Labor frontbencher Meaghan Scanlon will put her political future at risk to recontest the Gold Coast electorate of Gaven.
The 33-year-old Shadow Attorney-General – who has been called the next generation Labor leader – won Gaven with a wafer-thin margin at the 2024 state election.
This year’s controversial boundary redistribution turned the seat into one that should be easily won by the LNP in 2028.
It sets up a blockbuster political showdown between the LNP, One Nation and the woman touted as a future Labor leader.
The redrawing of the Gaven electorate to include the conservative stronghold suburbs of Merrimac and Guanaba has changed the seat to be notionally held by the LNP on a healthy 3.9 per cent margin.
After weeks of consideration, Ms Scanlon revealed she would resist calls from colleagues and party elders to retreat to a safer Labor seat and instead fight to win Gaven for a fourth time.
“My focus is on winning, and I genuinely do think it’s possible,” she said.
“There’s a lot of people who wanted me to, or thought that I should, move to a different seat, but I just couldn’t do that.
“I grew up here … my parents owned a small business around the corner here and I just increasingly was hearing stories from people coming into my office who were really struggling.
“I can’t leave people who put their trust in me when I was just 24 and I owe it to them to stay and fight for issues that they really care about.”
Opposition Leader Steven Miles will use Saturday’s Queensland Labor State Conference to announce Ms Scanlon’s decision to “stay and fight” in the only Gold Coast electorate held by the party.
The timing of the announcement is aimed at corralling members and injecting energy into a Labor Party struggling against the LNP government.
Polling indicates Labor’s primary vote has fallen 7.6 per cent since the October 2024 election to 25 per cent.
The LNP has also fallen 7.5 per cent as the major parties fight a surging One Nation.
Asked if she had thought about the possibility of losing her seat, Ms Scanlon remained optimistic.
“Every election I have been underestimated, and pretty much every election people have said that I’m going to lose and I’ve never gone in thinking that,” she said.
Speculation about Ms Scanlon’s future has been ripe since the Queensland Redistribution Commission handed down its draft report in March.
The inclusion of Deputy Premier Jarrod Bleijie’s Director-General John Sosso on the commission prompted criticism from the opposition and corruption buster Tony Fitzgerald for his links to the LNP.
Mr Sosso, who is not accused of wrongdoing, was one of three members on the panel alongside chairman, retired District Court Judge Gregory Koppenol, and Electoral Commissioner of Queensland Pat Vidgen.
Ms Scanlon said she had moved on from the controversial appointment of Mr Sosso.
“It’s obviously not great to see the margin change and we said a lot about the process at the time – I’ve kind of made peace with it all,” she said.
“I’m just focused on doing everything in my power to win this seat because it’s the only seat on the Gold Coast that we hold.
“Watching some of these, frankly, lazy LNP MPs sit on fat margins and do nothing for this city has only motivated me more to run.”