Infotrak poll shows ODM, UDA leading in Western Kenya ahead of 2027 polls

A recent poll by Infotrak highlights changing political dynamics in Western Kenya, revealing strong support for ODM, UDA, and DCP, while other parties struggle to gain traction.

The survey, which sampled 602 respondents across Kakamega, Vihiga, Bungoma, Busia, and Trans Nzoia counties, provides a snapshot of voter preferences as the 2027 General Election approaches.

The findings released on Thursday show that the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) holds the lead with 25 per cent overall support in the region, followed closely by the United Democratic Alliance (UDA) at 20 per cent.

The Democracy for Citizens Party (DCP) trails with 7 per cent. Ford Kenya and DAP-K have limited backing, recording only 4 per cent and 2 per cent, respectively.

Other minor parties, including Wiper, Jubilee, PNU, United Green Movement, Maendeleo Chap Chap, Restore and Build Kenya Party, MDG, and Peoples’ Democracy Party, each received 1 per cent support, with the remaining parties collectively at 5 per cent.

County-level results reveal a varied political landscape. In Kakamega, ODM leads with 29 per cent, UDA has 13 per cent, and DCP has 8 per cent, while Ford Kenya and DAP-K trail at 3 per cent and 1 per cent.

Vihiga shows a close race, with ODM at 25 per cent, UDA 24 per cent, Ford Kenya 4 per cent, and DAP-K 1 per cent.

Bungoma presents a different picture, where UDA tops the poll at 27 per cent, followed by ODM at 18 per cent and DCP at 5 per cent, while Ford Kenya stands at 7 per cent and DAP-K at 1 per cent.

Busia shows ODM at 27 per cent, UDA at 17 per cent, DCP at 11 per cent, and both Ford Kenya and DAP-K at 2 per cent and 3 per cent. Trans Nzoia records ODM with 26 per cent, UDA 21 per cent, DCP 5 per cent, Ford Kenya 3 per cent, and DAP-K 2 per cent.

The survey also looked at gender differences in party support. ODM enjoys equal popularity among men and women at 25 per cent each. UDA performs slightly better among men, polling 22 per cent compared to 18 per cent among women.

DCP maintains the same level of support among both genders at 7 per cent.

Infotrak conducted the survey using Computer Assisted Telephonic Interviews (CATI), targeting registered voters aged 18 and above.

The poll achieved a 100 per cent response rate, carries a margin of error of ±4 per cent at a 95 per cent confidence level, and was processed using SPSS 27 to ensure accuracy.

These results suggest that Western Kenya’s political environment is becoming more competitive, with voter preferences shifting ahead of the 2027 General Election and the traditional power balance in the region showing signs of change.