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Editor\u2019s Note : Views in the article do not necessarily reflect the views of borkena.com\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n
Getahun Tafesse<\/p>\n
Hello my fellow Ethiopians \u2013 Congratulations!<\/p>\n
In our lifetime Ethiopia is going to change from a poor developing country to a middle income country and our children are likely to live in a developed prosperous country.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n
Development finally is about to manifest in Ethiopia. \u00a0 It neither came from outside nor from internal government policies. \u00a0 The country is about to prosper not because but despite the Prosperity Party that is ruling the country.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n
The long awaited, the persistently sought development finally is knocking at Ethiopia\u2019s door \u2013 not from outside but from inside.\u00a0 It is in fact forcing itself out like a pupa hatching into a butterfly.\u00a0 The force is so strong no power can contain or prevent it.\u00a0 How come?<\/p>\n
On the ground, gradual changes that were happening for a long period have reached critical mass necessitating and unleashing all wide development. \u00a0 The leading engine that drives all changes is the change in peoples\u2019 mind set, which itself is driven by population and consequently livelihood pressures.\u00a0 The objective conditions on the ground have matured necessitating modern ways of life or development.\u00a0 The key driving force is change in the Mind Set of a significant proportion of the people.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Relentless efforts have been made in the past to motivate people to work hard and change their life circumstances.\u00a0 However, the human mind is the most difficult entity to change from external pressure and past efforts in workshops\/ seminars, training, emotional appeals, campaigns, etc. could not bring such a change in critical mass scale. \u00a0 The desired changes are happening now due to right objective conditions, especially population and livelihood pressures that are forcing people to change on their own from real life experiences.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n
Some of the ways the change in the mindset of Ethiopia\u2019s people are reflected include:\u00a0 i) strong drive to change one\u2019s lifestyle for the better both in urban and rural settings (this comes with enlightened knowledge that current livelihood is not a predetermined fate but at the hand of one\u2019s own determination to bring change); ii) embracing collectivism (people have started living together (in apartments\/ real estates), investing together (growing share companies, cluster farming, etc.); discussing\/ planning together, appreciating each other and opening to each other;\u00a0 iv) cooperation instead of individualism seen, for example, among students who study together and help each other out; among co-workers who growingly support each other and businesses that are increasingly engaging in mutually benefiting arrangements. These changes are unleashing the dynamic force that is propelling Ethiopia\u2019s economy.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n
The on-ground population pressure and livelihood challenges are also driving changes that are paving the way to national unity as people everywhere are undergoing, albeit to a different degree, these mindset changes thereby growingly sharing similar values and attitudes.\u00a0 Politician extremists or ethnic radicals are rapidly losing their ground or constituencies and will eventually be left hanging in thin air without a support base. \u00a0 Nation state building is on the air as national unity is emerging driven by shared values that are transcending ethnic boundaries.\u00a0 This is not a government making nor the achievement of citizenship promoting parties but rather a result of natural processes.<\/p>\n
Some practical changes brought through the changing peoples\u2019 mindset include:\u00a0 i) modern forms of business set up and running (it is not uncommon now to see well organized businesses in different sectors that use modern office setup and up to date technologies and staff working in a team and professionally organized manner);\u00a0 ii) number and type of businesses increasing rapidly due to sheer size of young population and growing business orientation (for example university students increasingly engaged in private businesses even before graduation);\u00a0 iii) some private businesses have grown in capacity and have become global exporting services and products globally; iv) government revenue (from taxes and public services including telecom, electricity, etc. ) growing rapidly from millions to billions and now to trillions;\u00a0 v) public and private services increasingly using modern technologies and systems; vi) quality of day to day food and beverage services undergoing fundamental improvements (for example, widespread cozy cafes and restaurants which are well designed and neatly organized); etc.<\/p>\n
The above are the positive and emerging trends in Ethiopia.\u00a0 This is not to deny that ethnic identity championing the Constitution has led to fragmentation creating a whole generation of young people that have little knowledge about Ethiopia\u2019s history as one nation and probably have little sentiment about national identity.\u00a0 The most recent and emerging trend seems, however, people increasingly realizing the most important issues are freedom, democracy, human right, equal opportunity, property protection, etc.\u00a0 with consequent measures for a government in terms of its capacity to promote these rather than sharing ethnic identity with the ruling group.\u00a0 Soon Ethiopian people will start to vote, in majority, for a party based on principles rather than ethnic affiliation.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n
