Cette ann\u00e9e, les sp\u00e9cialistes estiment que son intensit\u00e9 sera forte voire tr\u00e8s forte<\/a>, et lui ont donc accol\u00e9 l\u2019adjectif \u00abSuper\u00bb. Pictet AM estime que cela \u00abrisque d\u2019\u00eatre un nouveau coup dur pour l\u2019\u00e9conomie mondiale, l\u2019inflation et les banques centrales\u00bb. En effet, \u00abla guerre avec l\u2019Iran a perturb\u00e9 environ un tiers du commerce maritime mondial d\u2019engrais\u00bb, et \u00ables effets d\u2019El Ni\u00f1o sur les rendements agricoles se manifestent g\u00e9n\u00e9ralement avec un d\u00e9calage de six \u00e0 douze mois\u00bb.<\/p>\n Des r\u00e9coltes en p\u00e9ril, notamment en Asie<\/p>\n
La convergence de ces deux chocs d\u2019offre risque donc de cr\u00e9er des p\u00e9nuries d\u2019envergure\u00a0: \u00abL\u2019Inde anticipe des moussons inf\u00e9rieures \u00e0 la normale pour la premi\u00e8re fois depuis trois ans\u00bb, l\u2019Indon\u00e9sie et la Malaisie, qui produisent 90% de l\u2019huile de palme, \u00abvoient traditionnellement leur production\u2026<\/p>\n
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