{"id":103425,"date":"2026-07-12T21:07:17","date_gmt":"2026-07-12T21:07:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/103425\/"},"modified":"2026-07-12T21:07:17","modified_gmt":"2026-07-12T21:07:17","slug":"the-1-ai-stock-id-buy-and-hold-for-the-next-decade-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/103425\/","title":{"rendered":"The 1 AI Stock I&#8217;d Buy and Hold for the Next Decade"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">If I could hold only one AI (artificial intelligence) stock for the next 10 years, I wouldn&#8217;t reach for the market&#8217;s hottest name. A decade is long enough for at least one brutal downturn and a wave of competition nobody sees coming.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">What survives all of that, arguably, isn&#8217;t momentum. It&#8217;s business quality &#8212; a durable competitive advantage, heavy cash generation, and demand that outlasts the boom phase.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again.\u00a0In 2009, a &#8220;Double Down&#8221; signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia.\u00a0For the first time in years, that same &#8220;Total Conviction&#8221; signal is flashing for a company 1\/100th the size of Nvidia.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/api.fool.com\/infotron\/infotrack\/click?apikey=35527423-a535-4519-a07f-20014582e03e&amp;impression=a2e73054-301d-433b-9446-3810d16e4d00&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fool.com%2Fmms%2Fmark%2Fa-sa-dd-total-conviction%3Faid%3D11123%26source%3Disaediica0000074%26ftm_cam%3Dsa-dd-4%26ftm_veh%3Dtop_incontent_pitch_feed_yahoo%26ftm_pit%3D19375&amp;utm_source=yahoo-host-full&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=article&amp;referring_guid=d9a05414-7842-4698-8d8d-0b8911bfc3b4\" data-ylk=\"slk:Continue%20%C2%BB;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;Continue \u00bb&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Continue \u00bb<\/a>  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">My pick is Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT).  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">That answer may sound boring next to chipmakers posting triple-digit growth rates. But boring is part of the appeal. Here&#8217;s why I&#8217;d be comfortable holding the software giant for the next decade.  <\/p>\n<p>    <a href=\"https:\/\/s.yimg.com\/lo\/mysterio\/api\/ACF478E61BAC0FDDD37FD6363D848A459623839F3440FD722BBFB9066A40452E\/subgraphmysterio\/resizefit_w960;quality_80;format_webp\/https:%2F%2Fmedia.zenfs.com%2Fen%2Fmotleyfool.com%2F4c7cfb27d29c442fce10d7c57dbe2007\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP\/\/\/ywAAAAAAQABAAACAUwAOw==\" alt=\"A person interacting with AI on their laptop.\" height=\"640\" width=\"960\" class=\"yf-lglytj loader\"\/><\/a> Image source: Getty Images.           Why Microsoft fits the 10-year test          <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/investing\/how-to-invest\/stocks\/how-to-invest-in-microsoft-stock\/?utm_source=yahoo-host-full&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=article&amp;referring_guid=d9a05414-7842-4698-8d8d-0b8911bfc3b4\" data-ylk=\"slk:Microsoft;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;Microsoft&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Microsoft<\/a>&#8216;s competitive advantage is entrenchment. Its software runs the workday at most large businesses (Office, Windows, Teams, and the developer and security tools around them), and its Azure cloud platform is where many of those same customers already store data and run applications. Switching away is expensive and disruptive, so customers rarely do it.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">A durable advantage in enterprise software isn&#8217;t necessarily a better product. It&#8217;s a customer base that has organized itself around yours.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">That entrenchment is now pulling <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/terms\/a\/artificial-intelligence\/?utm_source=yahoo-host-full&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=article&amp;referring_guid=d9a05414-7842-4698-8d8d-0b8911bfc3b4\" data-ylk=\"slk:AI;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;AI&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">AI<\/a> demand toward the company. In Microsoft&#8217;s fiscal third quarter (the period ended March 31, 2026), its &#8220;Azure and other cloud services&#8221; revenue grew 40% year over year.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">And that&#8217;s no one-quarter spike. Azure grew 40% in fiscal Q1 and 39% in fiscal Q2, so the business has held steady at about 40% growth for three straight quarters &#8212; remarkable consistency for a business of this scale. Enterprise adoption of AI is arguably still early, too. And when businesses do adopt, Microsoft is often the first vendor they try, because it&#8217;s the vendor they already pay.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">The forward-looking signal is even stronger. Microsoft&#8217;s commercial remaining performance obligations (contracted work it hasn&#8217;t yet recognized as revenue) roughly doubled year over year to $627 billion in fiscal Q3. And CEO Satya Nadella said on the company&#8217;s fiscal third-quarter earnings call that Microsoft&#8217;s AI business surpassed an annual revenue run rate of $37 billion, up 123% year over year.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Then there&#8217;s the cash. Fiscal third-quarter revenue rose 18% year over year to $82.9 billion, net income climbed 23% to $31.8 billion, and earnings per share grew 23% to $4.27. That profit engine lets Microsoft fund one of the largest AI build-outs in the world from its own operations while still paying a dividend.  <\/p>\n<p>    Story Continues  <\/p>\n<p>        The price of admission         <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">So why is a stock this good trading about 30% below its 52-week high of $555.45?  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">In a word, spending.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Chief financial officer Amy Hood said on the fiscal third-quarter call that Microsoft expects to invest about $190 billion in capital expenditures in calendar year 2026, including about $25 billion from the impact of higher component pricing. That plan is likely the biggest reason the stock still sits well below its high: Investors want proof that the build-out&#8217;s returns will justify its cost. And as those investments hit the income statement as depreciation in the coming years, they could weigh on margins.