{"id":27485,"date":"2026-05-05T05:04:22","date_gmt":"2026-05-05T05:04:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/27485\/"},"modified":"2026-05-05T05:04:22","modified_gmt":"2026-05-05T05:04:22","slug":"wise-or-a-political-novice-after-the-states-congressional-maps-were-tossed-heres-how-chatgpt-would-redraw-them-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/27485\/","title":{"rendered":"Wise or a political novice? After the states congressional maps were tossed, heres how ChatGPT would redraw them"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>NEW ORLEANS \u2014 So, what\u2019s the big deal?<\/p>\n<p>As a reformed sportswriter who once asked ChatGPT to plot out the best road trip for visiting national parks in Utah \u2013 and got what appeared to be a suitably Mormon answer in five seconds \u2013 I wondered how long would it take for the free AI analytical tool to create a reasonable redistricting plan for Louisiana that would map out six contiguous, right-sized <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wbrz.com\/news\/gov-jeff-landry-suspends-may-primary-to-redraw-congressional-map\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">congressional <\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wbrz.com\/news\/gov-jeff-landry-suspends-may-primary-to-redraw-congressional-map\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">districts<\/a> for the state\u2019s 4.6 million residents.<\/p>\n<p>In this case, about 3.7 seconds.<\/p>\n<p>But, as with all things Louisiana, where politics is waged as 4D chess, checkmate is not that easy, says Greg Rigamer, one of those rare people with the ability to decipher and accommodate both the unswerving validity of mathematical equations and the relentless warrior mentality of politicians, for whom this take-no-prisoners game of redistricting comes down to: \u201cFind me one more vote.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Throw in the bitter divide of race, the bane of the United States for 250 years, and finding a voting solution that satisfies the most Louisiana residents becomes an AI hallucination.<\/p>\n<p>Louisiana currently has six congressional districts, four of them largely white and Republican, and two that are mostly Black and Democrat. Now, the burning question being debated in the back chambers of the Baton Rouge Capitol and in the Oval Office of the White House is whether that 4-2 tilt in favor of the Republicans will become 5-1 or even 6-0, given President Donald Trump\u2019s desire to extend the Republican runway in Congress.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/dcer237tfveol.cloudfront.net\/img\/wbrz\/images\/news\/2026-05\/04chatgpt_image3_current_4-2_congress_map.png\" width=\"500\" height=\"463\" alt=\"\" style=\"display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;\"\/><\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe easy part is to divide 4 1\/2 million by six,\u201d said Rigamer, a New Orleans political data consultant whose facility with polling and statistical modeling is legendary in and beyond Louisiana. \u201cIt\u2019s absolutely simple. But, dealing with decision-makers is almost impossible because they want their mother-in-law, who lives on this street, in their district, but they don\u2019t want the people on the next street over.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>In the wake of the U.S. Supreme Court\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wbrz.com\/news\/supreme-court-voids-majority-black-congressional-district-in-louisiana-boosting-republican-chances\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">ruling<\/a> April 29 in Louisiana v. Callais that the state\u2019s current congressional map was unconstitutionally racially gerrymandered \u2013 the significant legal sticking point was the creation in 2024 of a second majority-Black district that snaked its way from Shreveport to Baton Rouge \u2013 I wondered if AI was equipped in a \u201cpost-Callais\u201d world to handle this simple task: \u201cCan you develop a new congressional district map for the state of Louisiana using the 1965 Voting Rights Act and the Callais decision as guides?\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Faster than former Gov. Bobby Jindal could zip through prices at an Angus livestock auction, ChatGPT came back with assurances that it would not just \u201cdraw a map of Louisiana the way a politician might sketch lines (uh-oh, that\u2019s a real problem). It would follow a structured, data-driven pipeline with explicit rules and tradeoffs.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>ChatGPT\u2019s non-negotiable \u201ccriteria\u201d would be equal population (\u201cone person, one vote\u201d), compliance with the 1965 Voting Rights Act (where there could be no racial vote dilution) and contiguous districts (\u201cno disconnected pieces\u201d). It would use the most recent census data, parish boundaries, voting-precinct maps and geographic features such as rivers and bayous.<\/p>\n<p>It also claimed it would take into account compactness (\u201cavoid weird, snake-like districts\u201d: Did someone mention Louisiana\u2019s 6th District?), respect community lines, promote fairness and protect minority representation.