Twenty years ago, a British mathematician first popularized the metaphor that “data is the new oil.

His point was that like oil, data is worthless in its natural state. Refinement is what adds value. This became possible only for firms well-resourced enough to execute on data, like big tech platforms, corporate retailers and financial services giants.

If the cost to produce software approaches zero, competitive advantage may come less from the tools companies buy and more from the data they already have.

Today’s artificial intelligence wave, with large language models adept at serving up reasonable analysis from heaps of data, promises to reinforce the oil adage. The once-lucrative and in-demand enterprise software layer, in which tech companies rushed to service data needs, is under threat.

“The traditional definition of enterprise software is breaking apart,” said Mahe Bayireddi, cofounder and CEO of Phenom, an HR tech company that has grown to close to2,000 employees and is inching toward a potential IPO.

At the company’s annual conference inside Philadelphia’s convention center in March, Bayireddi and his team laid out a vision that should unsettle any founder building enterprise software — and interest any organization sitting on underused data. 

As AI makes software cheaper and easier to deploy, the real value shifts to the data underneath it.

The implication matters well beyond HR tech. For years, enterprise software companies built lucrative businesses selling tools to manage data: applicant tracking systems, CRMs, analytics dashboards. 

In 1985, at the dawn of the computer age, half of early software spending was by companies for themselves, well more than double the amount spent on pre-packaged stuff, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In 2024, after the rise of software-selling companies, these figures more than flipped. American companies spent close to four times as much on pre-packaged software than on making their own (48% versus 14%).

Now, large language models can sit on top of that data and generate insights more directly. That puts pressure on the software layer itself, and creates an opening for companies that own their data to do more with it themselves.

“The traditional SaaS is dying, and it will die,” Bayireddi said. Phenom’s pitch is that HR — often underfunded compared to sales, marketing and product — is sitting on a trove of underutilized data.

If that data can be structured and activated, the company argues, HR leaders can improve recruiting, retention and workforce planning without dramatically expanding headcount. The company’s evolution reflects that bet.

The Bayireddi brothers started Phenom in 2011 in suburban Philadelphia as a more polished jobs platform. Today, it describes itself as “applied AI for HR,” aiming to become what executives at the conference repeatedly called a “WorkOps” platform — an operating system for how work gets done. 

“Go-live is dead. It’s just a milestone,” said Hari Bayireddi, the company’s president and Mahe’s brother-cofounder. “With AI, the process is ongoing.”

Automation at the bottom, augmentation at the top

Like most large tech conferences, the event doubled as a customer showcase. An HR executive from Bright Horizons, the early childhood education provider, described early internal attempts to deploy AI tools in recruiting.

“Six months in, nobody could agree if it was succeeding because nobody could agree on what success was,” she said, describing internal skepticism and fears of job loss. The company later implemented a Phenom-backed AI agent to automate reference checks for frontline workers — a narrower use case that proved easier to evaluate.

Other customers offered similarly quantifiable gains.

An Air Arabia executive said the company reduced the equivalent workload of five full-time recruiting roles — though not actual headcount — easing pressure on existing staff. At the University of Maryland, an HR leader said Phenom tools scheduled roughly half of 1,325 interviews during a test period, with about a quarter of those candidates ultimately hired.

Phenom executives are careful, and insistent, when discussing AI’s impact on jobs.

“Level 1 and 2 recruiting tasks will go away, but not Level 3, which will get more valuable,” Bayireddi said, arguing that routine work will be automated while higher-level, judgment-driven roles become more important. It’s the “Jevons paradox” of software that Bayireddi has long championed.

“The real world is messy,” he added. “Context is expensive.”

That framing — automation at the bottom, augmentation at the top — has become a common defense across enterprise AI companies. It also leaves open the question of how many entry-level roles disappear along the way.

Still, the company’s broader thesis reflects a shift happening well beyond HR.

If the cost to produce software approaches zero, competitive advantage may come less from the tools companies buy and more from the data they already have, and how effectively they use it. In a briefing for analysts at the conference, Bayreddi toed a line between services (Phenom staff training clients on their “value acceleration model”) and a new-generation of “agentic AI” products. 

Building software is no longer the hard part

Like any industry confab, there’s jargon to navigate. On stage, a product manager under bright lights promised an audience of a thousand customers “perpetual value realization.” On the same stage, Phenom’s corporate efforts to brandish their Philadelphia roots were earnest, if a tad hollow. One over-eager enterprise sales executive with flashy sneakers proudly evoked “jawn,” Philadelphia’s once-underground street term d’art, to polite chuckles from the audience.

Strip that away, and the message is clearer for any business builder of the moment: 

The hard part isn’t building software. Elsewhere, a former tech founder reminded me recently that any company managing someone else’s data must have a more compelling offering now that AI tools will make it easier for anyone to make use of their own data themselves.

As Phenom’s ever-black-suited marketing chief Jonathan Dale said on repeat during an analyst lunch: “We have so much more to show you.”