Rarely have so few done so much to unsettle so many. Over the past few months, political and military leaders in France, with their eyes fastened on Russia, have declared that while their fellow citizens might not be interested in war, war is nevertheless interested in them. Not just any war, moreover, but one whose hybrid characterâalready apparent in Russiaâs use of rogue drones and cyberattacks in NATO countriesâwill be unprecedented and whose timing, with the fraying of traditional alliances and weakening of national economies, could not be more unfortunate. Contrary to the old saw that generals always plan for the last war, the French military is now scrambling to plan for the next war.
Its efforts, however, have been haunted by ghosts of wars past.
Rarely have so few done so much to unsettle so many. Over the past few months, political and military leaders in France, with their eyes fastened on Russia, have declared that while their fellow citizens might not be interested in war, war is nevertheless interested in them. Not just any war, moreover, but one whose hybrid characterâalready apparent in Russiaâs use of rogue drones and cyberattacks in NATO countriesâwill be unprecedented and whose timing, with the fraying of traditional alliances and weakening of national economies, could not be more unfortunate. Contrary to the old saw that generals always plan for the last war, the French military is now scrambling to plan for the next war.
Its efforts, however, have been haunted by ghosts of wars past.
Last November, Franceâs military chief of staff, Fabien Mandon, addressed the annual conference of mayors. Rather than the usual boilerplate, his speech had the impact of a bomb. The soft-spoken general warned that, given Russiaâs actions since its 2008 invasion of Georgia, Europeâs flaccid responses have convinced Russian President Vladimir Putin that âEuropeans are weak.â And Putin, Mandon continued, was right to come to this conclusion. âWe live in a risky world and may have to use force to protect who we are,â he observed, yet the French refuse to acknowledge this reality. The subject of war has âcompletely disappeared from our family discussions,â he remarked, yet the near future portends the likelihood that his fellow citizens will âsuffer economically because priorities will go to defense production.â After a pregnant pause, he concluded that the nation must be âready to accept losing its children.â
Mandonâs speech sparked a firestorm of outrage. The leader of the far-left La France Insoumise, Jean-Luc MĂ©lenchon, lambasted Mandonâs call for the French to accept âwithout being asked ⊠sacrifices that would result from our diplomatic failures.â The only prominent political figure to rally to Mandonâs speech was RaphaĂ«l Glucksmann, a European deputy and co-leader of the party Place Publique. In a statement, he slammed the âostrichesâ who by attacking Mandon reflect âthe power of denial and the spirit of capitulation at the heart of the French political class.â At the other political extreme, the vice president of the far-right National Rally, SĂ©bastien Chenu, also questioned the generalâs legitimacy to make such claims. Such decisions, he insisted, belong to the so-called âdomaine rĂ©servĂ©,â the phrase identifying those responsibilities that belong to the president.
Yet President Emmanuel Macronâs response was yet another instance of his famous âen mĂšme temps,â where âat the same timeâ he would join two apparently contradictory notions. Shortly after Mandonâs speech, government spokesperson Maud Bregeon sought to reassure the nation. âLet us be clear: Our children are not going to fight and die in Ukraine,â she said. Yet in a national address a few days later, one perhaps timed to follow Mandonâs initial sortie, Macron revealed his âother hand.â Declaring that the ânation must not give way to fear or panic, lack of unpreparedness or division,â he warned that dangers cannot be solved by avoiding them. Instead, âthey can be avoided only if we prepare for them.â Trying to put some heft to his claim, Macron then announced plans to reintroduce a national military service that would lead to 50,000 recruits by 2035.
Macron thus violated the hard rule that his hero Pierre MendĂšs-France acted on when he became prime minister in a crisis-plagued France in 1954: âGouverner, câest choisir.â Instead, for Macron, to govern is to choose not to choose, at least for now. He did not propose to resurrect national conscription and its fabled lĂ©vĂ©e en masse, a practice that had continued ever since the French Revolution and was ended in 1996 by President Jacques Chirac. Instead, it would be voluntary, if only at first.