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cHere\u2019s the catch,\u201d ChatGPT cautioned. \u201cThese goals can conflict (umm, yes). Algorithms must balance tradeoffs (e.g., compactness vs. minority representation).\u201d<\/p>\n<p>ChatGPT advised that an AI system likely would \u201canchor districts around population centers (New Orleans, Baton Rouge and Shreveport), ensure at least one or two majority-Black districts to comply with federal law, balance rural vs. urban populations across districts (and) minimize splitting parishes where possible.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>In 3.7 seconds, ChatGPT\u2019s work was done, producing a map that looked, to the unpracticed eye, sleek and coherent. ChatGPT spit out a 5-1 Republican-Democratic map, with the Democratic district centered on New Orleans.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/dcer237tfveol.cloudfront.net\/img\/wbrz\/images\/news\/2026-05\/04chatgpt_image2_chatgpts_new_district_map.jpg\" width=\"500\" height=\"334\" alt=\"\" style=\"display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;\"\/><\/p>\n<p>That was the moment Dorothy returned to Kansas.<\/p>\n<p>For his political clients, Rigamer has used a proprietary data-crunching program that essentially can identify what a person on a certain block had for breakfast last Tuesday morning. He also is a pro with the AI tool Gemini and adept with the data-slicing ability of <a href=\"https:\/\/davesredistricting.org\/maps#home\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">DavesRedistricting.org<\/a>, an open-source program with a state-by-state breakdown of voter information and district maps.<\/p>\n<p>Still, Rigamer said Gemini failed the test for meeting his exacting standards.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI told Gemini, \u2018I want six congressional districts in Louisiana,\u2019 and it spit out a map pretty quickly, but it was wrong on so many points,\u201d Rigamer said.<\/p>\n<p>Rigamer told Gemini it was \u201challucinating\u201d because some of the districts were not contiguous.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThere was a piece of a district here and a piece of another district here,\u201d Rigamer said. \u201cI think what it was doing was grouping communities of interest, irrespective of geography. It did fix that. Then I told it some of the districts were much smaller than the others. Districts have to be within three-quarters of a percentage point in total population.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Rigamer and other political experts said dispassionate math is one thing. Human maneuvering is another.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThis is not like medicine, where there\u2019s a million different variables,\u201d Rigamer said. \u201cIt\u2019s just straight numbers. But where it gets difficult is the people who are drawing the map saying, \u2018Well, I\u2019m really popular in this area. This area has got to be in here.\u2019 You get into those kinds of things that are personal judgments. You have all these things that come into play that have nothing to do with math.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The redrawing of the snake-like 6th District in 2024 was steeped in political intrigue because it turned a Republican-majority district into one that was majority Democratic. It was widely viewed as Gov. Jeff Landry\u2019s payback for Rep. Garret Graves\u2019 endorsing Landry\u2019s 2023 gubernatorial opponent, Stephen Waguespack, and also for Graves\u2019 reluctant support for Steve Scalise for speaker of the U.S. House.<\/p>\n<p>Graves chose not to run in the newly constructed district.<\/p>\n<p>In his behind-the-scenes conversations with several Louisiana lawmakers since the Callais decision \u2013 both Republicans and Democrats \u2013 Rigamer said the upcoming <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wbrz.com\/news\/baton-rouge-nonprofits-work-to-clear-up-confusion-for-voters\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">redistricting battle<\/a> will be how many of the state\u2019s six congressional districts will maintain a Black voting majority. Currently, there are two. Will that shrink to one \u2013 or zero?<\/p>\n<p>\u201cA number of people I\u2019ve been speaking to \u2013 and it\u2019s been a whole bunch since Thursday \u2013 they\u2019re really OK with 5-1, but out of D.C., I think there\u2019s a real interest in the 6-0,\u201d Rigamer said. \u201cI can guarantee you it ain\u2019t going to be 4-2.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Rigamer said the Baton Rouge buzz is that Trump, to whom Landry has pledged unswerving loyalty, has made it clear exactly what he wants.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI\u2019m sure the White House wants six Republican districts,\u201d Rigamer said. \u201cYou can do it, but it gets to be very challenging. I think what you would see happen \u2013 and I\u2018m not suggesting this, I\u2019m just saying the math on this is such \u2013 is that you would have to put New Orleans with St. Tammany and some of the Northshore parishes where you don\u2019t have any significant minority population.