{"id":40757,"date":"2026-05-11T18:17:13","date_gmt":"2026-05-11T18:17:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/canada\/40757\/"},"modified":"2026-05-11T18:17:13","modified_gmt":"2026-05-11T18:17:13","slug":"war-driven-fertilizer-shortage-to-have-only-modest-affect-on-food-inflation-in-canada-report-says","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/canada\/40757\/","title":{"rendered":"War-driven fertilizer shortage to have only modest affect on food inflation in Canada, report says"},"content":{"rendered":"

Open this photo in gallery:<\/a><\/p>\n

A seeding rig plants a wheat crop on a farm near Cremona, Alta.Jeff McIntosh\/The Canadian Press<\/p>\n

As shipping constraints in the Middle East disrupt global fertilizer supply and drive up prices, a new TD report says Canada is better positioned to face any inflationary pressures on its food production \u2013 at least in the short run.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Canada\u2019s fertilizer imports from the Gulf region are less than 5 per cent, limiting its exposure to the ongoing war in Iran<\/a>. That\u2019s lower than Mexico and the United States, which roughly import 30-40 per cent of nitrogen-rich urea from that region.<\/p>\n

TD economist and report author Anusha Arif says Canada sits in a distinct position as the world\u2019s largest potash exporter, offering farmers some relief. Meanwhile, the country entered the year with stronger inventories of canola and corn that offer some short-term stability.<\/p>\n

Analysis: Growing discontent: Why it\u2019s time for Canada to consider a national fertilizer strategy<\/a><\/p>\n

However, soybeans remain a weak point with significantly lower inventory from a year ago. The crop also relies heavily on nitrogen and can\u2019t be substituted with potash, which could mean a drop in yields.<\/p>\n

Arif estimates a two-to-five per cent food production shortfall could add around 0.1 to 0.5 percentage points to food inflation in 2027.<\/p>\n

But she says the impact on headline inflation is expected to remain contained.\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Open this photo in gallery: A seeding rig plants a wheat crop on a farm near Cremona, Alta.Jeff…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":40758,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[164,224,238,214,212,239,17,211,230,231,227,213,210,235,171,234,143,222,249,215,216,229,225,226,219,240,220,244,245,247,242,246,94,243,217,142,233,113,232,241,223,236,237,228,221,218,248],"class_list":{"0":"post-40757","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-canada","8":"tag-alberta","9":"tag-arts-news","10":"tag-bc","11":"tag-breaking-news","12":"tag-breaking-news-video","13":"tag-british-columbia","14":"tag-canada","15":"tag-canada-news","16":"tag-canada-sports","17":"tag-canada-sports-news","18":"tag-canada-trafficcanada-weather","19":"tag-canadian-breaking-news","20":"tag-canadian-news","21":"tag-economy","22":"tag-education","23":"tag-environment","24":"tag-federal-government","25":"tag-foreign-news","26":"tag-globe-and-mail","27":"tag-globe-and-mail-breaking-news","28":"tag-globe-and-mail-canada-news","29":"tag-government","30":"tag-life-news","31":"tag-lifestyle","32":"tag-local-news","33":"tag-manitoba","34":"tag-national-news","35":"tag-new-brunswick","36":"tag-newfoundland-and-labrador","37":"tag-northwest-territories","38":"tag-nova-scotia","39":"tag-nunavut","40":"tag-ontario","41":"tag-pei","42":"tag-photos","43":"tag-political-news","44":"tag-political-opinion","45":"tag-politics","46":"tag-politics-news","47":"tag-quebec","48":"tag-sports-news","49":"tag-technology","50":"tag-travel","51":"tag-trudeau","52":"tag-us-news","53":"tag-world-news","54":"tag-yukon"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/canada\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40757","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/canada\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/canada\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/canada\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/canada\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40757"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/canada\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40757\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/canada\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/40758"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/canada\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40757"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/canada\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40757"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/canada\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40757"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}