{"id":110269,"date":"2026-07-18T04:28:26","date_gmt":"2026-07-18T04:28:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/110269\/"},"modified":"2026-07-18T04:28:26","modified_gmt":"2026-07-18T04:28:26","slug":"traders-bet-anthropic-will-extend-claude-fable-5-access-for-a-fourth-time-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/110269\/","title":{"rendered":"Traders bet Anthropic will extend Claude Fable 5 access for a fourth time"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>    <a href=\"https:\/\/s.yimg.com\/lo\/mysterio\/api\/22AB44B3B6DD036F1C3865437AF1FA1E043C64C9D90D5C23D8643CEEEFF85710\/subgraphmysterio\/resizefit_w960;quality_80;format_webp\/https:%2F%2Fmedia.zenfs.com%2Fen%2Fproactive_uk_164%2Fb1f2148a958022f0605548902aa5510e\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP\/\/\/ywAAAAAAQABAAACAUwAOw==\" alt=\"Traders bet Anthropic will extend Claude Fable 5 access for a fourth time\" height=\"540\" width=\"960\" class=\"yf-lglytj loader\"\/><\/a> Traders bet Anthropic will extend Claude Fable 5 access for a fourth time Proactive uses images sourced from Shutterstock           <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Polymarket traders are pricing in a 77% chance that Anthropic extends paid-plan access to its flagship Claude Fable 5 model beyond Saturday&#8217;s deadline, up 33 points as the cutoff approaches.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">The prediction market, which has drawn more than $57,000 in volume, resolves yes if the AI company announces a qualifying extension beyond 19 July.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">The odds reflect a now-familiar pattern.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Anthropic has already pushed back the deadline three times, from the original 22 June cutoff to 7 July, then 12 July, and now 19 July, with each reprieve announced hours before the wire.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Fable 5, Anthropic&#8217;s most capable generally available model, launched on 9 June and was meant to move to usage-credit-only billing after a two-week promotional window.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Subscribers on Pro, Max, Team and eligible Enterprise plans can currently use the model for up to 50% of their weekly usage limits at no extra cost.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Once the promotion ends, access will require prepaid credits at $10 per million input tokens and $50 per million output tokens, the first instance of a frontier AI lab adopting usage-based billing for a consumer model.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Anthropic says it aims to restore Fable 5 as a standard subscription feature once it secures sufficient computing capacity.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">The rolling deadlines come amid pressure from OpenAI&#8217;s GPT-5.6 Sol, which benchmarks close behind Fable 5 at a fraction of the cost.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">A companion Polymarket contract puts a 68% chance on Anthropic announcing permanent paid-plan access, while another gives 84% odds of a new Mythos-class model by 30 September.  <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Traders bet Anthropic will extend Claude Fable 5 access for a fourth time Proactive uses images sourced from&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":110270,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[53,3154,182,37952,38159],"class_list":["post-110269","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-anthropic","tag-anthropic","tag-anthropic-claude","tag-claude","tag-claude-fable","tag-fable"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/110269","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=110269"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/110269\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/110270"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=110269"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=110269"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=110269"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}