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">That concern is worth taking seriously. But it&#8217;s also why the valuation finally looks reasonable. At about $385 per share as of this writing, Microsoft trades at about 23 times earnings and about 20 times forward earnings. Nvidia, the obvious alternative, trades at about 23 times forward earnings versus Microsoft&#8217;s roughly 20. That isn&#8217;t a huge gap, but Nvidia&#8217;s earnings are far more exposed to swings in chip demand. For a decade-long holding, I&#8217;d rather own the company that buys the chips, rents them out through Azure, and keeps the customer relationship either way.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Could Microsoft stumble? Of course.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Competition in cloud computing is fierce, with Amazon and Alphabet investing just as aggressively. And if AI demand pauses, a $190 billion spending spree would look painful for a few years. Of course, Microsoft&#8217;s growth could also simply slow as its numbers get bigger, making today&#8217;s premium harder to defend.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">But a 10-year holding isn&#8217;t a bet on the next few quarters. It&#8217;s a bet on who will still own the customer relationships and the infrastructure behind them 10 years from now. On those criteria, I think Microsoft is the safest way to own the AI era &#8212; and at today&#8217;s price, I think it&#8217;s a buy-and-hold for the next decade.  <\/p>\n<p>          Should you buy stock in Microsoft right now?         <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Before you buy stock in\u00a0Microsoft, consider this:  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">The Motley Fool\u00a0Stock Advisor\u00a0analyst team just identified what they believe are the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/api.fool.com\/infotron\/infotrack\/click?apikey=35527423-a535-4519-a07f-20014582e03e&amp;impression=4000a116-06b5-4633-a2d2-77c541b3f26a&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fool.com%2Fmms%2Fmark%2Fe-sa-bbn-bn%3Faid%3D8867%26source%3Disaeditxt0001213%26ftm_cam%3Dsa-bbn-evergreen%26ftm_veh%3Darticle_pitch_feed_yahoo%26ftm_pit%3D19383&amp;utm_source=yahoo-host-full&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=article&amp;referring_guid=d9a05414-7842-4698-8d8d-0b8911bfc3b4\" data-ylk=\"slk:10%20best%20stocks;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;10 best stocks&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">10 best stocks<\/a>\u00a0for investors to buy now\u2026 and\u00a0Microsoft\u00a0wasn&#8217;t one of them.\u00a0The 10 stocks that made the cut are built for long-term growth and could produce monster returns in the coming years.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Consider when\u00a0Netflix\u00a0made this list on December 17, 2004&#8230; if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation,\u00a0you&#8217;d have $395,679!*\u00a0Or\u00a0when\u00a0Nvidia\u00a0made this list on April 15, 2005&#8230; if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation,\u00a0you&#8217;d have $1,294,805!*  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">That performance is why people listen. With a track record of\u00a0beating the S&amp;P 500 by 4x,\u00a0Stock Advisor\u00a0offers a distinct advantage. Don&#8217;t miss the latest top 10 list, available with\u00a0Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built for the long haul.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/api.fool.com\/infotron\/infotrack\/click?apikey=35527423-a535-4519-a07f-20014582e03e&amp;impression=4000a116-06b5-4633-a2d2-77c541b3f26a&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fool.com%2Fmms%2Fmark%2Fe-sa-bbn-bn%3Faid%3D8867%26source%3Disaeditxt0001213%26ftm_cam%3Dsa-bbn-evergreen%26ftm_pit%3D19383%26ftm_veh%3Darticle_pitch_feed_yahoo%26company%3DMicrosoft&amp;utm_source=yahoo-host-full&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=article&amp;referring_guid=d9a05414-7842-4698-8d8d-0b8911bfc3b4\" data-ylk=\"slk:See%20the%2010%20stocks%20%C2%BB;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;See the 10 stocks \u00bb&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" class=\"ticker_pitch\">See the 10 stocks \u00bb<\/a>  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">*Stock Advisor returns as of July 12, 2026.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/author\/2104\/\" data-ylk=\"slk:Daniel%20Sparks;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;Daniel Sparks&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Daniel Sparks<\/a> and his clients do not have positions in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft, and Nvidia. The Motley Fool has a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/legal\/fool-disclosure-policy\/\" data-ylk=\"slk:disclosure%20policy;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;disclosure policy&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">disclosure policy<\/a>.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/investing\/2026\/07\/12\/the-1-ai-stock-id-buy-and-hold-for-the-next-decade\/\" data-ylk=\"slk:The%201%20AI%20Stock%20I&#039;d%20Buy%20and%20Hold%20for%20the%20Next%20Decade;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;The 1 AI Stock I&#039;d Buy and Hold for the Next Decade&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">The 1 AI Stock I&#8217;d Buy and Hold for the Next Decade<\/a> was originally published by The Motley Fool  <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"If I could hold only one AI (artificial intelligence) stock for the next 10 years, I wouldn&#8217;t reach&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":103426,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[24,25,9123,320],"class_list":["post-103425","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-ai","tag-ai","tag-artificial-intelligence","tag-competitive-advantage","tag-microsoft"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103425","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=103425"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103425\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/103426"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=103425"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=103425"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=103425"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}