{"id":3189,"date":"2026-05-02T03:45:11","date_gmt":"2026-05-02T03:45:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/australia\/3189\/"},"modified":"2026-05-02T03:45:11","modified_gmt":"2026-05-02T03:45:11","slug":"one-nation-vying-for-victorian-lower-house-seat-in-major-state-by-election","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/australia\/3189\/","title":{"rendered":"One Nation vying for Victorian lower house seat in major state by-election"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>One Nation is in a three-cornered race against the Liberal Party and an independent to win the Nepean by-election in Victoria&#8217;s state parliament.<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"body-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.skynews.com.au\/stream\" data-tgev=\"event119\" data-tgev-container=\"bodylink\" data-tgev-order=\"stream\" data-tgev-label=\"stream\" data-tgev-metric=\"ev\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Watch Sky News Australia&#8217;s Nepean-by election coverage with SkyNews.com.au Streaming Subscription.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The Mornington Peninsula seat looks set to be a tight race between Liberal candidate Anthony Marsh and One Nation&#8217;s Darren Hercus, with tough competition from independent Tracee Hutchison.<\/p>\n<p>Labor&#8217;s decision not to contest the by-election has led the Liberals to face an unexpected showdown with One Nation.<\/p>\n<p>The contest will be the first major test of Pauline Hanson&#8217;s support in the state.<\/p>\n<p>The by-election is just months away from November&#8217;s state general election and was triggered when Sam Groth announced a little more than three years into a four-year term in the Victorian parliament that he intended to step down immediately.<\/p>\n<p>A Roy Morgan poll in April showed Labor slightly leading One Nation and the Liberal Party on primary vote, 25.5 per cent to 24.5 and 24 per cent respectively.<\/p>\n<p>In a Resolve poll earlier in the year, One Nation had only secured 11 per cent of the vote.<\/p>\n<p>The movement to One Nation, echoed in polls around Australia, has the Liberals fearful they could lose Nepean, a seat they currently hold by a 6.4 per cent margin against Labor.<\/p>\n<p> When and where to watch Nepean by-election coverage<\/p>\n<p>Sky News will provide extensive and insightful election coverage throughout Saturday night.<\/p>\n<p>Rolling coverage from both the One Nation and Liberal functions will air from 6pm AEST as voters head to the polls.<\/p>\n<p>Subscribers can stream coverage at\u00a0<a class=\"body-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.skynews.com.au\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">SkyNews.com.au<\/a>\u00a0or download the Sky News Australia app.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"poster-img\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/australia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/67d53ba09737c62e70439af3f65a9b79.jpeg\" data-sctrack=\"op-poster-img\" alt=\"Sam Groth quits Victorian Liberals forcing by-election\" fetchpriority=\"high\"\/>Panel of Sky News experts to deliver updates and analysis<\/p>\n<p>Senior political reporter Trudy McIntosh will be joined live by political commentator Stephen Conroy and former Victorian Liberal Party president Michael Kroger as they break down results on the night.<\/p>\n<p>Shadow cabinet secretary Zoe McKenzie and The Australian&#8217;s Victorian political editor Anthony Galloway will be providing live updates from the Liberal function.<\/p>\n<p>Mr Kroger and Redbridge Group director Kos Samaras will be live from Sky News&#8217; Melbourne studio while One Nation Victorian president Warren Pickering will also be offering up analysis on the night.<\/p>\n<p>Coverage will be available to stream for subscribers at <a class=\"body-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.skynews.com.au\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">SkyNews.com.au<\/a> or via the Sky News Australia app.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"One Nation is in a three-cornered race against the Liberal Party and an independent to win the Nepean&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":2869,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[22,21,1489,3965,3699,1955,3701,3966],"class_list":{"0":"post-3189","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-australia","8":"tag-au","9":"tag-austrlia","10":"tag-by-election","11":"tag-liberal-party","12":"tag-nepean","13":"tag-one-nation","14":"tag-sam-groth","15":"tag-victorian"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/australia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3189","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/australia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/australia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/australia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/australia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3189"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/australia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3189\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/australia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2869"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/australia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3189"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/australia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3189"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/australia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3189"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}