{"id":296285,"date":"2026-09-07T19:27:18","date_gmt":"2026-09-07T19:27:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch-fr\/296285\/"},"modified":"2026-09-07T19:27:18","modified_gmt":"2026-09-07T19:27:18","slug":"ubs-prevoit-deux-hausses-des-taux-de-la-fed-en-2026-apres-la-publication-dun-rapport-solide-sur-lemploi-07-09-2026-a-1058","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch-fr\/296285\/","title":{"rendered":"UBS pr\u00e9voit deux hausses des taux de la Fed en 2026 apr\u00e8s la publication d&rsquo;un rapport solide sur l&#8217;emploi &#8211; 07\/09\/2026 \u00e0 10:58"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\n ((Traduction automatis\u00e9e par Reuters \u00e0 l&rsquo;aide de l&rsquo;apprentissage<br \/>\nautomatique et de l&rsquo;IA g\u00e9n\u00e9rative, veuillez vous r\u00e9f\u00e9rer \u00e0<br \/>\nl&rsquo;avertissement suivant: https:\/\/bit.ly\/rtrsauto))\n<\/p>\n<p>\n (Mises \u00e0 jour tout au long du texte avec mise en contexte)\n<\/p>\n<p>\n UBS s&rsquo;attend \u00e0 ce que la R\u00e9serve<br \/>\nf\u00e9d\u00e9rale rel\u00e8ve ses taux d&rsquo;int\u00e9r\u00eat de 25 points de base en<br \/>\nseptembre et en d\u00e9cembre, apr\u00e8s la publication d&rsquo;un rapport sur<br \/>\nl&#8217;emploi am\u00e9ricain meilleur que pr\u00e9vu, qui a confort\u00e9 l&rsquo;id\u00e9e<br \/>\nd&rsquo;un march\u00e9 du travail r\u00e9silient.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n La soci\u00e9t\u00e9 de courtage ne s&rsquo;attendait auparavant \u00e0 aucun<br \/>\nchangement de politique mon\u00e9taire cette ann\u00e9e.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n \u201cToutefois, les d\u00e9clarations bellicistes, notamment le<br \/>\ndiscours prononc\u00e9 \u00e0 Jackson Hole par Kevin Warsh, pr\u00e9sident de<br \/>\nla Fed, les risques croissants d\u2019inflation li\u00e9s aux goulets<br \/>\nd\u2019\u00e9tranglement de l\u2019offre, ainsi que les chiffres de l\u2019emploi du<br \/>\nmois d\u2019ao\u00fbt se sont r\u00e9v\u00e9l\u00e9s suffisamment solides pour modifier<br \/>\ncette pr\u00e9vision,\u201d a indiqu\u00e9 UBS Global Wealth Management dans<br \/>\nune note publi\u00e9e vendredi.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n Les employeurs am\u00e9ricains  ont cr\u00e9\u00e9 162.000 emplois en<br \/>\nao\u00fbt, un chiffre largement sup\u00e9rieur aux pr\u00e9visions, tandis que<br \/>\nle taux de ch\u00f4mage est rest\u00e9 stable \u00e0 4,1 %, selon les donn\u00e9es<br \/>\npubli\u00e9es vendredi.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n Citigroup  et Macquarie ont \u00e9galement r\u00e9vis\u00e9 leurs<br \/>\npr\u00e9visions de taux d&rsquo;int\u00e9r\u00eat \u00e0 la suite de la publication des<br \/>\nchiffres de l&#8217;emploi.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n Ce rapport sur l\u2019emploi fait suite aux propos bellicistes<br \/>\ntenus par Warsh lors du symposium de Jackson Hole en ao\u00fbt. Par<br \/>\nailleurs, le gouverneur de la Fed Christopher Waller  a<br \/>\nd\u00e9clar\u00e9 qu\u2019il serait favorable \u00e0 un maintien des taux inchang\u00e9s<br \/>\nsi les prochaines donn\u00e9es montraient que les pressions<br \/>\ninflationnistes continuaient de s\u2019att\u00e9nuer.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n Les march\u00e9s financiers anticipent une probabilit\u00e9 d\u2019environ<br \/>\n58 % d\u2019une hausse des taux d\u2019un quart de point lors de la<br \/>\nr\u00e9union de la Fed des 15 et 16 septembre, contre 52 % jeudi,<br \/>\nselon l\u2019outil FedWatch du CME.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"((Traduction automatis\u00e9e par Reuters \u00e0 l&rsquo;aide de l&rsquo;apprentissage automatique et de l&rsquo;IA g\u00e9n\u00e9rative, veuillez vous r\u00e9f\u00e9rer \u00e0 l&rsquo;avertissement&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":296286,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[6],"tags":[48,46,56,45,53,44,43,51,50,47,52,49,23,54,55],"class_list":["post-296285","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economie","tag-action-cac-40","tag-bourse-de-paris","tag-boursorama","tag-business","tag-cotations","tag-economie","tag-economy","tag-indices-devises","tag-investir","tag-investissement","tag-marche-boursier","tag-sicav","tag-suisse","tag-trackers","tag-warrants"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@ch_fr\/117231409221323990","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch-fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/296285","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch-fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch-fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch-fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch-fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=296285"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch-fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/296285\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch-fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/296286"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch-fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=296285"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch-fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=296285"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ch-fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=296285"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}