Republicans are expected to prevail in today’s special election run-off in the deep-red 14th District in northwest Georgia, which includes Rome.

Trump won the 14th District by 37 percentage points in 2024, while former Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene won re-election by 29 points. A Democratic victory here would be a significant upset, and is seen as unlikely despite the party’s recent overperformance in special elections. 

In the first round of the special election last month, candidates from all parties competed on the same ballot because of state rules — and that ballot was crowded with a dozen Republicans all vying for the seat. The top two candidates moved on to a run-off because no one single candidate won a majority of the vote.

Democrat Shawn Harris, a retired Army brigadier general who lost to Greene in the 2024 general election, was the top vote-getter in that race, winning 37% of the vote. And Republican Clay Fuller, a district attorney and Air Force veteran endorsed by Trump, was the top GOP candidate, winning 35% of the vote. 

It’s worth noting that all the Republican candidates combined won almost 60% of the vote in the race. 

Republicans have outspent Democrats on the airwaves since the March 10 election, according to AdImpact, with Fuller getting a boost from the National Republican Congressional Committee and an outside group called Conservatives for American Excellence. 

Fuller and his allies have been touting his endorsement from Trump in the race, with Fuller saying during a recent debate that the district needs “an America First fighter.”

Harris pressed Fuller during the debate to name a Trump policy he disagrees with, and Fuller declined, saying the question had a “false premise” while arguing that “the policies of Donald Trump are working for the people of Georgia 14.”

Harris said during that debate, “I’m a Democrat but I’m not tied to the party,” and said Fuller “has sold his soul to Donald Trump.” Harris’ campaign has spent much of its funds in recent weeks on a field program and digital ads, according to campaign finance reports. And Harris recently campaigned with former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, who told supporters, “There is no such thing as a permanently red district or state or town.”