People are passing through on-ground real life experiences facing bottlenecks in travel, business, employment and other opportunities which are constrained from ethnic demarcation, rivalry conflicts, etc; which are leading to growing appreciation for freedom of travel, business and other opportunities to realize one\u2019s potential.\u00a0 An important trend forging national unity is also the fact that women from confined or intact ethnic communities are growingly transcending ethnic boundaries in love affairs and marriage, strengthening bondage among Ethiopian society.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n
A few government policies or measures may have capitalized or passively responded to the objective dynamics on the ground such as corridor development; natural gas production, sheger\/ gebeta le hager initiatives, etc.\u00a0 In reality, the government does not seem to have the knowledge nor the capacity to fully grasp the dynamics of the on-going development dynamics in the country.\u00a0 The hatching development is not currently well managed.\u00a0 The transition of Ethiopia from traditional to a modern country is happening as a natural process and the government needs only take measures to guide its smooth transition, safeguard valuable cultural assets, capitalize on emerging opportunities (ex., tremendous growth in government revenue) and ensure all sections of the society participate and benefit from this process.\u00a0 The potentials and opportunities emerging are so great and tremendous, there is no reason to engage in rivalry and conflicts that prolong unnecessarily the misery and sufferings of the current generation.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n
Some CEOs marvel at their public enterprise achievement as their own personal achievement.\u00a0 Whereas there is no doubt their personal commitment and strength might have contributed; the rapid growth however is mainly driven by objective conditions (mainly sheer size of rapidly growing users and new technologies). \u00a0 Similarly, the government might claim economy-wide changes and developments as its own achievement.\u00a0 \u00a0 For a close observer, it is not difficult to witness even the government being perplexed about what is going in Ethiopia\u2019s economy \u2013 minding statements that come from top government official(s) such as \u201cmiracle is happening in Ethiopia\u201d;\u00a0 \u201cthings are moving faster even more than what we (in government) planned\u201d, \u201ceconomists need to scrutinize what is happening in Ethiopia\u2019s economy and enlighten us on what is going on\u201d, etc.<\/p>\n
Ethiopia marches at its own pace and in its long journey of life, we a given generation come and go in what would be a few minutes of Ethiopia\u2019s life, measured in terms of a human person\u2019s life span.\u00a0 Individuals do not control Ethiopia\u2019s fate.\u00a0 Those that are in power can expedite or slow down the natural course but cannot change Ethiopia\u2019s naturally destined history, which is governed by objective conditions on the ground.\u00a0 Ethiopia currently is on the trajectory of a transformative process and destined for prosperity.\u00a0<\/p>\n
I know many of you would say \u201cwhat are you talking about?\u00a0 Is not Ethiopia going down the drain with conflicts ravaging and destroying productive capacity; peoples\u2019 movement restricted and so on and so on; well in my humble opinion, this is the outward face of Ethiopia that is masking fundamental changes on-going at the heart and inner bodies of Ethiopia.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n
The main issue is how to handle and guide this development dynamics that comes naturally.\u00a0 In more academic terms, development comes as a natural process governed by objective conditions on the ground.\u00a0 Policies matter in so far as facilitating or retarding this natural process without having capacity to change the natural course of development history.\u00a0 Development likely comes as a disruptive phenomenon and prone to be, in some cases, violent and conflict driving.\u00a0 Moreover, development comes on its own and at its own pace.\u00a0 No academic nor government force can nor will enforce development to happen.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n
Development comes and goes on its own.\u00a0 Development is probably conceived in many African countries and will soon or could already be hatching (like in Rwanda, Ghana, etc.).\u00a0 Development is probably abandoning US and European countries as a natural cycle of history.\u00a0 Trump is fighting a battle that is probably already lost.\u00a0 America is unlikely to be great again and US and European countries are likely to be in a declining trajectory.\u00a0 Whereas Asia was already Africa will soon be on a rapidly rising trajectory with the possibility of surpassing Asia\u2019s growth.\u00a0 Ethiopia is at the forefront of this development dynamics in the Africa region.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n
There is, of course, a little bit of a cross road in Ethiopia\u2019s natural path.\u00a0 The unbearable suffering our large section of the society is currently going through should not also be undermined.\u00a0 There is a possibility things might go out of control and the country disintegrating into a lawless ungoverned state.\u00a0 My belief is there is a real possibility this could happen if current states of affairs continue but that even if this happens it will be for a short period before the country and people rebounding for national unity and nation state building. \u00a0 So, the path to prosperity remains intact with possible short while distraction.\u00a0 This is not after all for you and\/ or me to change and nobody, even countries like Egypt, can do nothing about this.\u00a0 Historically adversary countries should be prepared to embrace a powerful and prosperous Ethiopia from which they will gain through positive cooperation and abandoning their historical sabotaging approach.\u00a0 Ethiopia will soon become a strong country that will take reciprocal and punitive measures instead of passive tolerance which was pursued for too long in the past.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n
Editor\u2019s Note : Views in the article do not necessarily reflect the views of borkena.com\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n
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