{"id":54382,"date":"2026-07-20T09:11:13","date_gmt":"2026-07-20T09:11:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/australia\/54382\/"},"modified":"2026-07-20T09:11:13","modified_gmt":"2026-07-20T09:11:13","slug":"victorian-government-to-spend-10-per-cent-of-public-revenue-servicing-interest-repayments-by-2030-moodys-forecasts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/australia\/54382\/","title":{"rendered":"Victorian government to spend 10 per cent of public revenue servicing interest repayments by 2030, Moody&#8217;s forecasts"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Victoria will spend 10 per cent of its public revenue servicing interest repayments by 2030, a major credit ratings agency predicted as the Iran war exposes states to economic shock.<\/p>\n<p>Recent analysis from Moody\u2019s showed weaker growth and rising cost pressures have heaped pressure on state and federal budgets.<\/p>\n<p>It warned that states are less capable of handling their debt under these dire economic conditions while public spending programs remain large.<\/p>\n<p>Victoria will spend 10 per cent of its public sector revenue on interest by 2030 \u2013 a massive increase from about 3.5 per cent the state spent in 2019.<\/p>\n<p>South Australia will spend about nine per cent of its revenue on interest by 2030, while Queensland will spend about 8.5 per cent.<\/p>\n<p>Public sector spending has skyrocketed in recent years as state governments have overseen total state debt rising from $266 billion in the 2019 financial year to $650 billion in the 2027 financial year.<\/p>\n<p>Moody\u2019s report said higher fuel costs from the Iran war, alongside higher underlying inflation, has added to wage and contractor cost pressures.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThese cost pressures add to structurally rising expenditure demands driven by population growth and increasing reliance on government services,\u201d the report said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cDespite efforts to strengthen project governance and re-profile capital programs, sustained input-cost pressures increase the risk of cost overruns and project delays, extending the period of elevated infrastructure spending and debt accumulation.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Victoria\u2019s debt makes up more than 30 per cent of its gross state product \u2013 the state equivalent of GDP.<\/p>\n<p>It also has the highest state debt in Australia, despite its economy being 25 per cent smaller than NSW\u2019s.<\/p>\n<p>The Allan government unveiled more spending promises at <a class=\"body-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.skynews.com.au\/australia-news\/politics\/surplus-of-spin-victorias-debt-to-skyrocket-despite-labors-claims\/news-story\/ee4ed38c51852d3e4a123836c7228e76\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" data-tgev=\"event119\" data-tgev-container=\"bodylink\" data-tgev-order=\"ee4ed38c51852d3e4a123836c7228e76\" data-tgev-label=\"australia-news\" data-tgev-metric=\"ev\">this year\u2019s budget<\/a> as it looks to win a historic fourth term in government.<\/p>\n<p>This included $13.8 billion of new spending, including hefty cost of living packages such as free and half-price public transport.<\/p>\n<p>Budget figures show the state\u2019s net debt will reach a record $199.3 billion by mid-2030 \u2013 an increase of $31.7 billion over the next four years.<\/p>\n<p>Victoria\u2019s interest repayments surging means taxpayers will have to fork out $32.4 million every day by 2029-30.<\/p>\n<p>This is despite Victoria\u2019s tax bill climbing from $41.7 billion to $50.2 billion over the same period.<\/p>\n<p>The skyrocketing debt figures are due to persistent cash deficits, starting at $7.7 billion in 2026-27.<\/p>\n<p>Unlike the operating surpluses, these include the full cost of the state\u2019s infrastructure spending.<\/p>\n<p>Victoria&#8217;s rising interest repayments come as <a class=\"body-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.skynews.com.au\/business\/finance\/labors-tax-changes-threaten-state-budgets-as-lower-property-prices-yield-lower-stamp-duty-sp-global-warns\/news-story\/17e7eadac7acd1c2279515afcd023cb7\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" data-tgev=\"event119\" data-tgev-container=\"bodylink\" data-tgev-order=\"17e7eadac7acd1c2279515afcd023cb7\" data-tgev-label=\"business\" data-tgev-metric=\"ev\">several institutions have criticised overly optimistic state budget forecasts<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThis year\u2019s state budgets continue to project that operating expense growth will moderate across the four-year forecast horizon,\u201d S&amp;P\u2019s director of Asia-Pacific public finance Martin Foo said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThese spending projections appear optimistic.