn’t been done since 2006, so take every figure with a grain of salt.
It’s good for Nigeria, as long as they can also provide for all the many new people
Which is why both continents are fucked.
It’s important to bring some knowledge of context to the Nigerian figures. A MINORITY of Nigerian nationals were born in hospital in 1950 and moreover there was a non-Native Registry for births with no corresponding Native Registry. I’m not sure when native Nigerian births began to be registered but certainly up to at least 1955, if you were expatriate (ie white) and born in Nigeria you would have a birth certificate and if you were native-born, you would not.
As for the 2020 figures I’m sure the majority of Nigerians are still not born in hospital, although I would guess most births probably are registered these days even in very rural areas. But the figures from the 50s have been assembled with incomplete information and a lot of guesswork, so the rise in population may not be as steep as it looks. And as somebody pointed out below, the rate of surviving children also needs to be taken into account to estimate population growth.
I read it as Nigerian has more Brits; I am disappointed
How is this even possible. Who is having children in 2025
Birth rates are interesting. Does Nigeria have low cost of living and good quality of life to prompt an accelerated birth rate?
Cost of living and opportunity costs of children a huge impact on Europe.
Horrible for both, either Europe and Nigeria.
Unironically – What happened in Europe between 2000 and 2010? Seems like we want that to happen again..
>In 1950, Europe had about **12 million births versus 1.7 million in Nigeria**. By **2023, that relationship had reversed**, with Nigeria recording more births each year than all of Europe combined. “Europe” refers to the UN-defined region of Europe, which includes all countries on the European continent as well as Russia.
> 12 million births versus 1.7 million in Nigeria. By 2023, that relationship had reversed
Reversed implies the ratio flipped, but it didn’t. Nigeria in fact, does not have 7 times the birthrate of all of Europe combined. So the relationship from did not reverse from 1950 to 2023. They just reached a similar number of births (albeit on a smaller population) and plateaued.
Nigeria has now about the double birthrate as Europe at roughly a third of the total population, wich is normal as while population explodes and infant birth shrinks birthrate eventually slows down. In 1950 Europe had ca 550M inhabitants and Nigeria 40M. Now it’s ~740M vs 230M. By 2050 this is predicted to be 730M vs 400M, but it really depends how many people they can feed. Widespread famine and water scarcity can really put a dampener on population growth.
Also YouTube videos by Hans Rosling on this topic.
And guess where all those excess Nigerians will end up in?
It should also be noted that Nigeria’s population is probably significantly off from what it actually is. They’ve never had a real census done that wasn’t massively corrupt and there are huge incentives to pump up numbers regionally for more central government funding and foreign aid.
What a complete nightmare
If I had to guess why, it’s because of the rising cost of living in Europe, making children unaffordable.
someone needs to get them some rubber johnny’s
st of living etc. was so fucking expensive the normal population in Europe would be able to breed instead of making ends meet.
unlike the lower class who dont give a shit and just pump m out like thrash
great. more young men to operate online scams down the road. Nigeria has very little opportunity for jobs etc and that’s what they end up doing. to get by.
At this pace in 50 years Nigerian princes will have to start scamming each other
And they still used the ‘donate we need food’ scheme until like 2015.
So there is a Nigerian prince for everyone?
Your title is confusing. When you say, “Nigeria has more births than all of Europe” its not really clear what you’re talking about… This year? In total? For a certain time frame?
You could say, “Nigeria has had more births than all of Europe since 2023” or “Nigeria had more births than all of Europe in 2024”
But just saying “Nigeria has more births than Europe” without proving a timeframe doesnt make sense.
Not that it makes a big dent in the overall trend, but factor in that Nigeria has a 10.5% child mortality for children under five vs. 3,8% EU average.
Also, overall life expectancy is 54 years in Nigeria, 81,7 years in the EU.
39 comments
Data source: [Births per Year (OWID)](https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/number-of-births-per-year?time=earliest..2023&country=NGA~UNM49_EUR)
Tools used: Matplotlib
Not really the flex some seem to think it is.
Damn, I’m early, there aren’t even any comments from chuds about the Great Replacement yet!
Being rich with no kids is a bigger fail than being poor with kids
Nigeria also has 20x higher infant mortality rate. Sooo…
I was like yeah okay, until I realized it is INCLUDING Russia, holy sh*t.
We should build better borders.
An interesting point, which the graph shows, is that Nigeria’s birth rate has already plateaued.
It’s expected as countries develop, but many countries are beginning to plateau (and drop) far earlier than expected. Egypt, for example, has dropped below 2m births far quicker than expected (it wasn’t projected to happen until 2100), and its birth rate is almost down to replacement levels (2.1) which it was not projected until after 2050.
