US President Donald Trump (R) and Open AI CEO Sam Altman (L) react during a working lunch meeting of G7 members, partner countries, and artificial intelligence business leaders as part of the G7 summit, in Evian, eastern France, on June 17, 2026. A G7 summit is set to take place June 15 to 17 in the French town of Evian-les-Bains near Switzerland and it will be attended by country leaders as well as the EU’s foreign policy chief and ministers from Brazil, Canada, the United Arab Emirates and Turkey. (Photo by Julia Demaree Nikhinson \/ POOL \/ AFP via Getty Images)<\/p>\n
Julia Demaree Nikhinson | Afp | Getty Images<\/p>\n
While OpenAI reportedly proposed giving the Trump administration a stake<\/a> in the company, Kalshi traders see long odds that such a deal could occur this year.<\/p>\n Just last week the Financial Times<\/a> reported that the artificial intelligence giant proposed granting the U.S. government a 5% stake. However, Kalshi traders see odds of less than 30% that the U.S. government could take a stake in OpenAI or Anthropic.<\/p>\n The Kalshi event asks which companies will the U.S. government take a stake in this year, and will be resolved once verified by the government, news outlets or official filings.\u00a0<\/p>\n OpenAI CEO Sam Altman first shared with the Trump administration the idea of offering the government a stake back in 2025, a source familiar with the matter told CNBC last month<\/a>. The source asked not to be named because the details are confidential.<\/p>\n Last week President Donald Trump avoided answering CNBC’s question<\/a> on the proposed OpenAI stake. Instead, he discussed<\/a> the 10% stake the government took in Intel<\/a> last summer.<\/p>\n “Intel came in. They had a problem,” Trump said. “I said, ‘I can solve your problem, but I want 10% of the company.'”<\/p>\n Kalshi traders see odds well over 60% that the government could take a stake this year in quantum computing plays Rigetti Computing<\/a> or D-Wave Quantum<\/a>, as well as in semiconductor manufacturer GlobalFoundries<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n In May, the U.S. Commerce Department said it would award $2 billion in grants<\/a> to nine firms in the quantum computing space. The National Institute of Standards and Technology<\/a> said it would take a minority, non-controlling stake in each company. Rigetti Computing, D-Wave Quantum and GlobalFoundries were among the companies.<\/p>\n