China’s Vice Premier He Lifeng confirmed on Thursday that he will meet with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent in Malaysia on Friday.

Bessent and He are tasked with negotiating the ongoing tariffs imposed by their countries against one another, it will also set the stage for the expected talks later this month between China’s leader Xi Jinping and President Trump. However, reports claim that Washington and Beijing are trying to salvage the highly anticipated summit between Trump and Xi.

The US is considering curbs on software-related exports to China, Reuters reported Wednesday, adding another layer of uncertainty to trade negotiations between the countries.

The move could make good on Trump’s vague threat to impose export curbs on “any and all critical software,” in addition to additional 100% tariffs, from Nov. 1, after China moved restrict exports of rare earth minerals.

The US and China have seen their fragile trade relationship wobble further in recent weeks, with Trump confirming last week that the countries are in a trade war. The countries are set to hold talks later this week before Trump and Xi meet.

Trump predicted on Tuesday that an upcoming meeting between the US and China’s leader Xi Jinping would “yield a good deal” on trade — even as he mused about whether such a meeting will actually happen.

“I have a good relationship with President Xi, I expect to be able to make a good deal with him,” Trump said.

Trump has floated a list of demands for China talks, citing rare earths, fentanyl, and soybeans as his top issues to address with Beijing.

The administration is also seeking potential cudgels. In a move that analysts said was aimed squarely at China, Trump and Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese on Monday signed a deal that the White House said would help supply the US with the critical minerals.

Read more: What Trump’s tariffs mean for the economy and your wallet

The US and India are nearing a trade deal which could see tariffs on New Delhi cut to 15%-16% from their current 50% level, according to a report.

The White House is easing tariffs on the US auto industry, delivering a major win for carmakers who have lobbied to reduce the fallout from higher import duties.

Trump is stepping up attacks on US trading partners over drug pricing and is preparing a probe, which could lead to new tariffs.

Americans are set to pay more than half of President Trump’s tariffs as companies raise prices, according to Goldman Sachs.

Early next month, the US Supreme Court is set to hear a challenge to Trump’s most sweeping tariffs — the “reciprocal” country-by-country duties that you can see in the graphic above. A ruling against the tariffs — which would be in line with lower-court decisions — could have significant ramifications for Trump’s tariff strategy.

New duties on kitchen cabinets and vanities took effect Oct. 1.

Tariffs on timber and certain wood products (like furniture) took effect Oct. 14.

LIVE 74 updates

China says trade talks with US set for Friday in Malaysia

China and the US will meet on Friday to discuss trade and attempt to defuse the ongoing tensions between the world’s two largest economies.

China’s Vice Premier He Lifeng confirmed that he will meet with US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent to discuss trade. The meeting will also set the stage for the highly anticipated and now fragile summit between President Trump and China’s President Xi Jinping.

Bloomberg News reports:

Read more here.

Jenny McCall

US is ‘weeks away’ from a rare earths crisis

Rare earths have become a vital talking point over the last few months, with China holding the largest rare earth reserves globally and also tightening exports on its rare earth materials, a move which has forced the US to diversify its supply chain and sign deals with companies like MP Materials (MP).

The crisis does seem to be deepening and the US-China trade spat may leave the Trump administration weeks away from a rare earth crisis, which some sectors seem to be ignoring.

Yahoo Finance’s breaking business news reporter, Jake Conley looks into the latest problem facing President Trump.

Read more here.

Jenny McCall

US pharma price probe raises threat of new drug tariffs

President Trump is getting ready to investigate US trading partners over drug prices, a probe that could unleash fresh tariffs on the industry.

The FT reports:

Read more here.

Jenny McCall

Japan’s exports and imports grow in September despite Trump’s tariffs

Brett LoGiurato

Trump, Lula seek meeting as Brazil eyes tariff cut

Bloomberg reports:

Read more here.

Keith Reid-Cleveland

Trump demands cattle ranchers lower prices, deepening feud

Tensions continue to rise in an ongoing feud between the Trump administration and US farmers who are facing the impact of tariffs.

Bloomberg reports:

Read more here.

Keith Reid-Cleveland

US considering curbs on exports to China made with US software

The showdown between the Trump administration and China is escalating. The president is reportedly considering a new set of restrictions on US technology products.

Reuters reports:

Read more here.

Thermo Fisher to benefit from drug reshoring efforts, CEO says

Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO) CEO Marc Casper said on Wednesday he expects the company to benefit from some of the impacts related to President Trump’s tariffs — particularly the reshoring efforts announced by pharmaceutical companies.

Trump has held off on imposing his threatened triple-digit drug tariffs while negotiating agreements with pharmaceutical companies. This year, drug companies including Eli Lilly (LLY), Merck (MRK), AstraZeneca (AZN), and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) all announced investments to boost US manufacturing.

“That will benefit our channel business, it will benefit our Bioproduction business,” Casper said. “Our Analytical Instruments businesses would all benefit from those new constructs.”

Casper added that it likely won’t be until 2027 or 2028 that ground will be broken on new facilities, though he noted that “it could be a little bit faster than that.”

Jenny McCall

China’s $1B of daily US exports show Xi’s bargaining power

China is proving more resilient than many experts thought. According to new export data, about a billion dollars of exports cross the Pacific every day from China to the US despite President Trump’s tariffs.

Bloomberg News reports:

Read more here.

Jenny McCall

US may cut India tariff to 15-16% in trade deal: Mint

The US and India are nearing a deal to cut tariffs on New Delhi to 15-16% from 50%, according to a report in the Mint. President Trump hiked tariffs on India back in August, claiming that India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi was helping to aid the Russia-Ukraine war by purchasing oil from Moscow.