Europe: 750 million
Nigeria: 220 million
In 1950, Nigeria had a population of 37M, today 234M.
i’m sure that will be sustainable
That is pretty incredible. Considering Nigeria has little impact on the world stage, there sure are a lot of Nigerian’s being born
Let’s see the death rate and life expectancy.
Doesn’t sound beautiful. The world’s resources and environment are already strained. More people is the least this planet needs
I mean… Life does suck hard.
If they’re able to support them then I don’t see a problem
Nigeria’s population are just estimates, a census hasn’t been done since 2006, so take every figure with a grain of salt.
It’s good for Nigeria, as long as they can also provide for all the many new people
Which is why both continents are fucked.
It’s important to bring some knowledge of context to the Nigerian figures. A MINORITY of Nigerian nationals were born in hospital in 1950 and moreover there was a non-Native Registry for births with no corresponding Native Registry. I’m not sure when native Nigerian births began to be registered but certainly up to at least 1955, if you were expatriate (ie white) and born in Nigeria you would have a birth certificate and if you were native-born, you would not.
As for the 2020 figures I’m sure the majority of Nigerians are still not born in hospital, although I would guess most births probably are registered these days even in very rural areas. But the figures from the 50s have been assembled with incomplete information and a lot of guesswork, so the rise in population may not be as steep as it looks. And as somebody pointed out below, the rate of surviving children also needs to be taken into account to estimate population growth.
I read it as Nigerian has more Brits; I am disappointed
How is this even possible. Who is having children in 2025
Birth rates are interesting. Does Nigeria have low cost of living and good quality of life to prompt an accelerated birth rate?
Cost of living and opportunity costs of children a huge impact on Europe.
Horrible for both, either Europe and Nigeria.
Unironically – What happened in Europe between 2000 and 2010? Seems like we want that to happen again..
>In 1950, Europe had about **12 million births versus 1.7 million in Nigeria**. By **2023, that relationship had reversed**, with Nigeria recording more births each year than all of Europe combined. “Europe” refers to the UN-defined region of Europe, which includes all countries on the European continent as well as Russia.
> 12 million births versus 1.7 million in Nigeria. By 2023, that relationship had reversed
Reversed implies the ratio flipped, but it didn’t. Nigeria in fact, does not have 7 times the birthrate of all of Europe combined. So the relationship from did not reverse from 1950 to 2023. They just reached a similar number of births (albeit on a smaller population) and plateaued.
Nigeria has now about the double birthrate as Europe at roughly a third of the total population, wich is normal as while population explodes and infant birth shrinks birthrate eventually slows down. In 1950 Europe had ca 550M inhabitants and Nigeria 40M. Now it’s ~740M vs 230M. By 2050 this is predicted to be 730M vs 400M, but it really depends how many people they can feed. Widespread famine and water scarcity can really put a dampener on population growth.
Glad that the book Factfullness was written [book link](https://share.google/mw9La7Ap8dN9CAjrH)
Also YouTube videos by Hans Rosling on this topic.
And guess where all those excess Nigerians will end up in?
It should also be noted that Nigeria’s population is probably significantly off from what it actually is. They’ve never had a real census done that wasn’t massively corrupt and there are huge incentives to pump up numbers regionally for more central government funding and foreign aid.
What a complete nightmare
If I had to guess why, it’s because of the rising cost of living in Europe, making children unaffordable.
someone needs to get them some rubber johnny’s
st of living etc. was so fucking expensive the normal population in Europe would be able to breed instead of making ends meet.
unlike the lower class who dont give a shit and just pump m out like thrash
great. more young men to operate online scams down the road. Nigeria has very little opportunity for jobs etc and that’s what they end up doing. to get by.
At this pace in 50 years Nigerian princes will have to start scamming each other
And they still used the ‘donate we need food’ scheme until like 2015.
So there is a Nigerian prince for everyone?
Your title is confusing. When you say, “Nigeria has more births than all of Europe” its not really clear what you’re talking about… This year? In total? For a certain time frame?
You could say, “Nigeria has had more births than all of Europe since 2023” or “Nigeria had more births than all of Europe in 2024”
But just saying “Nigeria has more births than Europe” without proving a timeframe doesnt make sense.
Not that it makes a big dent in the overall trend, but factor in that Nigeria has a 10.5% child mortality for children under five vs. 3,8% EU average.
Also, overall life expectancy is 54 years in Nigeria, 81,7 years in the EU.
Comments are closed.