{"id":125378,"date":"2026-07-31T05:55:12","date_gmt":"2026-07-31T05:55:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/125378\/"},"modified":"2026-07-31T05:55:12","modified_gmt":"2026-07-31T05:55:12","slug":"copper-prices-ai-demand-collides-with-natural-disaster","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/125378\/","title":{"rendered":"Copper prices: AI demand collides with natural disaster"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Deadly storms that have disrupted copper mines in Chile could amplify market strains, strategists say, as the U.S. and China battle for supply of the critical industrial metal, in turn pushing prices higher.<\/p>\n<p>Although the immediate outages appear limited, mining disruption in Chile \u2014 which accounts for more than a fifth of global copper production \u2014 has landed in a market already distorted by U.S. tariff expectations, tighter scrap availability in China and surging demand for refined metal used in power grids and AI infrastructure, strategists say.<\/p>\n<p>Heavy snow, flash flooding and high winds have swept across the South American nations over the past week, killing 13 people and disrupting operations run by major producers including <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/NGLOY\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Anglo American<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/ANTO-GB\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Antofagasta<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/LUGDF\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Lundin Mining<\/a> and state-owned Codelco.<\/p>\n<p>Antofagasta, the London-listed Chilean major, has halted mining and processing at its Los Pelambres operation, while Toronto-headquartered global miner <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/quotes\/B\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Barrick<\/a> evacuated employees because of the extreme weather.<\/p>\n<p>Stock Chart IconStock chart icon<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static-redesign.cnbcfm.com\/dist\/a54b41835a8b60db28c2.svg\" class=\"Collapsible-dismissButton\" alt=\"hide content\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Copper.<\/p>\n<p>Lundin Mining said Monday that operations at its Caserones mine in Chile&#8217;s northern Atacama region could take two to three weeks to restart. Power lines serving the mine were damaged by heavy snowfall, forcing the Vancouver-based company to suspend operations on July 18.<\/p>\n<p>Rainfall also disrupted Lundin&#8217;s Candelaria mine, although the site continued operating using existing ore stockpiles, later returning to full capacity.<\/p>\n<p><a id=\"headline0\"\/>A global supply squeeze<\/p>\n<p>Copper prices have surged in recent years, hitting an all-time high of $6.70 per pound, or $13,643 per metric ton, on June 2 as concerns over a global supply squeeze intensified.<\/p>\n<p>Strategists warn that any prolonged hit to Chilean output resulting from the winter storms could add further upward pressure on prices \u2014 raising the cost of building AI data centers and manufacturing smartphones, electric vehicles, household appliances and industrial machinery \u2014 all of which rely heavily on copper.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"InlineVideo-videoThumbnail\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/108340375-2ED1-MC-072726-Nat.jpg\" alt=\"Natalie Scott-Gray: Copper supply disruptions remain temporary and limited\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Ewa Manthey, commodities strategist at ING, said the storms alone were unlikely to upend the copper market. However, the disruption reinforces the broader theme driving prices: supply is increasingly struggling to keep pace with demand.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;With the market already facing supply disruptions, tariff uncertainty and tighter concentrate availability, any prolonged weather-related outages in Chile could provide additional support for prices,&#8221; Manthey told CNBC via email.<\/p>\n<p>Natalie Scott-Gray, senior metals demand strategist at StoneX, said uncertainty over potential U.S. Section 232 tariffs and China&#8217;s crackdown on the availability of scrap copper have tightened global supplies this year.<\/p>\n<p>She told CNBC&#8217;s &#8220;Morning Call&#8221; that Chile \u2014 the world&#8217;s biggest single copper producer \u2014 recently downgraded its output by 2% this year to 5.3 million tonnes.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;It just amplifies mining supply risks for Chile, in which we expect a second year of declining output,&#8221; she later said via email.<\/p>\n<p>Scott-Gray described the impact on major producers from the storms as &#8220;temporary and limited,&#8221; highlighting contingency plans designed to contain the damage, with smaller miners \u2014 which tend to have less operational flexibility \u2014 more likely to be affected. <\/p>\n<p>But any further setbacks to mine supply could leave buyers competing for an even smaller pool of available copper, boosting prices further.