YouGov has predicted in Birmingham, Sandwell, Walsall, Wolverhampton, Solihull and Dudley
05:29, 04 May 2026
New polling has Reform UK gaining the most votes in every 2026 local election.
Despite this, the latest YouGov polling may actually be a relief to the Labour party.
As BirminghamLive has previously reported, Labour has been predicted to be wiped out in historically safe Birmingham City Council, but YouGov’s latest polling suggests it will be level pegging with Reform UK in the city, on 21 per cent.
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However, in every other West Midlands local election, Reform are predicted to land the most votes.
That ranges from Labour heartlands like Sandwell, where Reform is predicted to land 28% of the vote, to Solihull, which has recently been Conservative-dominated, where it is projected to get 31%.
The polling, however, is not really good news for Labour.
The party has held power in Birmingham for years and previously had all 72 councillors on Sandwell Council – so seeing that eroded to this extent is historic.
If YouGov’s polling were to come true, both Birmingham and Sandwell would be no-overall-control – but big wins for Nigel Farage’s Reform UK.
Elsewhere, YouGov is predicting big wins for the Greens – polling 19% in Birmingham and between 14% and 21% elsewhere.
BirminghamConservatives 13%Labour 21%Lib Dems 12%Reform UK 21%Greens 19%Others 14%SandwellConservatives 15%Labour 25%Lib Dems 10%Reform UK 28%Greens 21%Others 2%WalsallConservatives 22%Labour 16%Lib Dems 3%Reform UK 32%Greens 14%Others 14%DudleyConservatives 17%Labour 20%Lib Dems 8%Reform UK 41%Greens 13%Others 1%WolverhamptonConservatives 15%Labour 28%Lib Dems 6%Reform UK 31%Greens 19%Others 1%SolihullConservatives 26%Labour 10%Lib Dems 16%Reform UK 31%Greens 17%Others 0%