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6 posts
xxAI
Grok 4.6 release date Odds & Prediction Market Analysis
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Grok 4.6 release date Odds & Prediction Market Analysis

  • August 7, 2026
The market’s 92% price for release by August 14 gains meaning from the 17.1% price one week earlier.…
GGoogle
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released date Odds & Prediction Market Analysis
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Next Google Gemini Pro Model released date Odds & Prediction Market Analysis

  • July 31, 2026
The hierarchy follows a readiness story created by Google’s missed June rollout signal. Gemini 3.5 Pro has progressed…
OOpenAI
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026 Odds & Prediction Market Analysis
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What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026 Odds & Prediction Market Analysis

  • July 30, 2026
The leaders share an ambient-interface thesis The hierarchy favors hardware that can keep an AI assistant continuously accessible…
AAnthropic
Claude Mythos 5 Access Restored Prediction Market
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Claude Mythos 5 Access Restored Prediction Market

  • June 19, 2026
The pricing tension in this market comes from a narrow clock: access to Claude Mythos 5 was suspended…
AAnthropic
Anthropic Claude Humanity’s Last Exam Score Prediction Market
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Anthropic Claude Humanity’s Last Exam Score Prediction Market

  • June 16, 2026
Claude’s HLE market is pricing a narrow path: Anthropic has enough time to place a stronger model on…
AAnthropic
Claude Fable 5 Restored for US Customers Prediction Market
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Claude Fable 5 Restored for US Customers Prediction Market

  • June 15, 2026
The curve is pricing Claude Fable 5 as a product-access dispute that can be unwound through compliance talks,…
AI Europe
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