Trump said on Tuesday that he and Modi had spoken on the phone and agreed to reduce India’s purchase of Russian oil.

Bloomberg News reports:

Read more here.

Jenny McCall

Swiss exports to US rebounded in September, defying 39% tariff

Jenny McCall

‘Kink’ in VIX curve shows anxiety over Trump’s meeting with Xi

Rising trade tensions have caused options traders to pile into defensive stocks as a hedge against big stock market swings before President Trump and China’s President Xi Jinping are set to meet.

Bloomberg News reports:

Read more here.

Brett LoGiurato

Trump wobbles on Xi meeting: ‘Maybe it won’t happen’

President Trump on Tuesday wavered over whether a highly anticipated meeting with Chinese leader Xi Jinping would actually happen later this month.

“Maybe it won’t happen,” Trump said at a luncheon he hosted for Republican senators, per Bloomberg. “Things can happen where, for instance, maybe somebody will say, ‘I don’t want to meet, it’s too nasty.’ But it’s really not nasty. It’s just business.”

The comments were the latest in a series of Trump’s waffling over the anticipated negotiations, which still do not have a confirmed date. Even as Trump raised questions over the status of the meeting, he said he expected trade talks with China to be successful.

“I have a great relationship with President Xi. I expect to be able to make a good deal with him,” Trump said. “I want him to make a good deal for China — but it’s got to be fair.”

GM’s tariff pain is easing — thanks to higher prices, CFO says

Yahoo Finance’s Francisco Velasquez reports:

Read more here.

Jenny McCall

China: US-Australia should play a proactive role to stablize rare earth supply chains

China responded on Tuesday to President Trump’s rare earth deal with Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese by saying resource-rich rare earth countries should take a “proactive role” in helping to stabilize rare earth supply chains.

“The formation of global production and supply chains is the result of market and corporate choices,” a spokesperson for China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs said, according to a report from NBC.

“Resource-rich nations with critical minerals should play a proactive role in safeguarding the security and stability of the industrial and supply chains, and ensure normal economic and trade cooperation,” the statement added.

Rare earths have become a critical talking point within the trade war between the US and China. China, which holds the largest reserve of rare earth resources, recently restricted exports of the key material used in technology and other products. This prompted Trump to say he would add an additional 100% tariff on goods from China. The moves from both Beijing and Washington have caused some to worry about the already fragile trade truce between the two nations.

Jenny McCall

Trump vows to reach a ‘fantastic deal’ with China after future meeting with Xi

President Trump said that the US commands “great respect” from China and that he also expects a “fantastic deal” to be established with China’s leader Xi Jinping. The US president made the comments on Monday, following weeks of back and forth between Washington and Beijing.

AP reports:

Read more here.

Jenny McCall

Trump’s rare earth pact with Australia sets the table for highly anticipated meeting with China next week

The US-Australian rare earth deal announced on Monday not only aims to boost US access to rare earth materials — it also helps set the stage for negotiations with China. The deal between Trump and Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese is aimed at China’s President Xi Jinping, whose government recently restricted exports of its rare earth materials.

As the US and China head back to the negotiating table next week, Yahoo Finance’s Washington correspondent Ben Werschkul delves into Trump’s latest plan to befriend China’s regional rivals:

Read more here.

Jake Conley

Australian rare earth stocks jump on US-Australia critical minerals agreement

Shares in Australian rare earths companies spiked after President Trump and Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese announced an agreement that will give the US increased access to Australia’s supply of critical minerals.

Rare-earths producer Lynas Rare Earths Limited (LYSCF) jumped by more than 14% in the hours after the trade deal announcement, while Australian Strategic Materials (ASMMF) — a vertically integrated extractor, refiner, and manufacturer of metals and alloys including rare earth products — rallied by more than 24%.

Just five months ago, Lynas became the first producer of so-called “heavy” rare earths outside China, making it a crucial player in the global rare earth supply chain.

Shares in Nova Minerals (NVA), an Australian mining company that recently saw interest from the Trump Administration due to a gold prospect in one of the company’s Alaskan mining projects, were trading down by more than 25% after a surge of more than 100% last week when news broke that the company was briefing the White House.

The deal between the US president and Australian prime minister represents of a pipeline of $8.5 billion in critical minerals, the Australian PM said at the White House.

“In about a year from now, we’ll have so much critical mineral and rare earths that you won’t know what to do with them,” Trump said at the White House on Monday.

Australia sits on the world’s fourth largest deposits of rare earth minerals, with more than five million tons. Over the course of the past month, more than a dozen Australian mining companies met with US administration officials in Washington about resource pipelines and potential investments, according to Bloomberg.

Brett LoGiurato

US, Australia sign deal on critical minerals

The US and Australia on Monday signed a deal on rare earth minerals, in what could end up being a cudgel for President Trump in his administration’s upcoming trade talks with China.

The agreement would increase US access to critical minerals and rare earths, the White House said, at a time when China has taken steps to curb its own supply of those materials.

“In about a year from now, we’ll have so much critical minerals and rare earths that you won’t know what to do with them,” Trump said at the White House during a meeting with the Australian prime minister.

The White House fact sheet has some more details on the agreement.

Our markets blog will cover some of the movers in this space, as well.

Brett LoGiurato

Trump expects Taiwan talk in meeting with Xi

Bloomberg reports on more comments from President Trump on coming trade talks with China:

Trump also said he expects to make a visit to China in early 2025.

Read more here.