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAnother reason I say this is because in Louisiana, the vast majority \u2013 95% of African Americans \u2013 are Democrats and consistently vote Democrat. So, if you wanted to do a 6-0, you couldn\u2019t really put New Orleans and Jefferson together because Jefferson is a large parish and 30% African American, and you can\u2019t make that work. So, what you would do is grab African Americans from Orleans and put them with St. Tammany and Washington and Tangipahoa, where you have a pretty good population base but not a high number of African Americans.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The political headwinds against doing anything that would redistribute voters in Jefferson Parish, Rigamer said, would be significant because Scalise has built an impenetrable base there.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cScalise is very popular, and he wins his elections in a landslide all the time,\u201d Rigamer said. \u201cHe\u2019s worked very hard since he was elected in 2008 to really get to know his district and have them know him. He wants to keep that district as close as possible to what he has been working on for the last 18 years. So, now, rather than have it 75% Republican, we\u2019re going to have it 55% because we\u2019re going to dilute Troy Carter\u2019s (Democratic) district? That\u2019s just repeated with every congressman.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Political consultant Ron Faucheux said the outcome of the upcoming deliberations is simple to predict.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt gets down to what Landry wants and what (Attorney General) Liz Murrill thinks they can get through,\u201d Faucheux said. \u201cThe simplest thing would be to just go back to what they had, in effect, when there was one Black seat. But with all these parties trying to kill the other side \u2013 not just picking up a seat here or there but just wiping them out \u2013 there\u2019s a lot of talk that Trump and the national Republicans want them to go for it, to wipe out both Democratic seats.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>With all legal jargon aside, Rigamer said his reading of the Callais decision is that it gives the state \u201ca lot of latitude in redistricting.\u201d Even ChatGPT reflected that new landscape, given the recent Callais ruling.<\/p>\n<p>I asked ChatGPT the Trump question: \u201cWould a Louisiana redistricting map that establishes six majority-white congressional districts be fair?\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIn practical terms, states now have far more freedom to draw maps without creating majority-minority districts,\u201d ChatGPT said. \u201cSo, would my answer change (from the situation before Callais)? Legally? Yes \u2013 dramatically. Before Callais, a 6 majority-white map in Louisiana would almost certainly be illegal under Section 2. After Callais, a 6 majority-white map is much more likely to survive legal challenge. Courts may accept it if the state says it was drawn for partisan, geographic or \u2018race-neutral\u2019 reasons.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cFrom a fairness\/representation standpoint? No,\u201d ChatGPT continued. \u201cEven after Callais, the underlying facts didn\u2019t change. Louisiana is still ~ one-third Black. Voting is still racially polarized in many parts of the state. A 6-0 map would likely result in little or no Black-preferred representation; outcomes that don\u2019t reflect the statewide electorate. So, most political scientists, voting-rights analysts and AI simulations would still flag that map as highly unrepresentative; an extreme outlier compared to neutral districting plans.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Rigamer is putting his money on the past-performance charts of Louisiana politicians: Lawmakers will always rally down the stretch and find a way to beat AI.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe practical matter is, I don\u2019t think people are looking for the most artful solution,\u201d Rigamer said. \u201cThey\u2019re looking for what they want. AI might give them the better solution, but it\u2019s not what they want.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"NEW ORLEANS \u2014 So, what\u2019s the big deal? As a reformed sportswriter who once asked ChatGPT to plot&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":27486,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[24,580,18240,18241,5218,17650,66,157,18242],"class_list":{"0":"post-27485","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-openai","8":"tag-ai","9":"tag-chatgpt","10":"tag-congressional","11":"tag-districts","12":"tag-louisiana","13":"tag-maps","14":"tag-news","15":"tag-openai","16":"tag-voting"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27485","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=27485"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27485\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/27486"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=27485"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=27485"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=27485"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}