In this regard, Macron took the same path that his neighbor on the eastern front had first blazed. Last month, German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius pushed through his governmentâs bill on military conscription and emphasized that military service would, at first, remain voluntary. But if the various means to attract new recruits through enhanced salaries and training fall shortâsomething the German government, thanks to its greater margin of financial maneuver, enjoys unlike a seriously pinched Franceâit seems clear that both countries might have no choice but to revert to mandatory conscription. (Tellingly, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz argued, unsuccessfully, against this approach, calling for an immediate reintroduction of the draft.)
The bleeding of the past into the present helps explain the care and caution being exercised by the political leadership in France, as well as Germany and even Britain. The past has warps and memory wefts that weave and carry into the present. Though worn through overuse, William Faulknerâs observation remains apt: âThe past is never dead. Itâs not even past.â The past is especially not dead when, paradoxically, it involves the dead. Perhaps the most telling response to Mandonâs speech came from Fabien Roussel, the leader of the French Communist Party. Upon hearing Mandonâs âchillingâ remarks, he exploded on social media, âAre the 51,000 monuments across France to fallen soldiers not enough?â
What Roussel did not say, no doubt because he assumed most everyone in France knew it, is that these monuments are scattered across the nation, often located in the main squares of towns or in front of mayoral buildings. There is no common theme to the monuments; some feature an idealized poilu, or soldier, towering above the inscription âGlory to our heroes.â Others are simply granite steles reaching skyward, with the simple inscription âTo our children who died for France.â Yet others support a mourning mother and children, with a laconic âTo our deadâ engraved on the base. âThe notion of erecting monuments to the dead in France did not start with the âGreat War,ââ the historian Antoine Proust notes, âbut no war was ever as great as that war.â
Indeed. More than 8 million were called to the colorsâthis phrase itself bathed in meaningâbetween 1914 and 1918, 1.4 million killed, and three times that many wounded, including the thousands of âgueules cassĂ©es,â or âbroken faces,â who served as another kind of monument to the inhuman nature and costs of the war. This experience sped up the growth of pacifism in France during the interwar period, one that remains alive today, thanks to Franceâs catastrophic wars in Indochina and Algeria. Rousselâs outburst, shared by other political figuresâespecially those on the far left and far rightâserves as an important reminder.
But another element must not be overlooked. The sacrifice that the French are now being asked to accept is no longer on behalf of the patrie but instead on behalf of Europe. In the lead-up to World War II, the battle cry of French opponents to war was that, in a phrase coined by the collaborationist Marcel DĂ©at, they refused âto die for Dantzig.â (The German name for present-day Gdansk in Poland.) But the French government is now asking young people to be willing to die for Kyiv. The reestablishment of voluntary service, as the historian Annie CrĂ©pin rightly observes, âis a half-measure to persuade the public to accept the idea that Ukraine ⊠is indirectly our new frontier.â
Regardless of the words used by political and military leaders, the public remains sharply divided on the growing prospect of war against Russia and the burning question of military conscription. According to the political scientist Bertrand Badie, the French public falls roughly into three camps on the question of Russia: those who are indifferent, those who dismiss the prospect of war, and those who fear âa return to Chemin des Damesââthe site where perhaps the most senseless slaughter of French troops occurred in during World War I. Moreover, while Macronâs initiative to create a volunteer army wins overwhelming support, it is nevertheless more pronounced with older than younger generations, a division that sharpens markedly when it is a matter of mandatory conscription.
In 1981, the British historian Michael Howard observed that his generation, born shortly before World War II, knew âfrom experience that no society has dispensation from catastrophe, and that history provides no sure formula for avoiding one.â Certainly, there is no clear formula for Europeâs political leaders for avoiding the next one, but surely it must involve finding not just the money to fund the current effort but also the words to bridge generational and political divides, convincing as many as possible that patriotism must be European or cannot be at all.