{"id":93228,"date":"2026-07-02T12:39:13","date_gmt":"2026-07-02T12:39:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/93228\/"},"modified":"2026-07-02T12:39:13","modified_gmt":"2026-07-02T12:39:13","slug":"an-ai-that-predicts-but-has-no-hidden-agenda-lawzero-lays-out-a-formal-safety-case-for-its-scientist-ai","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/93228\/","title":{"rendered":"An AI that Predicts but has no Hidden Agenda: LawZero Lays out a Formal Safety Case for its &#8220;Scientist AI&#8221;."},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">LawZero&#8217;s research team, led by Yoshua Bengio, makes the mathematical case for a &#8220;disinterested&#8221; AI that predicts the truth without pursuing goals of its own.\u00a0  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">MONTR\u00c9AL, July 2, 2026 \/CNW\/ &#8211;\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/edge.prnewswire.com\/c\/link\/?t=0&amp;l=en&amp;o=4723104-1&amp;h=446085438&amp;u=http%3A%2F%2Flawzero.org%2F&amp;a=LawZero\" data-ylk=\"slk:LawZero;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;LawZero&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">LawZero<\/a>, a nonprofit dedicated to safe-by-design artificial intelligence (AI), today released a paper providing a new mathematical framework, representing a fundamental shift in the development of safe AI: one built to make honest predictions about the world without pursuing goals of its own.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Titled: &#8220;Safety from Honesty in a Disinterested AI Predictor&#8221; and authored by a team led by <a href=\"https:\/\/edge.prnewswire.com\/c\/link\/?t=0&amp;l=en&amp;o=4723104-1&amp;h=2256672391&amp;u=https%3A%2F%2Flawzero.org%2Fen%2Fteam%2Fyoshua-bengio&amp;a=Yoshua+Bengio\" data-ylk=\"slk:Yoshua%20Bengio;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;Yoshua Bengio&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Yoshua Bengio<\/a>, the work tackles what many researchers now consider a major danger of increasingly capable AI: that systems trained to imitate people and optimize for outcomes can quietly become goal-directed in ways their designers never intended.\u00a0Today&#8217;s most powerful AI systems learn first by imitating vast amounts of human-written text, and then by being rewarded for the answers approved by the users.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Today&#8217;s most powerful AI systems learn first by imitating vast amounts of human-written text, and then by being rewarded for the answers approved by the users. The paper argues that this training recipe can inadvertently incentivize systems to pursue unwanted goals of their own \u2014 arising either from imitating human drives or wanting to maximize approval. This structural pressure can manifest as harmless-seeming flattery, or scale into highly critical safety risks such as deception or resistance to being shut down. The authors call this &#8220;implicit agency&#8221;: goal-seeking that no one asked for and that may not even be visible in the system&#8217;s stated answers.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">&#8220;Most AI today is trained to act like us, to imitate, to please&#8221;, said Yoshua Bengio, Co-President and Scientific Director at LawZero. &#8220;We&#8217;re building something different: a system that mechanically applies the scientific method for hypothesizing and predicting, trying to understand the world and report its beliefs honestly, including about what might harm us. Such a disinterested, scientist-like AI observes and analyzes rather than having hidden drives that can lead to scheming&#8221;, Bengio concluded.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">A scientist, not an agent.\u00a0  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">The proposed alternative is to build AI that behaves like a scientist reporting their best explanatory theories rather than act like an agent. A scientist tries to understand and predict the world accurately; an agent tries to change it to get what it wants. LawZero&#8217;s &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/edge.prnewswire.com\/c\/link\/?t=0&amp;l=en&amp;o=4723104-1&amp;h=2287577622&amp;u=https%3A%2F%2Flawzero.org%2Fen%2Fresearch&amp;a=Scientist+AI\" data-ylk=\"slk:Scientist%20AI;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;Scientist AI&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Scientist AI<\/a>&#8221;\u00a0predictor is trained only to estimate the probability of events through the most broadly explanatory hypotheses, and is given no incentive to influence what happens next as a consequence of its predictions, a property called consequence invariance. The paper calls this Scientist AI system disinterested; it has no stake in the outcomes its predictions bring about.  <\/p>\n<p>    Story Continues  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Two design choices do the work. First, the system is taught to distinguish &#8220;someone claimed X is true&#8221; from &#8220;X is true&#8221; so it can learn from human text, by trying to explain it rather than imitate it, i.e., without absorbing human goals and biases as if they were established facts.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Second, and this is the heart of the safety case, the training process never rewards the system for the real-world consequences of its answers, only for the explanatory power of its hypotheses, avoiding the feedback loop that would otherwise teach it to manipulate. When the broader system needs to take actions, such as searching or using tools that work is handled by separate, auditable code with a safety guardrail that withholds any answer it judges to be too risky.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Why accuracy and safety reinforce each other.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">The paper&#8217;s central result is a mathematical argument that, under clearly stated conditions, the chance of training such a system into a dangerous one is extremely small. Causing serious harm would require the system to be dishonest in a coordinated, sustained way across many separate answers \u2014 yet the training method provides no push toward that, and the objective directly penalizes the kind of\u00a0miscalibration it would demand. The striking conclusion: accuracy and safety reinforce one another. The very honesty that makes the system useful is also what makes deception extremely unlikely, meaning there is no trade-off between accuracy and safety.