QUEBEC \u2014 A new public opinion poll suggests the Parti Qu\u00e9b\u00e9cois could be headed for a minority government in the fall election.<\/p>\n
But the L\u00e9ger poll produced for the Journal de Montr\u00e9al and TVA<\/a> also shows one voter in two (49 per cent) could change their mind on which party to support. That number is almost unchanged (a two-percentage-point difference) from June.<\/p>\n According to the poll published Tuesday, the PQ under Paul St-Pierre Plamondon has 30 per cent of the vote and leads among francophone voters with 36 per cent of that vote.<\/p>\n After a difficult summer, Quebec\u2019s Liberals under Leader Charles Milliard follow, with the support of 24 per cent of the sample. The party has 13 per cent of the francophone vote. That is a drop of seven percentage points from June.<\/p>\n In third place is the Coalition Avenir Qu\u00e9bec and its new leader, Christine Fr\u00e9chette<\/a>. The CAQ\u2019s support now is pegged at 20 per cent, including 25 per cent of the francophone vote.<\/p>\n The francophone vote is key to winning elections because it represents voters in many regions and ultimately represents more ridings in the legislature.<\/p>\n Support for the Quebec Conservative Party is pegged at 13 per cent and Qu\u00e9bec solidaire has 11 per cent.<\/p>\n But the poll shows that despite a summer spent campaigning<\/a>, the leaders of the five major parties have not managed to solidify their vote, which points to a suspenseful race to the Oct. 5 vote.<\/p>\n Support at this early stage of the race is considered soft, even undecided and likely to shift as the issues and personalities in the race become clearer, pollsters said.<\/p>\n \u201cTwo weeks before the election launch, we can speculate, but nothing is set in stone,\u201d L\u00e9ger pollster Jean-Marc L\u00e9ger said.<\/p>\n The election call is expected in the last week of August.<\/p>\n