Alphabet Shows AI Investments Are Paying Off

In the second quarter earnings call, Alphabet revealed that the Gemini app now has 950 million monthly active users and raised its full-year capital expenditure forecast to $195 billion-$205 billion citing continued strong demand for AI infrastructure.

Ryan Lee, Senior Vice President of Product and Strategy at ETF issuer Direxion, said the results gave AI bulls what they wanted to see.

“Google appears to have made greater progress than many of its peers in translating AI investment into near-term monetization,” Lee said. He added that the strength in Gemini adoption and cloud revenue reinforces Google’s position as one of the biggest beneficiaries of the AI trade, while the strong quarter should ease near-term concerns over whether its elevated AI spending is generating sufficient returns.

Tesla Still Asking Investors to Wait

Tesla, on the other hand, missed Wall Street EPS estimates, despite posting a revenue beat. The company’s operating margin shrank from last year, and free cash flow turned negative. Capital expenditures surged 142% year over year to $5.79 billion as it continued investing heavily in AI compute, semiconductor manufacturing, Robotaxi and Optimus.

Lee said Tesla’s valuation increasingly depends on whether those AI initiatives begin generating meaningful returns.

“Tesla has become the physical AI story, with the potential to bring artificial intelligence into consumers’ everyday lives through autonomous vehicles and robotics,” Lee said. “The question is how quickly those investments can begin supporting the valuation.”

ETF Traders Have Ways to Play Both SidesEarnings Divergence: Implications Beyond Single-Stock Leveraged ETFs

As earnings season continues, ETF investors will be watching whether markets favor AI monetization, as seen at Alphabet, or long-term bets like Tesla’s Robotaxi and Optimus.

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