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">&#8220;The safety provided by the Scientist AI and its honest predictions makes it the ideal solution for monitoring and guard-railing frontier AI systems,&#8221; explained <a href=\"https:\/\/edge.prnewswire.com\/c\/link\/?t=0&amp;l=en&amp;o=4723104-1&amp;h=1719183118&amp;u=https%3A%2F%2Flawzero.org%2Fen%2Fteam%2Fiulian-serban&amp;a=Iulian+Serban\" data-ylk=\"slk:Iulian%20Serban;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;Iulian Serban&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Iulian Serban<\/a>, Senior Director, Research &amp; Development at LawZero. &#8220;By analyzing the actions, responses and history of other AI systems, the Scientist AI will more accurately and honestly evaluate whether their actions and responses may cause harm and, if so, block them.&#8221;\u00a0  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">In addition to deploying the Scientist AI as a safety guardrail,\u00a0LawZero expects the Scientist AI to act as a research acceleration tool providing hypothesis generation and probabilistic reasoning capabilities, helping researchers make new discoveries across fields ranging from medicine and climate change to cybersecurity and AI safety itself.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">The authors are careful about scope, however: the paper&#8217;s argument addresses one specific risk\u00a0\u2015 the predictor itself developing hidden goals\u00a0\u2015 and is a formal case resting on assumptions, not an absolute guarantee. It does not by itself cover deliberate human misuse, one-off honest mistakes or the safety of larger, more capable agentic systems built on top of the predictor. However, agentic\u00a0extensions are precisely the directions of current research at LawZero. The team presents the work as a foundation for safer AI and proposes concrete experiments to test its assumptions empirically.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Read the complete case.\u00a0The full argument, including the formal proofs, the consequence-invariance result, and the experiments LawZero proposes to test it, is available <a href=\"https:\/\/edge.prnewswire.com\/c\/link\/?t=0&amp;l=en&amp;o=4723104-1&amp;h=1941872333&amp;u=https%3A%2F%2Flawzero.org%2Fen%2Fpublication%2Fsafety-honesty-disinterested-ai-predictor&amp;a=here\" data-ylk=\"slk:here;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;here&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">here<\/a>.\u00a0  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">About LawZero  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/edge.prnewswire.com\/c\/link\/?t=0&amp;l=en&amp;o=4723104-1&amp;h=4035818212&amp;u=https%3A%2F%2Flawzero.org%2Fen&amp;a=LawZero\" data-ylk=\"slk:LawZero;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;LawZero&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">LawZero<\/a>\u00a0is a nonprofit organization committed to creating technical solutions that enable safe-by-design AI systems. Its scientific direction is based on new research and methods led by Professor Yoshua Bengio, the most cited AI researcher in the world. Based in Montr\u00e9al, LawZero aims to build a safe-by-design AI that could be used to accelerate scientific discovery, to provide oversight for agentic AI systems, and to advance the understanding of AI risks and how to avoid them. The organisation aims to cultivate AI as a global public good\u2014developed and used safely towards human flourishing. LawZero was incubated at\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/edge.prnewswire.com\/c\/link\/?t=0&amp;l=en&amp;o=4723104-1&amp;h=3330263817&amp;u=https%3A%2F%2Fmila.quebec%2Fen&amp;a=Mila+-+Quebec+AI+Institute\" data-ylk=\"slk:Mila%20-%20Quebec%20AI%20Institute;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;Mila - Quebec AI Institute&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Mila &#8211; Quebec AI Institute<\/a>, a nonprofit academic research institution founded by Professor Bengio.  <\/p>\n<p>   <a href=\"https:\/\/s.yimg.com\/lo\/mysterio\/api\/2D0CB67145A54BA5F9ED32B3FA134BCBD872E9FE906DF74AD329CF86C2DBFDED\/subgraphmysterio\/resizefit_w960;quality_80;format_webp\/https:%2F%2Fmedia.zenfs.com%2Fen%2Fcnwgroup.com%2F7956b62b6acaefe2014de1688810bd54\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP\/\/\/ywAAAAAAQABAAACAUwAOw==\" alt=\"Cision\" height=\"16\" width=\"16\" class=\"yf-lglytj loader\"\/><\/a> Cision          <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\"> View original content: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.newswire.ca\/en\/releases\/archive\/July2026\/02\/c0411.html\" data-ylk=\"slk:http%3A%2F%2Fwww.newswire.ca%2Fen%2Freleases%2Farchive%2FJuly2026%2F02%2Fc0411.html;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;http:\/\/www.newswire.ca\/en\/releases\/archive\/July2026\/02\/c0411.html&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">http:\/\/www.newswire.ca\/en\/releases\/archive\/July2026\/02\/c0411.html<\/a>  <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"LawZero&#8217;s research team, led by Yoshua Bengio, makes the mathematical case for a &#8220;disinterested&#8221; AI that predicts the&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":93229,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[24,25,42203,2947,44628],"class_list":["post-93228","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-ai","tag-ai","tag-artificial-intelligence","tag-predictions","tag-system","tag-yoshua-bengio"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/93228","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=93228"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/93228\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/93229"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=93228"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=93228"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ai\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=93228"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}