{"id":108066,"date":"2026-08-21T10:16:29","date_gmt":"2026-08-21T10:16:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/britain\/108066\/"},"modified":"2026-08-21T10:16:29","modified_gmt":"2026-08-21T10:16:29","slug":"britains-july-tax-rise-why-the-government-still-ran-a-deficit","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/britain\/108066\/","title":{"rendered":"Britain\u2019s July Tax Rise: Why the Government Still Ran a Deficit"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The government collected \u00a317.1 billion in self-assessment tax in July.Public sector borrowing still reached \u00a31.8 billion, against expectations of a balanced month.Total government debt has climbed to almost \u00a33 trillion, adding pressure ahead of the October Budget.<\/p>\n<p>Britain collected \u00a317.1 billion in self-assessment tax in July, \u00a31.7 billion more than a year earlier. Yet the government still ended the month with a \u00a31.8 billion deficit, raising fresh questions about how much room chancellor <a href=\"https:\/\/www.easterneye.biz\/burnham-government-first-budget-october-28-john-healey\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">John Healey will have when he delivers his first Budget on October 28<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>July is normally one of the better months for the public finances because self-assessment tax payments give Treasury receipts a seasonal boost. Economists had expected the government&#8217;s finances to be roughly balanced. Instead, spending grew faster than income.<\/p>\n<p>The result means government borrowing was \u00a32.3 billion higher than the Office for Budget Responsibility forecast for the month and \u00a3700 million higher than in July last year.<\/p>\n<p>More tax came in, but spending grew faster<\/p>\n<p>The main problem was not a collapse in tax receipts. The government actually collected more.<\/p>\n<p>Instead, several areas of spending increased sharply. Central government spending on social benefits was \u00a32 billion higher than a year earlier, while spending on goods and services, including staff costs, rose by \u00a31.2 billion.<\/p>\n<p>That pushed total borrowing for the first four months of the 2026-27 financial year to \u00a356.7 billion.<\/p>\n<p>The figure is lower than the same period last year, but it is still \u00a32.3 billion above the OBR&#8217;s forecast, leaving Healey with less room for manoeuvre than planned.<\/p>\n<p>The pressure is not limited to the monthly borrowing figure.<\/p>\n<p>Government debt reached \u00a32.98 trillion in July, equivalent to about 94 per cent of GDP, and was \u00a396 billion higher than a year earlier.<\/p>\n<p>At the same time, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.easterneye.biz\/why-economists-arent-celebrating-britains-lower-borrowing\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">borrowing costs are becoming another problem.<\/a> Ten-year gilt yields have moved above 5 per cent, meaning the government could face higher debt-interest costs as existing borrowing is refinanced.<\/p>\n<p>That matters because even relatively small changes in borrowing costs can become expensive when the debt pile is close to \u00a33 trillion.<\/p>\n<p>Healey faces a tighter Budget<\/p>\n<p>The latest figures arrive at an awkward time for Healey.<\/p>\n<p>When Rachel Reeves delivered her spring statement in March, the government had a \u00a323.6 billion buffer against its fiscal rules. Analysts now expect higher inflation, weaker growth and rising borrowing costs to have eaten into some of that headroom.<\/p>\n<p>Healey has also inherited pressure to increase spending in areas including defence, housing, infrastructure and public services.<\/p>\n<p>He said fiscal discipline remained central to the government&#8217;s economic plans and that it was committed to meeting its fiscal rules while maintaining a buffer against global uncertainty.<\/p>\n<p>There was some better news elsewhere in the economy. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.easterneye.biz\/uk-consumer-confidence-falls-job-security-august\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">UK consumer confidence<\/a> rose unexpectedly to a two-year high in August, although retail sales fell 0.5 per cent in July.<\/p>\n<p>That leaves Healey facing a difficult balance before October 28: keep borrowing under control while dealing with rising spending demands and an economy that is showing some signs of resilience but remains uneven.<\/p>\n<p>For the Treasury, July&#8217;s numbers deliver an uncomfortable message \u2014 even a strong month for tax receipts is no guarantee of a balanced budget when spending is rising faster.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The government collected \u00a317.1 billion in self-assessment tax in July.Public sector borrowing still reached \u00a31.8 billion, against expectations&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":108067,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[2],"tags":[729,13,10618,12081,44775,44776],"class_list":["post-108066","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-britain","tag-borrowing-costs","tag-britain","tag-fiscal-rules","tag-government-debt","tag-october-budget","tag-uk-deficit"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@UnitedKingdom\/117132983292996598","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/britain\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/108066","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/britain\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/britain\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/britain\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/britain\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=108066"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/britain\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/108066\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/britain\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/108067"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/britain\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=108066"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/britain\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=108066"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/britain\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=108066"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}