<\/p>\n<p><a id=\"headline1\"\/>Another record high?<\/p>\n<p>Duncan Wanblad, CEO of Anglo American, said the company is &#8220;very, very bullish&#8221; on copper&#8217;s fundamentals.<\/p>\n<p>The firm reported a 35% jump in its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization to $4 billion in its first half trading statement Thursday, aided by a &#8220;favorable&#8221; copper price. Speaking with CNBC&#8217;s &#8220;Squawk Box Europe&#8221;,  Wanblad said the London-listed miner has &#8220;reshaped its business&#8221; around the metal. <\/p>\n<p>&#8220;We are a copper-led mining company&#8230; underpinned by some of the world&#8217;s best mining assets,&#8221; he added.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"InlineVideo-videoThumbnail\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/108342275-17853991891785399186-47472423126-1080pnbcnews.jpg\" alt=\"Anglo American CEO: Very, very bullish on the fundamentals of copper\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Commodity strategists earlier this month flagged the outsized impact on commodity markets \u2014 including copper \u2014 from the stronger-than-usual <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/07\/20\/from-super-el-nio-to-europes-heatwave-how-to-trade-extreme-weather.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">El Ni\u00f1o<\/a>\u00a0this year, with both floods and drought potentially affecting mining of the base metal.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Storms are by their nature short-lived unless they cause major infrastructure damage and whilst droughts can have longer-lasting effects on water and power availability, particularly for hydro power, most mines have contingency plans to mitigate at least some of these effects,&#8221; said George Cheveley, natural resources portfolio manager at Ninety One Asset Management. He added that speculation on U.S. tariff changes remains a main driver of price moves rather than physical demand.<\/p>\n<p>Nearly two-thirds of visible global inventories \u2014 64% \u2014 are now held in the U.S., while tariff fears, strategic stockpiling and import arbitrage into the U.S. and China have pulled supplies away from other markets.<\/p>\n<p>Stock Chart IconStock chart icon<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static-redesign.cnbcfm.com\/dist\/a54b41835a8b60db28c2.svg\" class=\"Collapsible-dismissButton\" alt=\"hide content\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Lundin.<\/p>\n<p>Scott-Gray said that inventories on the London Metal Exchange and Shanghai Futures Exchange are below their five-year averages, signaling &#8220;real world physical tightness.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Now, with three-month copper on the LME trading at around $13,750, &#8220;it is not out of the question that we will see another record high for copper being posted this year, especially with speculative net longs now prevailing across all major exchanges,&#8221; Scott-Gray added.<\/p>\n<p>She expects Chinese buying to ease in August, reducing the flow of metal into the country and slowing withdrawals from LME inventories. \u00a0&#8220;The largest unknown in the market remains what the U.S. administration will do over Section 232 tariffs, and the outlook in each case,&#8221; she added.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/preferences\/source?q=https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Choose CNBC as your preferred source on Google and never miss a moment from the most trusted name in business news.<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Deadly storms that have disrupted copper mines in Chile could amplify market strains, strategists say, as the U.S.&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":125379,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[62961,24,62960,51425,25,62958,148,3260,387,62962,5046,1289,62959,214,62963],"class_list":["post-125378","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-ai","tag-hg26u","tag-ai","tag-anglo-american-plc","tag-antofagasta-plc","tag-artificial-intelligence","tag-barrick-mining-corp","tag-business-news","tag-chile","tag-china","tag-global-x-copper-miners-etf","tag-london","tag-lp","tag-lundin-gold-inc","tag-united-states","tag-united-states-copper-index-fund"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/125378","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=125378"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/125378\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/125379"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=125378"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=125378"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=125378"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}