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Victoria will spend 10 per cent of its public revenue servicing interest repayments by 2030, a major credit&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":54383,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[48621,45253,45544,48558,48613,48592,48253,48562,48579,48606,48573,48574,48570,48601,48554,48622,48582,33780,38577,48568,48588,18422,37398,48607,48617,48616,44623,48551,48556,48614,48594,48561,39347,48547,22,23,21,48557,36917,48598,5204,48566,48564,39132,48553,37429,7503,48611,42553,2547,24119,48549,48548,48569,48563,6017,5529,48603,48610,48593,48612,48552,48577,48589,48560,48596,48572,42601,48580,48623,596,48618,48544,48591,34917,2514,21787,48545,48608,48604,48542,212,38903,48578,38924,48576,23958,48571,48543,48581,48550,48587,121,48575,48559,2556,13518,48605,45184,46124,48609,48620,45100,48546,48595,48602,48584,48555,48590,48599,39917,38467,48585,37964,48615,46716,48567,48597,48586,48619,39096,48600,68,2548,48565,48583],"class_list":["post-54382","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-australia","tag-s-budget","tag-s-debt","tag-s-director","tag-s-infrastructure-spending","tag-s-interest-repayments","tag-s-net-debt","tag-s-report","tag-s-state-budgets","tag-s-tax-bill","tag-13-8-billion","tag-199-3-billion","tag-266-billion","tag-31-7-billion","tag-32-4-million","tag-41-7-billion-to-50-2-billion","tag-650-billion","tag-7-7-billion","tag-33780","tag-38577","tag-2026-27","tag-2029-30","tag-18422","tag-37398","tag-a-historic-fourth-term","tag-a-major-credit-ratings-agency","tag-a-massive-increase","tag-a-record","tag-a-staggering-amount","tag-about-3-5","tag-about-8-5","tag-about-nine","tag-allan-government","tag-an-increase","tag-asia-pacific-public-finance-martin-foo","tag-au","tag-australia","tag-austrlia","tag-budget-figures","tag-cent","tag-cost-overruns-and-project-delays","tag-debt","tag-debt-crisis","tag-economic-shock","tag-efforts","tag-elevated-infrastructure-spending-and-debt-accumulation","tag-every-day","tag-forecasts","tag-free-and-half-price-public-transport","tag-gdp","tag-government","tag-government-services","tag-hefty-cost","tag-higher-fuel-costs","tag-higher-underlying-inflation","tag-horror-statistic","tag-interest","tag-interest-repayments","tag-its-economy","tag-its-gross-state-product","tag-its-public-revenue","tag-its-public-sector-revenue","tag-its-revenue","tag-living-packages","tag-mid-2030","tag-moody","tag-moodys","tag-more-spending-promises","tag-more-than-30","tag-nca-newswire-nicki-connolly-interest-repayments","tag-new-spending","tag-nsw","tag-operating-expense-growth","tag-overly-optimistic-state-budget-forecasts","tag-persistent-cash-deficits","tag-picture","tag-population-growth","tag-pressure","tag-project-governance-and-re-profile-capital-programs","tag-public-revenue","tag-public-sector-spending","tag-public-spending-programs","tag-queensland","tag-reality","tag-recent-analysis","tag-recent-years","tag-reliance","tag-rising-cost-pressures","tag-rising-expenditure-demands","tag-rising-interest-repayments","tag-sp","tag-several-institutions","tag-snapp-business","tag-south-australia","tag-state-and-federal-budgets","tag-state-debt","tag-state-governments","tag-states","tag-sustained-input-cost-pressures","tag-taxpayers","tag-the-report","tag-the-2019-financial-year","tag-the-2027-financial-year","tag-the-allan-government","tag-the-four-year-forecast-horizon","tag-the-full-cost","tag-the-highest-state-debt","tag-the-iran-war","tag-the-next-four-years","tag-the-operating-surpluses","tag-the-period","tag-the-risk","tag-the-same-period","tag-the-skyrocketing-debt-figures","tag-the-state","tag-the-state-equivalent","tag-the-victorian-government","tag-their-debt","tag-these-cost-pressures","tag-these-dire-economic-conditions","tag-these-spending-projections","tag-this-year","tag-total-state-debt","tag-victoria","tag-victorian-government","tag-wage-and-contractor-cost-pressures","tag-weaker-growth"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/australia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54382","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/australia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/australia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/australia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/australia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=54382"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/australia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54382\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/australia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/54383"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/australia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=54382"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/australia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=54382"},{"taxonomy":"post_ta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