Iran’s hopes of reaching the knockout stage received a significant boost after Team Melli held Belgium to a 0–0 draw in Los Angeles on Sunday. Sitting atop Group G, the Persian side has taken a major step towards the Round of 32, where, if it finishes first in the group, it could meet the host nation currently at war with Iran, the United States.
The American national team has already secured first place in Group D and booked its place in the knockout rounds. Iran, meanwhile, has recovered well from the disappointment of its opening 2–2 draw against New Zealand. By taking a point from heavily favoured Belgium, Team Melli has placed itself in a strong position heading into the decisive final matchday next week.
SoFi Stadium witnessed a goalless but far from uneventful encounter between Belgium and Iran, with both sides creating opportunities to decide the outcome but failing to convert them. The Red Devils even finished the match with ten men after Nathan Ngoy was shown a straight red card for bringing down Mehdi Taremi as the Iranian forward raced through on goal in the 67th minute.
With the draw, Iran moved into first place in the group, which—although Egypt and New Zealand are yet to play their second-round fixture—already represents the biggest surprise of Group G. Before the tournament, Belgium was widely expected to win the group comfortably, with most pre-tournament projections viewing Iran and Egypt as contenders for second place. Instead, after two rounds of matches, Belgium remains without a victory while Iran sits at the top of the standings.
Led by Liverpool’s Mohamed Salah, Egypt will take on New Zealand on Monday, 22 June, with the Pharaohs expected to start as favourites.
If Egypt secures at least a point against New Zealand, the significance of the final-round clash between Iran and Egypt will increase dramatically, as it could determine who finishes top of the group—and earns a meeting with the United States at the start of the knockout stage.
Unlike most potential Round of 32 ties, a US–Iran match would carry significance extending far beyond football. Neither side is considered among the favourites to lift the trophy, yet few fixtures could rival the political symbolism and international attention such a contest would attract.
The matchup would come as the United States and Iran remain in a state of confrontation following the events of 28 February, when Tel Aviv and Washington launched coordinated air strikes against Tehran that killed Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran’s Supreme Leader. The attack triggered immediate Iranian retaliation against Israeli and US targets across the Persian Gulf and the broader Middle East, as well as the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s most important trade and energy corridors.
US President Donald Trump, who campaigned on a promise not to start new wars, is now seeking to reach an agreement with Tehran as the midterm elections approach in the autumn. Hours before kick-off, Vice President JD Vance arrived in Switzerland on Sunday for high-level talks with Iranian officials aimed at building on a memorandum of understanding reached last week and negotiating a broader peace agreement between the two countries.
Such a matchup in an already heavily politicized World Cup would almost certainly attract extraordinary global attention. The two nations have met twice before at the World Cup: in 1998, when Iran secured a historic 2–1 victory, and in 2022, when the United States emerged victorious.
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